Is the crowd getting smarter?

[Ray2000]

Ave Win and Exacta returns are dropping.


All of 2008 All of 2009
..................Races ..Ave win Ave Ex Races Ave win Ave Ex
BigM 1405 $13.44 $100.74 1627 $12.70 $90.87


I don't have complete years for all tracks but this compares last 5 months


10/10/08-3/31/09 4/1/09-8/25/09
..............Races............ Ave win Ave Ex Races Ave win Ave Ex
MEA 1604 $12.17 $84.55 1314 $13.31 $91.17 up
YR 1339 $11.54 $68.70 1405 $11.15 $65.59
NFLD 1476 $11.58 $74.84 1091 $11.42 $75.87
FLMD 1428 $11.62 $84.01 905 $10.36 $74.03 down
MR 1084 $11.07 $68.16 1119 $10.91 $62.69
RIDC 936 $10.89 $83.57 1126 $10.62 $78.85
BMLP 809 $13.07 $89.33 971 $11.80 $80.47 down
CHST 460 $12.53 $76.28 1310 $10.88 $64.83 big down
STGA 570 $11.07 $66.64 1165 $10.77 $65.70
FHLD 1034 $9.62 $55.42 501 $9.44 $48.32
LON 895 $11.16 $69.46 467 $10.64 $64.83 down
PPK 986 $10.87 $68.05 275 $10.67 $59.73
HAR 135 $11.08 $58.68 1076 $11.21 $70.32
CALX 597 $10.89 $30.49 487 $11.44 $30.02
MAY 479 $11.74 $74.09 536 $10.82 $66.55 down

WDB 1201 $13.71 $102.42
MOH 1046 $13.46 $102.26


I'm not aware of any changes in takeout.

Exactas for Calx based on 1$

[DeanT]

Ray,

Field size at the M stunk this year, so one could figure to have lower prices? One of the best places to make a good bet, became one of the worst with Chester and YR stealing those deep fields.

[Ray2000]

Good point, DeanT... so many factors to consider..

[LottaKash]

Ray,

Field size at the M stunk this year, so one could figure to have lower prices? One of the best places to make a good bet, became one of the worst with Chester and YR stealing those deep fields.

I agree with you Dean and Ray, on that score...Plus, in all the years that I have been playing the Big-M (I was there on opening nite), this year, is the "stinkiest" year for the "quality" of the horses....I mean there were a lot of junk races this year, compared to other years....And, so many of them, at that....

I love the "Big" name races, and there is no other place on the planet that can top the Big-M for top quality horses in the "Big" named races....But the rest of the season was just "filler", imo....junk ....

I played vey little there this year....

best,

[badcompany]

Another way to look at this is that in the warmer months the racing is better and more formful.

The point made about the Meadowlands is a good one. There was a big change in the cards because of big money Racino tracks in NYC and Philly.

[Ray2000]

Another way to look at this is that in the warmer months the racing is better and more formful



Badcompany

Another good point I was going to mention but forgot. Also the Canadian tracks are not complete, I only have info for the days I was interested in making a bet:)

[RaceTrackDaddy]

I have to agree with the above. With the slots pumping in tons of cash for purses at Pokie, YR, Chester and others, the amount of horse flesh and the quality overall has not been as competitive as in past years.

Look for another drop with their not racing in Nov-Dec. That usually produces some nice payouts as the fall turns into winter. Now, they will start in the dead of winter. Do not see the quality nor the quanity to increase. With less days to race this fall-winter, stables who moved elsewhere might be happy to stay there until the stake season comes into play.

NJ has to do something drastic, like permitting the tracks to become racinos and quit protecting Mr Trump and his friends in Atlantic City. Open it up and put both Monmouth and The Big M for sale or auction them off with a reserve of 500 million each. The state will be out of the racing biz but will a billion or more richer and Donald Trump might have to buy one of the tracks to keep his power.

rtd