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View Full Version : AGAIN!...Equidaily's "Bombs Away" Report...Bet $4,500 Return $8,020


Turfday
11-08-2009, 12:29 AM
http://www.equidaily.com/bestbet/opinion/2007/71026.html

Once again, from the report posted on Equidaily's website in 2007:

Simply WIN betting blindly on all Breeder's Cup entrants at 20/1 or higher.

On Friday and Saturday, there were combined 45 Breeder's Cup entrants that went off at 20/1 or higher.

Example of betting $100 to win on all of them:

There were win payoffs of $52.60, $63.20 and $44.60.

BET $4,500

RETURN $8,020

PROFIT $3,520

cmoore
11-08-2009, 12:53 AM
Twinspire profit line over lays at 10-1 or higher did pretty good...Fourteen plays. Two winners.

Race 4)..:6:...$52.60....Profit Line odds were 12-1..

Race 5)..:7:...$63.20...Profit Line odds were 19-1

This is in the tool tab on the odds board..The over lays are in red..

Donnie
11-08-2009, 07:51 AM
Once again, from the report posted on Equidaily's website in 2007:

...wondering how that approach did in 2008...??

Linny
11-09-2009, 11:52 AM
Seth mentioned to me on Saturday that he didn't do the report for last year because he wasn't sure how "true" the odds were, but that he would in fact revisit 2008.

cj
11-09-2009, 06:44 PM
In 2008 there was one $75 winner.

I have no idea what he means by "true" odds, but I went by the results charts.

There were 51 horses that went off 20 to 1 or more.

$5100 bet
$3750 returned

$1350 lost

WinterTriangle
11-10-2009, 01:03 AM
so over 2 years it would have been a $2,170 profit for wagering $9,600.

Not for me.

When I get in the mood to blow money blindly, (which I don't) I'd do a search, on a rainy day, of all horses with the word storm, stormy, slop, etc. in their names. Another day, I'd do all horses with word gold, golden, goldie, etc.

Done it on paper, made a profit both times. :)

$9600 is too rich to "dispense with handicapping" for me, though.

bigmack
11-10-2009, 01:28 AM
He won't answer, but is Bob Selvin serious with this garbage

If I were Jeff Siegal I would part ways pronto.

Seems like we hear from him every time a big day rolls around.

Darn shame there's a lack of rope a dopes around here. Then again....

Our site of redboardingsuckers.com had post position 2 as the winning flavor.

Check out our SuperDuper Results:
29.80, 44.60, 3.80 or $78.20 for $20 bet.

Think of what you could do with that money!!

See ya next year. (two days later)

http://i165.photobucket.com/albums/u70/macktime/11_9_09_22_28_58.png

Turfday
11-10-2009, 01:40 AM
That was the jist of my post and not just this year's results.

bigmack
11-10-2009, 01:46 AM
That was the jist of my post and not just this year's results.
Ah, now I see.

http://i165.photobucket.com/albums/u70/macktime/11_9_09_22_42_44.png


It had nothing to do with:



http://i165.photobucket.com/albums/u70/macktime/11_9_09_22_45_04.png

Turfday
11-10-2009, 01:47 AM
.
Betting Interests

20-1 or higher $2 Win Wager Total Return ROI

All-time 20-1 or higher 727 $1454.00 $1618.70 25%

bigmack
11-10-2009, 01:50 AM
http://i165.photobucket.com/albums/u70/macktime/11_9_09_22_49_12.png

Turfday
11-10-2009, 01:52 AM
IMPATIENT:

im⋅pa⋅tient  /ɪmˈpeɪʃənt/ Show Spelled Pronunciation [im-pey-shuhnt] Show IPA
Use IMPATIENT in a Sentence


–adjective 1. not patient; not accepting delay, opposition, pain, etc., with calm or patience.

2. indicating lack of patience: an impatient answer.

3. restless in desire or expectation; eagerly desirous.

—Idiom4. impatient of, intolerant of: impatient of any interruptions.

* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *

Betting Interests

20-1 or higher $2 Win Wager Total Return ROI

All-time 20-1 or higher 727 $1454.00 $1618.70 25%


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

bigmack
11-10-2009, 02:06 AM
I give. You're right.

Next year I follow/buy your approach. Thanks for the insight.

Turfday
11-10-2009, 02:46 AM
There have been a grand total of 848 Breeder's Cup starters at 20/1 or higher.

A blind $2 win bet on all 848 would cost $1,696.

The return is $1,854.10...a profit of $158.10. Not quite 10%. I trust most handicappers making $2 win bets on 848 Breeder's Cup starters of their choice would fare worse and I would place myself at the top of that list.

Unfortunately, the plays of 20/1 or higher are not broke down by field size.

Perhaps it be reasonable to assume that if you limited your plays at 20/1 or higher to the bigger fields sizes that you would enhance the profit potential ?

It would be interesting to find out if there is a correlation with field size.