LONG TERM CAPITAL PLAYS 09-06-2009

[formula_2002]

9/6/2009
GAME IS FOR FUN ONLY
http://longtermcapitalwinner.homestead.com/
N155>=25 .and. N157>=2, field size >=7
bankroll = n192, start with $466.55
bet multiplier =(.015/(1/n228)*10)
bet size =multiplier X bankroll

double bet when
val(n228)>=.5.and.val(n202)>=2.or.val(n228)<.5.and.val(n202)<2
prior to placing bet , inspect win pool $ to insure bet size does not change payout by 3 cents or more
max win pool bet seems to be about , winpool prior to takeout x .005

TRACK RACE # PGNO NAME ML POST TIME N155 MULTIPLIER N228 FIELD SIZE FINAL ODDS
SAR 1 6 ATTRACTIVE R 15.00 1:00 29.944 0.05 0.321 10 999
TIM 2 8 TURKS REALIT 2.00 1:33 29.954 0.09 0.614 8 999
CRC 3 6 RUBY LIPSTIC 2.00 1:44 25.644 0.12 0.769 8 999
CTX 3 14 KEEP COOL 8.00 1:48 30.226 0.03 0.192 14 999
RDX 1 7 MY LAGNIAPPE 3.50 2:00 27.049 0.11 0.725 7 999
MTH 4 2 POP PANEBIAN 4.00 2:20 30.793 0.06 0.400 10 999
CTX 5 12 GRACIES CHOI 2.00 2:36 32.041 0.09 0.606 13 999
CTX 8 12 BLACKFEET 4.00 3:48 26.608 0.06 0.426 12 999
TIM 7 8 BEARZAVA 2.50 3:58 36.262 0.09 0.600 9 999
CTX 9 13 FIRST GOROUN 2.50 4:12 42.657 0.08 0.542 13 999
ALB 3 3 HIGH POCKETS 4.00 4:20 29.018 0.05 0.300 11 999
RDX 6 9 CRUZABLE 3.50 4:25 36.859 0.09 0.607 12 999
SAR 10 1 HOT DIXIE CH 0.80 5:56 39.680 0.12 0.785 9 999
PID 6 5 SERRA LEE TR 3.50 7:35 29.854 0.06 0.400 9 999
DMR 9 6 COLONEL JOHN 2.50 8:10 27.577 0.06 0.374 12 999
DMR 10 11 STREAKIN EXC 2.00 8:41 41.836 0.08 0.536 10 999

[green80]

what is n157?

[formula_2002]

what is n157?
N155 AND N157 ARE TWO OF THE COMPUTER GENERATED RATING I USE.

BY THE WAY , AS I POSTED SOMEWHERE RECENTLY, THE PROFITS SEEM TO BE LIMITED TO 1ST AND 2ND CHOICES.. BUT TOO EARLY REALLY TELL IF THAT WILLL HOLD UP.
LETS HOPE THE 1ST AT SAR CAN INCLUDED GREATER CHOICES :)

[formula_2002]

Saratoga - Race 1
# Win Place Show
5 $33.20 $16.00 $8.80
6 . $20.20 $11.20

I THOUGHT IF THE 6 WAS IN THE LEAD AT THE BEGINING OF THE RACE, HE WOULD HAVE A CHANCE TO WIN.
WELL HE GOT THE LEAD AND HELD IT ALL THE UP TO ABOUT 12" TO THE FINISH LINE.

[formula_2002]

Calder - Race 2 Chart
# Win Place Show
3 $33.60 $10.60 $6.80
6 . $3.20 $2.80

two beats in a row by a $33 horse

[formula_2002]

River - Race 1
# Win Place Show
2 $10.60 $4.80 $4.20
5 . $6.40 $3.80
7 . . $2.60

[formula_2002]

days final

2 winners in 10 plays
cost $20, lost lost $13.40

structured bet br started with $331, finished with $150.

here is an "if" for you, IF that 20-1 beast in the 1st at Sar won and had not lost by a head, the flat bet gain for the day would have been $14.7 and the structured br would have ended with $587.

:(...breakdown attached

[formula_2002]

CORRECTION
2 winners in 11 plays
cost $20, lost lost $15.40

structured bet br started with $331, finished with $146.