Calder- Saturday 10/17/2009

[MitchS]

Calders up today at the website. Having a little trouble with the editor this morning so you need to copy and paste the link into your browser to download the file.

Have a great day at the track,
M

[MitchS]

Fixed the editor so you can just click on the download link now :). Be back later for some race analysis.

M

[MitchS]

MSW Fillies 3,4 and 5 years olds and 3 FTS in the 8 horse field, Ugg..

# :1: has got the right fig's but this is a low probability race. Don't bet the farm, you might end up horseless :)

# :1: 4/1 or better

[MitchS]

Last race as expected, :1: ran 3rd.

:2: nd race-

Looking at the numbers in this 12/0 RP race the # :6: seems to get the best of it with a majority of the numbers. High confidence. Need value though

# :6: 9/5 or better

[MitchS]

Well that was a nice result and we got our value. # :6: won and paid $7.60.

:3: rd Race-

Even though this race is listed as a 19/1 RP we still have a little pressure up front. The # :2: has got numbers to stalk right behind with the best class and trainer in the field. Medium confidence.

# :2: 5/2 or better

[MitchS]

The # :2: in the last hit the board and we didn't have value. Interestingly the # :3: horse won which was our top rated horse with the fig's but personally I just didn't see the race that way. Oh well. No plays that race anyway.

:4: th Race-

I learned years ago that if you can't see the race clearly in your head, that your better off staying out of the race. Theres no way to be long term profitable in these situations. This is one of those times. Low confidence. Be an interesting one to watch.

Long-shot possibles- 10-3-2

[MitchS]

:5: th Race-

# :5: looks pretty dominating with all of the fig's in this race and were not going to get any price. Good one to sit out.

[MitchS]

:6: th Race-

The numbers are a little off in this race with the programs top fig horse because he's only raced one time and that was in a MSW race. The # :5: horse is dominate in this race. Dominate enough for me at least not to try to beat him. We take what the race gives us. High confidence.

# :5: 6/5 or better

[MitchS]

:7: th Race-

No speed a 28/0 RP. Tight spread with some of the figs. The # :4: looks like the one to get the job done. We need 3/1 though and we're not going to get it.


# :4: 3/1 or better

[MitchS]

LOL, opps. Actually had that last one. Wrote in this post the #4 but I meant the #6, the top rated horse on the program who won the race.. Good result

[MitchS]

:8: th Race-

# :3: 9/5

[MitchS]

Ran out in that last one..

:9: th Race-

Can't seem to pinpoint any reasonably priced horses at Calder today. We seem to be picking the short prices with no value. That's the way it goes sometimes, we can only take what the track and the public gives us. Course it only takes one race to make one fat and happy :cool:. Patience, patience, Patience...


# :6: 9/5

[MitchS]

Won the last race but no value.

:10: th Race-

I know what it is, it's all of these dang' Stakes races. Give me a cheap claiming race any day :sleeping:

# :3: 9/5 or better

[MitchS]

No surprise in the last. We had the winner which paid short. It's chalk city, maybe will uncover a nugget in the next :ThmbUp:

:11: th Race-

35/2 RP. If we look at the H4f and 4BL we've got 4 horses applying pressure in this race. We're looking for a closer in this race. the # :4: horse fits the bill pretty good with decent overall numbers, a 4.06 4BL so he stays pretty close to the pace, not too far out of it, 2nd rate SPD and 1st rated LATE. Pretty tight rating in this race so will need really good value.

# :4: 6/1

[MitchS]

At least we had a 8/1 horse to rout home in that last race. Unfortunately he ran 4th. Oh well that racing. It was a good bet and thats the important thing.

:12: th Race-

My fig's just aren't geared for Stakes and or 2 year old racing. I'll sit this one out..

[MitchS]

:13: th Race-

Two horse race between :2: and :8:

# :2: 3/1


Have a great night!

[whobet]

Wow, Mitch is back,

Where did you go,

you are a great handicapper,

go Mitch

[MitchS]

Hi Whobet,

Where have I been? well long story... I'm doing great though. Thanks for the compliment, I don't know about great, competent maybe :blush:. Glad to see you're still around. Hope all is well.

M