Day 6 1/2 Results & Update

[Handiman]

Spent most of Super Bowl with Kleenex stuck up my nose. So I hope to get these right but who knows.

Handi .... Handifast Default

Top 4...6 for 10
Top Pick....3 for 10 30% $20..........21.00 5% Roi

Top 4....36 for 57
Top Pick....22 for 57 38% $114........142 24.5% Roi


Doug.....Playing with custom decision tree. See his posts for actual results. Another great day for Doug!!


Jingle Homegrown--Top 4

Top 4.....7 for 10
Top Pick....4 for 10 40% $20............26.80 34% Roi

Top 4....31 for 57
Top Pick.....19 for 57 33% $114..........118.40 4% Roi


Goforgin TIPS (with my custom settings)

Top 4.....24 for 47
Top Pick......13 for 47 27% $94..........78.30 -16% Roi


Rebel...... custom settings in EquiSim

Top 4.....1 for 10
Top Pick......1 for 10 10% $20.............5.60 -72%

Top 4......39 for 57
Top Pick.....12 for 57 21% $114...........67.90 -40% Roi


Atlasaxis.... Ray Taulbot Pace Comp

Top 4.......4 for 10
Top Pick.....2 for 10 20% $20.............12.80 -36% Roi

Top 4.....33 for 57
Top Pick.....15 for 57 26% $114........... 174.80 60% Roi


Raybo ......AllData PPs.xls

Top 4.....5 for 10
Top Pick...3 for 10 30% $20..............22.20 11% Roi

Top 4......31 for 57
Top Pick.....21 for 57 36% $114............139.60 22% Roi


Dave S. Not available today.

JeffP.....See his post in day 5 for his results.

This has been a lot of fun. I hope everyone enjoyed this journey. If you did, then you might like the Wall Street Contest starting tomorrow at Beulah Park. See the Wall Street thread for the details.

Thanks Again,
Handi :)

[ezpace]

Thanks to all who contributed including our host.

[goforgin]

Sorry, did not get in on the last day, was out for the Super Bowl. Handi (and others), any conclusions or thoughts on the "black box"? I didn't have time, but curious how consensus picks did (say when 6 or 7 out of 10 of the boxes had the same pick)? Were any +$19 picks selected by more than 1 box? Handi, it was a very interesting journey as you say, and thanks again for your lead on "unwrapping the box".

[Maxspa]

All,
This has been a pleasure for me to follow! First of all, I never would have believed this handicapping offering would ever get underway! Usually the ground rules can never be agreed upon! There were some differences in how to conduct the program but thanks to the entrants these were dealt with in a positive way! Jeff Platt, Dave Schwartz, Raybo and perhaps a few others explained their varied approaches but contributed anyway. Kudos to them!
Excellent project and this gives PA's board another reason for horseplayers
to be uniquely informed on a daily basis.
Maxspa
P.S A Special thanks to Handi for his work on this project!

[Handiman]

Thanks Max and everybody who took part in one way or another. I felt really good about how this came off. I believe it was done in the original way I had planned, and that was not any chest beating or put downs or anything like that.

It gave me some insight into how Black Box handicapping might go and what varied results there might be. And as my way of thanking everyone, I'm going to let anyone who wants to jump in and make me look silly by way of really handicapping, they can do it in the Wall Street Contest.

There, some chest beating will be allowed, as it will be a graded event in the form of rankings by ROI.

Hope to see as many people as possible jump in there, because this is going to be all about handicapping skill and not a program.

Handi :)

[Niko]

And everyone says this game is hard....nice job. I know it's a small sample but I am truly surprised at all the fat positive ROI's