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markgoldie
07-16-2009, 12:13 PM
Today's 9th at Monmouth has all the earmarkings of a bridge-jumper special.

Big Shadow #6 enjoys an 11.4 Prime Power advantage over the remainder of the field. Furthermore, she is a Beyer "omni-fig" special, which means that any one of her last 3 figs are higher than any fig that appears in the last three lines of any of the competition. Furthermore, she is wheeling right back in 8 days, so the chances that she is in representative form are very high.

Those of us who enjoy those $40 show mutuels when one of these fails should be on the alert. On the other hand, I suppose this post could also be viewed as a "heads up" to the jumpers themselves in case they may have missed this opportunity.

Mark

Calhoun
07-16-2009, 01:03 PM
Today's 9th at Monmouth has all the earmarkings of a bridge-jumper special.

Big Shadow #6 enjoys an 11.4 Prime Power advantage over the remainder of the field. Furthermore, she is a Beyer "omni-fig" special, which means that any one of her last 3 figs are higher than any fig that appears in the last three lines of any of the competition. Furthermore, she is wheeling right back in 8 days, so the chances that she is in representative form are very high.

Those of us who enjoy those $40 show mutuels when one of these fails should be on the alert. On the other hand, I suppose this post could also be viewed as a "heads up" to the jumpers themselves in case they may have missed this opportunity.

Mark
Hi,

Monmouth is the track I play and I like this race so I'll jump in. Despite the figs edge, I don't care for Big Shadow at all here. Her last race was very, very mediocre imo. She sat a perfect trip, couldn't gain on the top two and got passed up for 3rd by a seemingly inferior Bros Sis. Also, the favorite in the race, Celestial Flight, never ran a step. As to her recency, I suppose it may be a plus but it is also her 3rd race in 27 days and I consider that tight spacing of her races a bit of a negative, at least on a horse that looks like she'll go off 4/5 or lower. Finally, she's been through a few successful barns this year without much to show for it. I think in this race she's just as likely to sit 4th or 5th early than be as close up as in her last couple so that's probably good for those who are playing against her in the show pool. I'm singling Miss Freud in my pick 4.

Sorry if I drifted from the subject.

markgoldie
07-16-2009, 01:12 PM
Good to hear that there are some negatives from a Monmouth specialist. As far as post-time odds, I've been watching these types carefully and there just isn't enough negative in her form for these types of players to get scared. Therefore, I fearlessly predict the off-time odds to be 1-5. Will be interesting.

SansuiSC
07-16-2009, 01:52 PM
If nobody else catches it make sure you tweet it.
We just had a nice score from Woodbine in the 2nd that was sent via twitter bridgejumper alert. Many have it go to mobile phones.

markgoldie
07-16-2009, 04:33 PM
Very late (after the off) "mini" jumper bet to show of about 6k sent the total up to 10k or so. Definitely passed by the serious jumpers.

As I predicted 1-5 and was a handy winner over Calhoun's pick who ran a very hard second. No opportunities in this one. But there's always another day.

Mark