Preakness Odds and PP's

[Kentucky Bred]

Funny Cide gets post 9

Preakness post positions and morning lines odds (post positions number will differ from wagering numbers)
Scrimshaw and Senor Swinger are coupled in the wagering
1 - Cherokee's Boy 15-1
2- A/Scrimshaw 5-1
3 - Foufa's Warrior 20-1
4 - Kissin Saint 20-1
5 - Ten Cents a Shine 15-1 6 - Midway Road 20-1
7 - Peace Rules 8-5
8 - New York Hero 20-1
9 - Funny Cide 7-5
10 - A/Senor Swinger 5-1


Peace rules at 8-5?! So much for my theories of maybe getting a price 7-2 or 4-1. I don't think so.

Even 5-1 on Senior Swinger is cheesy since I don't want Scrimshaw to help me but he lowers the price.

There doesn't look like any price to me.

Helppppp!!!!!!

Kentucky Bred

[JustRalph]

we need another Magic Weisner..........

[Shacopate]

Originally, I had planned a Funny Cide - Peace Rules cold exacta, but I didn't think it would come up this chalky. I thought that Empire Maker might be favored if he ran, but trying to figure out Sir Bobby isn't easy.

A couple of things have me concerned with Funny Cide. One, he is again shipping late. A move tried by Frankel last year. Two, he draws post 9 with two superior speed horses in the 7 and 8 posts. That to me spells: WIDE TRIP.

Ten Cents a Shine runs a 97 beyer with an 11 wide trip in the Derby. He follows that up with a blistering 46 workout which is freaky for a deep closer. I think this might lead to about a ten point Beyer improvement that puts him right in the race. Magic Weisner style.

When you factor in the connections of Bailey and Lukas I think this makes for a very live horse at a nice price.

[Bubbles]

Kissin Saint ran a decent race in the Wood and reeled off three in a row before that. He's shown he can run in the mud, he's versatile, and he's at 20-1? An incredible bargain if you ask me...

[Kentucky Bred]

Cherokee's Boy

Using conventional handicapping techniques only:

Capuano knows just a bit about Pimlico

Ditto Fogelsonger

Speed on the rail excellent advantage

15-1 odds I expect a bet down

Experienced with 12 starts

Won carrying 124 pounds

Can sit just off a very fast pace or be the pace

All the speed to the outside..possible traffic problems

If it turns out wet..look out..390 Tomlinson plus 2 starts 1-0-1

$414k in earnings

Lights out works


Negatives:

Expected fast pace

Breeding?? Citidancer (but distance on the bottom side)

Tends to run 2nd and 3rd alot.

Never put 2 wins in a row before.

I would like to see more experience with Kissin Saint.

I think Ten Cents will get noticed with ultra fast Lukas works plus Bailey. It will take more than an allowance horse and fast works to win this though.

Kentucky Bred

[Kentucky Bred]

He has put two wins together.

KB

[cj]

Another Negative...

He's sloooowwww.

At his odds, still worth throwing in the 3 and 4 slots.

CJ

[Kentucky Bred]

"36 year old gelding"--One of the funniest things I've ever read on this site. It takes balls to post it, so to speak. (LOL)

KB

[cj]

Originally posted by Kentucky Bred
"36 year old gelding"--One of the funniest things I've ever read on this site. It takes balls to post it, so to speak. (LOL)

KB

and true, too!

CJ