5/8 Today's MLO False Favs...

[hurrikane]

In all fairness this is Midnights idea...I'm just carrying the torch until get get back from whatever....:D

Some dogs to go against

19% win rate....

tDATE tTRK nRACE tPGM nMLO
5/8/2003 BEL 4 6 2
5/8/2003 BEL 5 5 3
5/8/2003 BEL 6 2 3
5/8/2003 BEL 7 10 2
5/8/2003 BEL 8 3 2
5/8/2003 BM 2 1 2
5/8/2003 BM 5 7 2
5/8/2003 CD 3 5 3
5/8/2003 CD 7 9 2
5/8/2003 CD 8 5 3
5/8/2003 CD 4 6 2
5/8/2003 CD 9 3 3
5/8/2003 CT 5 5 2
5/8/2003 CT 2 10 2
5/8/2003 CT 4 5 2
5/8/2003 EMD 2 7 4
5/8/2003 EMD 3 5 2
5/8/2003 EMD 5 8 3
5/8/2003 EMD 6 6 3
5/8/2003 EVD 6 6 2
5/8/2003 EVD 8 1 2
5/8/2003 FMT 9 1 3
5/8/2003 HOL 2 3 2
5/8/2003 HOL 4 5 1
5/8/2003 HOL 6 6 3
5/8/2003 HOL 8 5 1
5/8/2003 IND 1 5 2
5/8/2003 IND 3 6 2
5/8/2003 IND 5 2 2
5/8/2003 IND 8 8 2
5/8/2003 IND 9 1 2
5/8/2003 IND 9 1A 2
5/8/2003 LA 4 6 2
5/8/2003 LS 2 1 2
5/8/2003 LS 2 1A 2
5/8/2003 LS 3 9 4
5/8/2003 LS 6 11 3
5/8/2003 LS 8 5 2
5/8/2003 LS 9 12 2
5/8/2003 PEN 1 3 2
5/8/2003 PEN 2 2 2
5/8/2003 PEN 4 4 2
5/8/2003 PEN 5 1A 2
5/8/2003 PEN 7 1 1
5/8/2003 PEN 8 2 1
5/8/2003 PEN 9 2 2
5/8/2003 PIM 1 1 2
5/8/2003 PIM 2 6 2
5/8/2003 PIM 4 5 2
5/8/2003 PIM 6 1 2
5/8/2003 PIM 6 1A 2
5/8/2003 RD 1 4 2
5/8/2003 RD 11 6 2
5/8/2003 TDN 6 4 3
5/8/2003 TDN 8 4 4
5/8/2003 TDN 12 4 3
5/8/2003 TDN 14 1 2
5/8/2003 TDN 14 1A 2



Super dogs! 13% Win Rate


tDATE tTRK nRACE tPGM nMLO
5/8/2003 BEL 5 5 3
5/8/2003 BEL 6 2 3
5/8/2003 IND 8 8 2
5/8/2003 IND 9 1A 2
5/8/2003 TDN 12 4 3

[freeneasy]

tx cane ood info, that # 2 inthe 6th looks real addictive, is it possible to elaborate a little on what makes him a 13% winning favorite?

[freeneasy]

Bel #2 6th

[hurrikane]

Free,
it's based on a few things I run through my data that says they win at a much lesser rate than they should.
This particular fig on this type of horse in the last 2 yrs is 4/24 at Bel. 16% wins.
Small sample when broken out by track, I'll admit .

Actually looking at the race I'm not really impressed with this horse.
55 days off...one work 9 days ago.
The trainer is not a favorite and you will get no price whatsoever with Bailey on him.

There is more value with some others. 1 8 or 7.

If you don't want to go against then maybe pass. If your doing a Pick x them maybe put him in if he scares you. I'd be looking elsewhere.

[Pace Cap'n]

Nice call. Order of finish: 7-1-1A-8.

[freeneasy]

yep threw him out the door, and he didnt come back, got on the winner had a little fun with him, thanky cane