SchagFactorToWin
11-20-2009, 12:46 PM
I know this is a longshot but I am looking for expected exacta payouts from past races at Yonkers- nothing much, just April-October 2009!
I am trying to improve my money management skills. I usually wheel my pick with the next two best horses. But I finally realized that betting on a $6 exacta is probably not smart! So now I am tracking the payouts of those two combinations each race and am planning on betting only those combinations that pay above the break even point (which I calculate so: $ bet/win percentage, i.e.: a two bet wheel with a 40% win rate would be 4/.4= only bet if payout is $10 or more).
But I only started tracking the expected payouts a couple of weeks ago. YouBet only keeps the data posted that race day. My sample size is small but promising. I don't like to change betting technique without some statistical back-up, though.
Again, I realize that the chances of someone keeping a record of every race's exacta payouts is slim, but I've received great help from this forum before, so I thought I'd give it a shot.
I am trying to improve my money management skills. I usually wheel my pick with the next two best horses. But I finally realized that betting on a $6 exacta is probably not smart! So now I am tracking the payouts of those two combinations each race and am planning on betting only those combinations that pay above the break even point (which I calculate so: $ bet/win percentage, i.e.: a two bet wheel with a 40% win rate would be 4/.4= only bet if payout is $10 or more).
But I only started tracking the expected payouts a couple of weeks ago. YouBet only keeps the data posted that race day. My sample size is small but promising. I don't like to change betting technique without some statistical back-up, though.
Again, I realize that the chances of someone keeping a record of every race's exacta payouts is slim, but I've received great help from this forum before, so I thought I'd give it a shot.