LTCP, N155 MODEL,BEST I HAVE, 05-22-2010, AFTER 116 PLAYS, 2% PROFIT

[formula_2002]

5-22-2010
THE NI55 LPTC MODEL
SINCE 4-10-2010,
through 05-21-2010
47 WINS, 116 PLAYS
WIN POOL: $236.90 RETURNED, $232 BET, 1.02 ROI
EXACTA POOL: $295.50 RETURNED, $424 BET, .70 ROI
DAILY DOUBLE POOL: $14.40 RETURNED, $10 BET
exotics roi = .71

THIS MODEL IS EXPECTED TO CONCLUDE WITH A WIN POOL PROFIT OVER A PERIOD OF ATLEAST 500 RACES

WIN AND exacta BETTING. minimum field size is 7 betting interest
*BET THE MODEL PICK TO WIN.
BET EXACTA IF MODEL SELECTION IS FAVORITE, BET 1/2ND AND 3RD BETTING CHOICES
ALSO, IF MODEL SELECTION IS FAVORITE, AND FIELD SIZE IS >=9 , ALSO PLAY 1/ 4TH CHOICE
*BET EXACTA IF MODEL SELECTION IS A NON FAVORITE. BET SELECTION OVER FAVORITE ONLY.
For a previous exacta analysis of the model, see http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=61591
FOR PREVIOUS RESULTS OF A 200 PLAY LESSER MODEL GO TO MY HOME PAGE
* CONFORMED TO ACTUAL ACCOUNTING METHOD 05/19/2010


TRACK RACE # PGNO NAME ML POST TIME N155 MULTIPLIER N228 FIELD SIZE FINAL ODDS N157
MNR 10 10 MOON KID 1.20 10:45 43.652 0.09 0.624 10 999 3
ASD 8 8 KAFMAIN 8.00 11:00 32.668 0.11 0.720 10 999 2
WOX 3 1 EMBURS SONG 2.00 1:57 48.112 0.13 0.868 8 999 3
BEL 5 1 WINE BAR 2.50 3:08 39.819 0.10 0.682 10 999 2
APX 5 6 RICHIESGIRLG 2.00 4:06 39.497 0.09 0.618 7 999 3
GGX 7 5 DEFENSIVE MO 1.40 6:52 29.579 0.08 0.522 8 999 3
CTX 1 4 GUSTAUF 2.50 7:15 32.458 0.09 0.611 10 999 2
MNR 2 8 LORD ELDON 1.80 7:25 34.974 0.12 0.816 8 999 2
CTX 3 6 TON OF MONEY 3.50 8:07 32.392 0.08 0.554 11 999 2
MNR 5 6 PASSIONATE S 1.20 8:40 38.312 0.11 0.760 10 999 2

[formula_2002]

LESS THAN 9 HORSE FIELD
FAV WINS

Woodbine T-bred - Race 3
# Win Place Show
1 $2.60 $2.20 $2.10

[formula_2002]

results:
date TRACK RACE PGNO N13 ODDS WMUT PMUT SMUT FIELD SIZE WINS E WINS PLAYSFINISH BOOK %



20100522 BEL 5 1 WINE BAR 0.70 0.00 0.00 2.10 10 0.00 0.59 1 3 1.797
20100522 CTX 1 4 GUSTAUF 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 10 0.00 0.59 1 8 1.229
20100522 CTX 3 6 TON OF MONE 1.70 5.40 3.20 2.80 9 1.00 0.37 1 1 1.228
20100522 GGX 7 5 DEFENSIVE M 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 7 0.00 0.56 1 7 1.202
20100522 MNR 2 8 LORD ELDON 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 8 0.00 0.42 1 5 1.229
20100522 MNR 5 6 PASSIONATE 1.10 0.00 2.80 2.60 9 0.00 0.48 1 2 1.224
20100522 MNR 10 10 MOON KID 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 8 0.00 0.59 1 5 1.215
20100522 WOX 3 1 EMBURS SONG 0.30 2.60 2.20 2.10 7 1.00 0.77 1 1 1.211
8.00 8.20 9.60 2.00 4.35 8


2 wins in 8 plays, all ran as favorite returning $8.00 in the win pool bets
$40 exacta bets returned $16.60.

actual wins=2, expected wins =4.35