Longshot Picks for Jan 28

[Ray2000]

No time for details, raw computer picks.

Betting Win if odds > 3/1 and Key Box Exactas

Dover R9............6 w/9,2 ...Armbro Domi-6/1
Dover R15...........6 w/4,9 ...West Coast Arturo-6/1
Flamboro R7.........5 w/6,9 ...Cruisematic-12/1
Western Fair R4.....2 w/4,8 ...So Feminine-6/1
The BigM R4.........9 w/2,7 ...Tonight Aas-15/1
The BigM R6.........4 w/3,1 ...Looselipssinkships-10/1
The BigM R10........7 w/5,3 ...Celebrity Legacy-15/1
Maywood R1..........8 w/2,7 ...Wand's Cowgirl-10/1
Maywood R10.........3 w/7,2 ...Another Conquest-8/1
Rideau-Carleton R7..6 w/9,5 ...Ellindale Rocket-10/1
Rideau-Carleton R13.9 w/2,5 ...Quincy Bayama-20/1
Rideau-Carleton R15.3 w/9,1 ...Come On Baby Cakes-10/1
Woodbine R9.........2 w/7,4 ...Minor De Best-20/1
Woodbine R11........3 w/9,5 ...A K Sweet Swing-7/1

Good Luck All

[melman]

Ray---I'm "tripping out" with these four today.

Monticello
R9 5 Poetry Affair 8-1
R10 2 Western Samantha 8-1

Meadowlands
R2 6 Im All Country 6-1
R11 8 Smashy Cerise 12-1

[willphorse]

I really like your choice in the 2nd at the Big M Melman! Im All Country looks fit, and could win, just hope odds stay up.

As far as the 11th race though, I must say I like the 5 Everything To Me. Pierce has driven to back to back 1:55.3 miles, and in last just didn't have the room to move against much better horses.

Also wouldn't rule out 9 JM Gig E Moan, who also drops out of that race. This mare was moving against a 56.3, 1:26 pace. No wonder the 6 length loss in the stretch. Expecting pace to be much slower than that here, and at 15-1 M/L, and the driver change from Pat Berry to Brennan! Could be a big score!



I will keep with you in the 2nd, but will be Betting Win on 5 and 9 in the 11th, and since I like exotics, will be boxing an exacta in the 11th, 5-8-9, and hope for a bomb!

Good Luck Guys

[Ray2000]

OK willphorse, thanks for putting up some good info

I did a... 5 | 98 | 9831 | all ...in that 11th race 10¢ Super (15% TakeOut...$4.20 ticket)

and we're all in pretty much agreement..so that's a confidence builder.:)

Good Luck

[LottaKash]

I really like your choice in the 2nd at the Big M Melman! Im All Country looks fit, and could win, just hope odds stay up.

As far as the 11th race though, I must say I like the 5 Everything To Me. Pierce has driven to back to back 1:55.3 miles, and in last just didn't have the room to move against much better horses.

Also wouldn't rule out 9 JM Gig E Moan, who also drops out of that race. This mare was moving against a 56.3, 1:26 pace. No wonder the 6 length loss in the stretch. Expecting pace to be much slower than that here, and at 15-1 M/L, and the driver change from Pat Berry to Brennan! Could be a big score!



I will keep with you in the 2nd, but will be Betting Win on 5 and 9 in the 11th, and since I like exotics, will be boxing an exacta in the 11th, 5-8-9, and hope for a bomb!

Good Luck Guys

In that 2d race @M1.....If the #10 FASHION WEEK can work out any kind of trip, she has the guns to beat this very weak field of losers

She has some back-class compared to these girls....She is dropping big-time into this one tonite, and from the 10-hole in her last race, she maintained her composure the whole way around, closing a bit into and after following a nice and speedy pace (fastest of any of these recently) Nice 1st race-back, since her vacation from Oct/09....She is fast & fit, I think....

It's just the trip ?.....My rules for a play from the outside posts @m1 say: A horse must have at least class or Speed and preferrably both...She has the class and speed, just not the early variety...Miller must work out a trip...

I'll be watching this one, horse & race, with interest....

best,

[Ray2000]

"The saddest words of tongue or pen...'what could have been'":(

Bets in $104, back $34, net -$70

Dover R9............214 no
Dover R15...........958 no scr 4
Flamboro R7.........589 ..................Winner $25.10
Western Fair R4.....628 no scr 4 off at 2/1 no win bet
The BigM R4.........692 no ...........................$42.60 to place
The BigM R6.........371 no
The BigM R10........472 no ...........................$19.80 to place
Maywood R1..........745 scr Wand's Cowgirl
Maywood R10.........146 no
Rideau-Carleton R7.5104 scr Ellindale Rocket
Rideau-Carleton R13.957 scr 2..............Winner $8.60
Rideau-Carleton R15.916 no off at 2/1 no win bet
Woodbine R9.........465 no
Woodbine R11........793 no

[melman]

Ray--You had a couple of huge bombs get second yesterday, sorta like kissing your sister. :) Did ok at Monticello yesterday with a winner bet late at $7.10 and a 2nd who paid $7.30 to place with a nice exacta. Passed on Im All Country and absurd odds of 4-5 my other one was up the track. Some for today.

Freehold
R2 3 Sporty Callie 6-1
R4 6 Menowyoulater 8-1
R10 6 Lizzie Mcardle 10-1

Meadowlands
R6 5 Pair A Dice 6-1
R7 6 Pj's Count on Luck 10-1

willphorse--Welcome to the s-bred section. Post again soon. Your horses were very solid at nice odds in the last race at M1 last night. The Burke stable did us in. :(

[Ray2000]

Mel

When I looked at Freehold R4, I thought.. there's two in here Mel would like (#6,#4 3rd start back)
guess I was right:)

I'll "sneak" in some Friday picks here


Betting Win if odds > 3/1 and Key Box Exactas


Freehold R4.........8 w/6,4,5 ...Credible Blu-10/1
Front ender changed tactics in last, sulked?, should be on the front today...

The BigM R1.........9 w/1,7 ...Little Creek Vic-12/1
Campbell has 6 Wins 134 starts? but I'll try him anyway

Maywood R3..........2 w/1,3 ...Caramel Conquest-10/1
203-202-201-200...now dr switch to Marcus a +

Meadows R11.........4 w/7,5,3 ...Springboard-5/1
#7 Switching to Palone and "hard to figure" #3 with Goodell puts this on my playlist

Woodbine R2.........5 w/10,2 ...Its About Motion-10/1
57% ITM last year, draws the Golden 5 Post.... Win/Show/Keybox

Yonkers R10........5 on top/412...Saymynamesaymyna 8/1
Too many non-competitive races at Yonkers, hard to find a bettable race this year

Good Luck to All

[camluck49]

Ray---I'm "tripping out" with these four today.

Monticello
R9 5 Poetry Affair 8-1
R10 2 Western Samantha 8-1

Meadowlands
R2 6 Im All Country 6-1
R11 8 Smashy Cerise 12-1


Monti played them top and bottom in ex with the program picks. bet wps. :ThmbUp: TY.

[toetoe]

Ray--You had a couple of huge bombs get second yesterday, sorta like kissing your sister. :)



Kissing my sister was much better ... :blush: . Tonight Aas moved me up to 300th in the format-challenged challenge. I also had Looselipssinkships, a disappointment. :( . Still flattered that Raybestos liked two of mine. :cool: .

[melman]

Camluck--Glad you had them at Monticello. Was a nice day there.

Today at Freehold one 2nd which got me a small exacta, one nowhere, and one SCR.

Adding one at Meadowlands tonight
R4 7 Ardens Storm--See he getting first juice fits with this group. Using with 2 and 9. The "Storm" 10-1 on the line.

Toe---Who was that driver on Tonight Aas? One of your Vegas buds? :)

[LottaKash]

FYI...At the Big-m tonite Fri. 1/29...The "WIND" is going to be even stronger tonite 19mph with gusts to 30mph...and the "TEMP" will be lower as well...23o

So, with the winds out of the NW, it is almost the same as last nite (thur), only worse...right in the leaders faces, and strong coming down the lane....I will mostly watch, I think, as I usually don't do as well on these types of nite....

GL for those who are more adventurous than I...


best,

[toetoe]

Toe---Who was that driver on Tonight Aas? One of your Vegas buds? :)



I thought I was getting the great Anne Schlichtig. :D .



Tonight I have:

Winbak the Bet
Y F Little Guy
Stacked Deck

Tough, but not wide enough open to stab at 30/1 steeds. I love the middle leg --- nice trotters, including a 17/17 in-the-money mare. :ThmbUp: .

[melman]

Toe---Your picking "the little guy" watch out that could get you in trouble around here. :)

[toetoe]

Toe---Your picking "the little guy" watch out that could get you in trouble around here. :)



Shall we call him Rod for short, even though I hear it isn't ? He is, only it isn't. :liar: .