question

[HUSKER55]

how many verify that what you are measureing with your method work?

or do you just count the strike rate

or nothing at all

[GaryG]

Just the profit and loss. My ADW is nice enough to do it for me, so I have more time to visit PA.....

[CBedo]

Hard to answer. I try to "know" what's going on, but sometimes you don't know what you know or know what you don't know. :rolleyes:

[QuarterCrack]

And if you don't know what you don't know, how would you even know you didn't know what you didn't know?

:confused:

[raybo]

Back when I actually used speed, pace , class, and race ratings as factors, I tried to verify whether they were in the ballpark or not, for obvious reasons.

Now I don't use any ratings produced by the data provider. I use raw times and adjust them by fractional variants and variable times per beaten length. This process gets me as close to how each horse performed as I have ever been able to get.

The verification process, for me, centers around making sure my auto-paceline method has selected a legitimate paceline for grading each horse.

Another verification centers around an analysis of where the money is coming from and whether or not good support is warranted or not.

[skate]

If the race went the way i had 'it', i doubt i'd look further.

If i lost, I'd like to find an answer.

I doubt that the answer would be in my pace figures, more likely the horse was not sent., or the race ran away from my idea.