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proximity
08-31-2009, 08:22 PM
not sure if anyone here keeps statistics on this, but i'm looking for statistics on top last out figure horses:

*top figure overall win percentage

*top figure win pct if that figures wasn't a lifetime top for the horse

*top figure win pct if the figure was a lifetime top for the horse

*maybe some ranges for "tops" based on number of starts....

any help is greatly appreciated:)

Jeff P
08-31-2009, 08:55 PM
Here's what I have for the most recent 18 months...

LastRaceBrisFig rank = 1 with no attempt to break ties:
SQL: SELECT * FROM STARTERHISTORY
WHERE RANKLASTRACEBRISFIG = 1


Data Summary Win Place Show
Mutuel Totals 78415.00 79155.00 79672.10
Bet -92212.00 -92212.00 -92212.00
Gain -13797.00 -13057.00 -12539.90

Wins 12059 20888 27169
Plays 46106 46106 46106
PCT .2615 .4530 .5893

ROI 0.8504 0.8584 0.8640
Avg Mut 6.50 3.79 2.93

Broken out by fig and pace top:


By:
New Top Gain Bet Roi Wins Plays Pct Impact
0 -6694.60 41498.00 0.8387 5669 20749 .2732 1.0446 PaceTop: FALSE FigTop: FALSE
1 -3602.00 26700.00 0.8651 3218 13350 .2410 0.9216 PaceTop: FALSE FigTop: TRUE
2 -870.90 6548.00 0.8670 951 3274 .2905 1.1106 PaceTop: TRUE FigTop: FALSE
3 -2629.50 17466.00 0.8495 2221 8733 .2543 0.9724 PaceTop: TRUE FigTop: TRUE



-jp

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proximity
08-31-2009, 09:12 PM
jeff p, thank you for that extremely fast and detailed response. :)

interesting that both groups of horses for whom the effort was a "pace top" actually outperformed their rival groups who had actually shown the pace figure (or better) in the past....