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View Full Version : long term capital plays 06-06-2009-SATURDAY


formula_2002
06-06-2009, 05:37 AM
06/06/2009

LONG TERM CAPITAL PLAYS
BEST LONG TERM RESULTS ARE PLACE BETS


TRACK RACE NUMBER PROGRAM NO. NAME ML POST TIME
PEN 10 1 BEER BOY 1.60 10:26
MNR 10 3 GLACKITY GLA 2.50 10:45
CRC 2 3 BEAR PRAYER 1.40 1:07
FLX 3 4 HORRIBLE JEA 3.50 2:04
MTH 4 4 BIG RED HOPE 5.00 2:20
CRC 5 4 OISTINS BAY 2.00 2:37
CBY 3 1 ZACK CAPE 1.60 3:27
DEL 9 5 LADY LIMIT 3.50 4:51
LAD 6 8 OUR STRAIGHT 1.50 5:00
LAD 8 1 NINERS STAR 3.50 6:02
EMD 6 6 WINGS OF JUS 2.50 7:41
PRM 3 7 PARTNERS WON 5.00 7:42
BEL 13 16 LINCOLN ROAD 3.00 7:45
MNR 3 5 BUJAGALI 1.00 7:50
CTX 4 4 GABRIELS SMI 0.50 8:27
GGX 10 3 THOUGHTUKNEW 1.40 8:33
EMD 8 4 ATTA BOY ROY 2.00 8:36
PRM 6 2 KAWANGO 1.80 9:03
PEN 7 3 WHATSTHETRUT 2.00 9:14
MNR 8 5 RELATO DEL G 2.50 9:55
PRM 8 2 UNEXPECTED V 5.00 9:57

BELMONT PICK
#2 DUNKIRK
#6 CHARITABLE

formula_2002
06-06-2009, 05:13 PM
PROGRESSIVE RECAP

AFTER 7 RACES

1.07 WIN POOL ROI
.99 PLACE POOL ROI..

formula_2002
06-06-2009, 07:01 PM
BELMONT PARK - Race 11
# Win Place Show
4 $25.80 $9.30 $4.70
2 . $5.40 $3.60

YOU CAN LOOK AT IT AS A 1.35 PLACE ROI :)

formula_2002
06-06-2009, 08:12 PM
BELMONT PARK - Race 11
# Win Place Show
4 $25.80 $9.30 $4.70
2 . $5.40 $3.60

YOU CAN LOOK AT IT AS A 1.35 PLACE ROI :)
DUNKIRK WAS MY PLAY IN THE HOLLYWOOD CONTEST
BONUS RACE - Belmont Stakes - 3yo - 1 1/2 M (6/6/2009):
Dunkirk Place $100.00 $270 $170.00

formula_2002
06-06-2009, 08:20 PM
AFTER 12 RACES

(EXCLUDING THE BELMONT)

WIN POOL ROI 1.33
PLACE POOL ROI .98

formula_2002
06-06-2009, 09:17 PM
AFTER 16 RACES

WIN POOL ROI, 1.24
PLACE POOL ROI 1.10

Bennie
06-06-2009, 10:48 PM
Formula - just curious as to whether or not you will be posting the 2nd list of graded plays as you were before. I know you mentioned that you tweeked your program recently and have not been posting but, I found that using the races with 2 horses listed, as per an exacta, that keying those 2 horses exotic wagers was very helpful and somewhat profitable. It also helped me limit the number of races I was playing. I would make a list from the tracks I play, often 7-10 races and just key on those. Using the 2 horses listed 1st and 2nd over 3 or 4 horses in the trifectas and adding 1 or 2 more to the supers. Using .50 supers, I could play 10 races for $200-250 and only need hit 2 or 3 to show profit.

formula_2002
06-06-2009, 11:09 PM
Formula - just curious as to whether or not you will be posting the 2nd list of graded plays as you were before. I know you mentioned that you tweeked your program recently and have not been posting but, I found that using the races with 2 horses listed, as per an exacta, that keying those 2 horses exotic wagers was very helpful and somewhat profitable. It also helped me limit the number of races I was playing. I would make a list from the tracks I play, often 7-10 races and just key on those. Using the 2 horses listed 1st and 2nd over 3 or 4 horses in the trifectas and adding 1 or 2 more to the supers. Using .50 supers, I could play 10 races for $200-250 and only need hit 2 or 3 to show profit.
I have to test those graded plays a bit more before i post.
thanks for your interest.

formula_2002
06-06-2009, 11:15 PM
this is a rough final count.
complete breakdown tomorrow.

20 plays
win pool roi 1.085 roi
place pool roi .85

overall roi .998
how close can you get?? :)
add in a 5% rebate and life is good

formula_2002
06-07-2009, 06:44 AM
finals.. another winning saturday!!

win pool roi=1.19
place pool roi=1.01N254 N255 N13 pgno odds fin ml wmut pmut smut A E PLAY N182
06/06/2009 BEL 13 LINCOLN ROA 16 3.00 10 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 1.00 7:45
06/06/2009 CBY 3 ZACK CAPE 1 0.00 3 1.60 2.60 2.10 2.60 0.00 0.77 1.00 3:27
06/06/2009 CRC 2 BEAR PRAYER 3 1.00 4 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 1.00 1:07
06/06/2009 CRC 5 OISTINS BAY 4 1.00 1 2.00 4.20 2.80 2.40 1.00 0.48 1.00 2:37
06/06/2009 CTX 4 GABRIELS SM 4 0.00 1 0.50 2.20 2.20 0.00 1.00 0.91 1.00 8:27
06/06/2009 DEL 9 LADY LIMIT 5 3.00 1 3.50 8.40 4.00 3.20 1.00 0.24 1.00 4:51
06/06/2009 EMD 6 WINGS OF JU 6 1.00 1 2.50 4.40 3.00 2.80 1.00 0.45 1.00 7:41
06/06/2009 EMD 8 ATTA BOY RO 4 2.00 1 2.00 5.40 3.20 2.60 1.00 0.37 1.00 8:36
06/06/2009 FLX 3 HORRIBLE JE 4 1.00 2 3.50 0.00 2.80 2.20 0.00 0.56 1.00 2:04
06/06/2009 GGX 10 THOUGHTUKNE 3 1.00 2 1.40 0.00 3.00 2.40 0.00 0.43 1.00 8:33
06/06/2009 LAD 6 OUR STRAIGH 8 1.00 3 1.50 0.00 0.00 2.40 0.00 0.53 1.00 5:00
06/06/2009 LAD 8 NINERS STAR 1 2.00 4 3.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 1.00 6:02
06/06/2009 MNR 10 GLACKITY GL 3 2.00 1 2.50 5.20 2.80 2.60 1.00 0.38 1.00 10:45
06/06/2009 MNR 3 BUJAGALI 5 1.00 1 1.00 3.20 2.60 2.20 1.00 0.63 1.00 7:50
06/06/2009 MNR 8 RELATO DEL 5 2.00 4 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 1.00 9:55
06/06/2009 MTH 4 BIG RED HOP 4 1.00 2 5.00 0.00 2.20 2.10 0.00 0.56 1.00 2:20
06/06/2009 PEN 10 BEER BOY 1 0.00 1 1.60 2.60 2.10 2.10 1.00 0.77 1.00 10:26
06/06/2009 PRM 3 PARTNERS WO 7 4.00 1 5.00 9.40 4.20 3.00 1.00 0.21 1.00 7:42
06/06/2009 PRM 6 KAWANGO 2 2.00 2 1.80 0.00 3.20 2.40 0.00 0.30 1.00 9:03
06/06/2009 PRM 8 UNEXPECTED 2 14.00 6 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.00 9:57
47.60 40.20 35.00 9.00 9.03 20