The Belmont 6/6/09

[Mazerati]

#7 Mine That Bird
with
#2 Dunkirk
#1 Chocolate Candy
#6 Charitable Man

[Greyfox]

#7 Mine That Bird
with
#2 Dunkirk
#1 Chocolate Candy
#6 Charitable Man

# 6 Charitable Man
# 2 Dunkirk
They're still searching for Calvin and the Bird with flash lights. ;)

[Overlay]

Mine That Bird
Charitable Man
Dunkirk

[justin13892002]

Mine That Bird
Charitable Man
Dunkirk



No offense, but aren't those the 3 M/L Favorites in order?

[canleakid]

:7: MINE THAT BIRD
------------------------------------- ---------------------
:1: CHOCOLATE CANDY / :2: DUNKIRK / :4: SUMMER BIRD

[Overlay]

No offense, but aren't those the 3 M/L Favorites in order?

Yes, but despite their low-odds status, I rate Mine That Bird and Charitable Man as the only two overlays in the field (based on the morning line). A lot of people will probably discard them without a second look while shopping for a price, but, to me, when a horse offers both wagering value and a high chance of winning, that's a real opportunity. (No offense taken, by the way.)

[slew101]

I'm chasing with my underneath picks.

7. Mine That Bird
5. Luv Gov.
4. Summer Bird

[Overlay]

Yes, but despite their low-odds status, I rate Mine That Bird and Charitable Man as the only two overlays in the field (based on the morning line). A lot of people will probably discard them without a second look while shopping for a price, but, to me, when a horse offers both wagering value and a high chance of winning, that's a real opportunity. (No offense taken, by the way.)

According to the latest real-time odds, the two horses in the field being held above my fair values are Charitable Man (2-1, currently at 5-1) and Brave Victory (15-1, currently at 27-1).

[harness2008]

Charitable Man from start to finish

[Dave Schwartz]

Here are my selections:

7-6-8

From a betting standpoint, #8 is the most likely best bet. I will bet against the #7.


Prg Odds Bet
2 12.83 12
4 19.75 8
6 2.19 55
8 9.38 17
10 19.75 8
---
100

Total Bet= 78 (18)
Combo Bet Pct $Net Gr Proj Pay Unit$
2) 02-08 $2 0 $2.40 A $828 $2
2) 04-06 $2 2 $4.45 A+ $219 $2
2) 04-07 $2 2 $3.51 A+ $166 $2
2) 04-08 $2 2 $10.38 A+ $577 $2
2) 06-04 $4 5 $4.45 A+ $98 $2
1) 06-08 $10 6 $3.54 A+ $58 $3
2) 06-10 $4 6 $6.12 A+ $110 $2
2) 07-04 $4 5 $3.51 A+ $65 $3
1) 07-08 $10 7 $2.79 A+ $38 $5
2) 07-10 $4 7 $4.82 A+ $72 $3
2) 08-02 $2 1 $2.40 A $180 $2
2) 08-04 $2 3 $10.38 A+ $363 $2
1) 08-06 $10 4 $3.54 A+ $82 $2
1) 08-07 $10 5 $2.79 A+ $61 $3
2) 08-10 $2 3 $14.29 A+ $415 $2
2) 10-06 $2 3 $6.12 A+ $178 $2
2) 10-07 $4 4 $4.82 A+ $133 $2
2) 10-08 $2 3 $14.29 A+ $480 $2