THE BEST OF BEULAH PARK PIC 6 $122,869 CARRYOVER, $8 TICKET

[formula_2002]

3-29-2010



TRACK RACE # PGNO NAME ML POST TIME N155 MULTIPLIER N228 FIELD SIZE FINAL ODDS N157
BEU 3 2 STRAIGHT LEA 2.50 2:07 27.120 0.07 0.444 7 999 1
BEU 4 2 COMIC DEBUT 2.00 2:33 32.389 0.06 0.399 7 999 1
BEU 5 6 EMPRESS OF F 1.40 2:59 28.298 0.11 0.727 6 999 1
BEU 6 6 YOUR IN FOR 5.00 3:25 11.080 0.05 0.312 7 999 1
BEU 7 7 E STREET FED 2.50 3:51 19.801 0.04 0.294 8 999 1
BEU 8 6 FASTERTHANFA 6.00 4:17 41.161 0.07 0.444 10 999 2
BEU 8 1A BANKERS MT. 2.50 4:17 20.205 0.04 0.250 10 999 2
BEU 9 4 STORMSWIFT 3.50 4:43 20.991 0.03 0.199 8 999 1
BEU 9 8 MARQ OF A WI 8.00 4:43 15.322 0.02 0.101 8 999 1

[Horseplayersbet.com]

3-29-2010



TRACK RACE # PGNO NAME ML POST TIME N155 MULTIPLIER N228 FIELD SIZE FINAL ODDS N157
BEU 3 2 STRAIGHT LEA 2.50 2:07 27.120 0.07 0.444 7 999 1
BEU 4 2 COMIC DEBUT 2.00 2:33 32.389 0.06 0.399 7 999 1
BEU 5 6 EMPRESS OF F 1.40 2:59 28.298 0.11 0.727 6 999 1
BEU 6 6 YOUR IN FOR 5.00 3:25 11.080 0.05 0.312 7 999 1
BEU 7 7 E STREET FED 2.50 3:51 19.801 0.04 0.294 8 999 1
BEU 8 6 FASTERTHANFA 6.00 4:17 41.161 0.07 0.444 10 999 2
BEU 8 1A BANKERS MT. 2.50 4:17 20.205 0.04 0.250 10 999 2
BEU 9 4 STORMSWIFT 3.50 4:43 20.991 0.03 0.199 8 999 1
BEU 9 8 MARQ OF A WI 8.00 4:43 15.322 0.02 0.101 8 999 1

For the Beulah Pick 6 to be won by one individual, I think you'll need two bombs and tops one favorite win on a given day.

[formula_2002]

For the Beulah Pick 6 to be won by one individual, I think you'll need two bombs and tops one favorite win on a given day.
wow, so any 6 fractions of 1/(odds+1) when mulitplied together, equallying appox .000016277 will do it.

something along the lines of a 4-1, 3 5-1's a 6-1 and a 2-1
It seems the longer no one hits the pic6, the harder it is to do so.

Great Idea!! love it :)

i'll stick to the win pools

[formula_2002]

Beulah Park - Race 3 Chart
# Win Place Show
2 $6.20 $2.80 $3.40

Beulah Park - Race 5 Chart
# Win Place Show
6 $3.60 $2.40 $2.10

Beulah Park - Race 7
# Win Place Show
7 $3.00 $2.20 $2.40

[formula_2002]

Beulah Park - Race 8 Chart
# Win Place Show
6 $5.40 $3.20 $2.40

Beulah Park - Race 9 Chart
# Win Place Show
4 $6.80 $3.00 $2.10

[formula_2002]

It seems the longer no one hits the pic6, the harder it is to do so


Dumby me. :blush:

.it's not harder to hit!! But you may get more value for your money the longer it goes

[Saratoga_Mike]

3-29-2010



TRACK RACE # PGNO NAME ML POST TIME N155 MULTIPLIER N228 FIELD SIZE FINAL ODDS N157
BEU 3 2 STRAIGHT LEA 2.50 2:07 27.120 0.07 0.444 7 999 1
BEU 4 2 COMIC DEBUT 2.00 2:33 32.389 0.06 0.399 7 999 1
BEU 5 6 EMPRESS OF F 1.40 2:59 28.298 0.11 0.727 6 999 1
BEU 6 6 YOUR IN FOR 5.00 3:25 11.080 0.05 0.312 7 999 1
BEU 7 7 E STREET FED 2.50 3:51 19.801 0.04 0.294 8 999 1
BEU 8 6 FASTERTHANFA 6.00 4:17 41.161 0.07 0.444 10 999 2
BEU 8 1A BANKERS MT. 2.50 4:17 20.205 0.04 0.250 10 999 2
BEU 9 4 STORMSWIFT 3.50 4:43 20.991 0.03 0.199 8 999 1
BEU 9 8 MARQ OF A WI 8.00 4:43 15.322 0.02 0.101 8 999 1

F2002, could you please explain your table (I'm not familiar with your work)? For example, what is the multiplier and N228? Thanks.

[46zilzal]

I have just discovered Beulah and it is a fun track....not big prices but formful

[formula_2002]

I have just discovered Beulah and it is a fun track....not big prices but formful
the best seems to be that early speed holds on to win.

[formula_2002]

F2002, could you please explain your table (I'm not familiar with your work)? For example, what is the multiplier and N228? Thanks.
just two numbers you need to watch, race number and program number.
The other numbers are just model program unumbers.

[Horseplayersbet.com]

Dumby me. :blush:

.it's not harder to hit!! But you may get more value for your money the longer it goes
The longer it goes on, the harder it will be for someone to have a lone ticket, especially with the quarter base, and the small fields we've seen lately.
They attracted over $60,000 in new money today.

One thing to watch out for, don't have the same combo twice. Imagine if you have the only two winning tickets? You only get 40% of the new money put in on racing day after takeout.

[formula_2002]

The longer it goes on, the harder it will be for someone to have a lone ticket, especially with the quarter base, and the small fields we've seen lately.
They attracted over $60,000 in new money today.

One thing to watch out for, don't have the same combo twice. Imagine if you have the only two winning tickets? You only get 40% of the new money put in on racing day after takeout.

*Actually, it's as hard to hit with one ticket on day one as it is on any day >1.
It's just that the pay out could be better on day >1
imagine winning with 6, 5-1 shots on day one compared to hitting with 6, 5-1 shots on day>1, say day 45!!

*however, that "as hard to hit" statment needs some adjustment, since there would be more interest in buying tickets as the pool grows day to day.

Also, there could be players shooting for the consolation prize as the pool grows.
If I calculated yesterday's fair consolation payout correctely it was a hugh overlay.

This is a very interesting proposition bet..

[formula_2002]

proportional odds bet roi 1.35= 5 actual winners/2.97 winners


3-29-2010 pgno odd 1/odds+1 plays winners
3 2 2.1 0.32 1 2.1
4 2 1.9 0.34 1
5 6 0.8 0.56 1 0.8
6 6 2.3 0.30 1
7 7 0.5 0.67 1 0.5
8 6 1.7 0.37 1 1.7
8 1a 7.8 0.11 1
9 4 2.4 0.29 1 2.4
9 8 srcatch
2.97 8.00
1.35