Weds 3/10, longshot picks

[Ray2000]

Betting Win if odds > 3/1 and Key Box Exactas

Buffalo R2..........7 w/3,2 ...Where's My Toy-8/1..Class drop to where he's competitive, excuse last race

Flamboro R6.........1 w/2,9 ...Warrawee Hardy-8/1...Rail will help, (might need more help)

Western Fair R8.....8 w/3,4 ...True High Voltage-6/1...8 trails at London

Meadows R8..........4 w/5,1 ...Panz Ferdinand-12/1.......2nd times Lasix

Pompano R8..........4 w/1,7 ...Allamerican Solo-6/1......Class Drop 6 to 4 claimers

The BigM R6.........1,7,5 ...See You Smile-8/1, Lenny K 10/1, Lennon Blue Chip 3/1
Contest Race... Desperate players are picking these 3--- 13%, 13%, 20% ....Box'm
I like See You Smile's last effort against 5 others in that 3/3/10 race, wish for driver change

The BigM R9.........4 w/9,5 ...Answer The Bell-8/1
Last 2 races came within 3 lens of a win, should get 5/1 or 6/1 again same class

BTW Has anyone noticed the ROI Return on Brennan?

Take away his 2 biggies ($80 and $53) and he's still at plus 9%
Why no backers with all those wins??????

Driver..........Starts..........Wins.......Return ROI
G Brennan......474 ......107......21% :eek:
Y Gingras......418 ......54.......-3%
T Tetrick......463 ......67......-19%
R Pierce.......437 ......52......-22%
J Campbell.....267 ......15......-22%
B Sears........458 ......81......-27%
R Silverman....133 ......12......-28%
T Buter.........95 ......6.......-36%
D Miller.......437 ......24......-43%
A Miller.......405 ......31......-54%
B Dobson........49 ......3.......-57%
P Berry.........93 ......2.......-58%
D Dube.........417 ......33......-61%
E Goodell.......76 ......2.......-70%

These are my numbers, missing 4 race dates, but still very close to TrackMaster figures


Good Luck To All

[melman]

Ray---Got to be some winning pic3's at MR from my list for today. Just don't ask me to guess at the prices. :) Thanks for posting that ROI listing. I'm going to give extra looks to horses driven by Dube and Goodell. I'm serious as those guys have been very good to me with longshots in the past. Goodell at Chester esp. Take a look at FHL R11 today. Devin Hall the 7 with "horror" trips last couple 8-1 on the line. Which of course means nothing. :D

Monticello
R1 6
R2 512
R3 42
R4 312
R5 13
R6 528
R7 625
R8 61
R9 36
R10 261
R11 714
R12 51

Late pic4 at Freehold
R8 41
R9 734
R10 32
R11 712

[Ray2000]

Mel

I should have included the Ave Mutuel Return for those drivers but was I was just focusing on ROI.

The drivers ranked by Ave payoff when they win are

..............wins......ave win price
P Berry..........2...... $38.70
J Campbell......15...... $27.63
E Goodell........2...... $22.60
D Miller........24...... $20.58
T Buter..........6...... $20.17
R Silverman.....12...... $15.98
Y Gingras.......54...... $14.96
B Dobson.........3...... $14.13
R Pierce........52...... $13.10
A Miller........31...... $11.96
T Tetrick.......67...... $11.18
G Brennan......107...... $10.70
D Dube..........33...... $9.92
B Sears.........81...... $8.30


Goodell has 2 good wins/prices, the surprise so far is DD?DD
these are BigM drives only min 50 starts

Freehold 11 Devin Hall...
Looks like another horror trip and the 1 looks too strong, good luck

[Ray2000]

Mel:

Nice pic3 R567 at "little m" $161 (I'm guessing you threw the smallfry back on R678:))
And that mare in the 11th paid $9.20 to show, good popper call

Thanks to Brett Miller, I'm looking at all gravy for the rest of the day...

[mirror Image]

Will try one longshot in the 7th #9 Hard Shoe Hannah.
Nice uncovered try in last for Gingras, Rucker barn is
slowly heating up. will be going against a Pena dropdown
odds on fav. who set her lifetime best last week and I'm
betting it took a lot out of her. Will use with 6-8-10 in ex's and tri's.

Good Luck to all

[melman]

Speaking of all gravy, my start of the day yesterday was very nice. I made two show bets at Freehold on there first race. The 1/5 off the board. :lol: