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View Full Version : long term capital pays 09-12-2009 move over Derek Jetter


formula_2002
09-13-2009, 05:23 AM
Today, should be the day I break 200 posted plays with a positive roi.
Move over Derek Jetter

9/13/2009

83 WINS IN 193 POSTED PLAYS FOR A 1.04 ROI

GAME IS FOR FUN ONLY
http://longtermcapitalwinner.homestead.com/
SET VIEW TO C:\MARCHIA9\N155.QBE

N155>=25 .and. N157>=2, field size >=7, ODDS<=5.AND.VAL(N228)>=.5
WIN AND exacta BETTING (pick/two shortest odd)
per exacta analysis at http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=61591

double bet FOR WIN when val(n228)>=.5.and.ODDS>=2


prior to placing bet , inspect win pool $ to insure bet size does not change payout by 3 cents or more
max win pool bet seems to be about , winpool prior to takeout x .005

TRACK RACE # PGNO NAME ML POST TIME N155 MULTIPLIER N228 FIELD SIZE FINAL ODDS N157
TPX 2 2 SYSTEMS STEV 1.00 1:37 36.231 0.09 0.632 8 999 2
CRC 9 1A BRINGITHOMEB 2.50 4:26 46.052 0.09 0.593 12 999 2
APX 6 7 SATIN SWEEP 6.00 4:32 35.527 0.10 0.665 9 999 2
LAD 7 1 JENNIFERS VE 1.60 5:25 40.672 0.13 0.881 11 999 3
WOX 10 12 OPEN ZIPPER 2.50 5:27 50.624 0.10 0.656 13 999 3
BEL 10 8 SULTANS SWOR 3.00 5:47 32.447 0.10 0.646 12 999 3
EMD 5 1 CLAIR ANNETT 3.00 6:44 36.236 0.10 0.666 7 999 2
EMD 6 11 KNIGHT RAIDE 0.50 7:10 42.106 0.10 0.639 11 999 3
MNR 4 4 ALFAARIS MAG 6.00 8:15 39.006 0.12 0.809 9 999 2
MNR 6 7 ULTRA REGENT 2.50 9:05 30.321 0.08 0.518 9 999 2

formula_2002
09-13-2009, 03:22 PM
Turfway Park - Race 2 Chart
# Win Place Show
2 $2.60 $2.20 $2.10

formula_2002
09-13-2009, 07:04 PM
unfortunately, this race did not qualify since the field size scratched dn to 6 horses.
perhaps someone missed that caveat :)

Emerald Downs - Race 5
# Win Place Show
1 $7.60 $2.80 $2.20 3 . $2.10 $2.10
4 . . $3.40
Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$1.00 Exacta 1-3 $6.10

formula_2002
09-13-2009, 08:29 PM
Mountaineer - Race 4
# Win Place Show
4 $6.60 $3.80 $3.20 6 . $3.60 $3.00
3 . . $4.80
Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$2.00 Exacta 4-6 $23.80

with 1 race remaining here is where we stand;
3 wins in 7 races, win pool cost $14.00 and returned $13.20 :(
7 exacta races cost $28.00 and returned $12.00+$23.80 = $35.80* :)

*thats why its good when you get more of a rebate in the exacta pools ;)
twice the cost of the win pool bet and twice the rebate.
even if your exacta roi is a bit less than your win pool roi, its a good deal.
of course you have to have a root profit.

formula_2002
09-13-2009, 09:52 PM
Mountaineer - Race 6
# Win Place Show
7 $7.00 $3.80 $2.80
2 . $4.40 $3.60
1 . . $11.40
Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$2.00 Exacta 7-2 $27.20

that was the last race of the day making for a clear win pool and exacta pool profit.

green80
09-13-2009, 10:04 PM
200 plays with a ++ roi, a good job in anybody's book.

speculus
09-13-2009, 10:32 PM
Move over Derek Jetter


Congrats Formula. Great show.

Btw, sorry for my ignorance, but who's Derek Jetter?

CBedo
09-13-2009, 10:53 PM
Congrats Formula. Great show.

Btw, sorry for my ignorance, but who's Derek Jetter?I think Derek Jetter is Derek Jeter's (the New York Yankee who just broke the team record for number of hits as a Yankee) horseplaying cousin. :lol:

CBedo
09-13-2009, 11:01 PM
Nice job Formula. How many racing days did it take to find 200 plays?

formula_2002
09-14-2009, 03:37 AM
Nice job Formula. How many racing days did it take to find 200 plays?

Thank You

18 say, see
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?p=753185#post753185

formula_2002
09-14-2009, 03:40 AM
Congrats Formula. Great show.

Btw, sorry for my ignorance, but who's Derek Jetter?
thanks

Derek Jeter now stands alone atop the Yankees' all-time hit list after a single to right field against Baltimore on Friday night gave him 2,722 career hits.
http://derekjeter.mlb.com/players/jeter_derek/index.jsp

formula_2002
09-14-2009, 03:41 AM
200 plays with a ++ roi, a good job in anybody's book.
thanks

easy game eh :)

formula_2002
09-14-2009, 09:53 PM
days finals
4 wins in 8 plays
win pool bet total $16.00, returned $20.20

3 exacta pool wins
bet $32, returned $63.00

green80
09-15-2009, 12:25 PM
No more plays? we were on a roll !!!

formula_2002
09-15-2009, 01:37 PM
No more plays? we were on a roll !!!
Just trying to make sure we don't get toasted?? :)

checking the model against other data bases. So far so good.