Valupix
05-01-2009, 01:58 PM
Choice: (#5) Justwhistledixie
Wager: Exacta box 2,4,5,8 (it's a stab) - it's just not a good race to wager
Tweeter: it’s not unthinkable, she looks promising, but first time verses winner and stepping WAY UP! means I’ll have to pass on this go around. Maybe next time.
Be Fair: synthetics-to-dirt, reasons to discount every start so far, intriguing upside, borderline value
Stone Legacy: can not find a logical reason to even consider
Gabby‘s Golden Girl: just destroyed a small fields of nobodies. That was such a cakewalk it’s hard to gauge how much she has improved, she would not be shocking but the value not likely to justify the risk, (i.e. no value)
Justwhistledixie: her ability doesn’t look all that much different from Rachel Alexandra and she’ll offer four or fives time better odds, maybe more
Rachel Alexandra: big numbers, multiple blow out wins, bullets all over the place, as extreme all that swings to the positive side, her price swings just as far to the extreme negative side
Nan: thought the synthetic-to-dirt might be a catalyst, but her worst race ever was her only dirt start, has ran with some big names, but the numbers are weak
Flying Spur: improver with good numbers, morning line looks like value, but it seems very likely to drop in a top heavy race were players are going to be begging for a third option. She looks like the obvious play based on the morning price, but will it hold up?
Wager: Exacta box 2,4,5,8 (it's a stab) - it's just not a good race to wager
Tweeter: it’s not unthinkable, she looks promising, but first time verses winner and stepping WAY UP! means I’ll have to pass on this go around. Maybe next time.
Be Fair: synthetics-to-dirt, reasons to discount every start so far, intriguing upside, borderline value
Stone Legacy: can not find a logical reason to even consider
Gabby‘s Golden Girl: just destroyed a small fields of nobodies. That was such a cakewalk it’s hard to gauge how much she has improved, she would not be shocking but the value not likely to justify the risk, (i.e. no value)
Justwhistledixie: her ability doesn’t look all that much different from Rachel Alexandra and she’ll offer four or fives time better odds, maybe more
Rachel Alexandra: big numbers, multiple blow out wins, bullets all over the place, as extreme all that swings to the positive side, her price swings just as far to the extreme negative side
Nan: thought the synthetic-to-dirt might be a catalyst, but her worst race ever was her only dirt start, has ran with some big names, but the numbers are weak
Flying Spur: improver with good numbers, morning line looks like value, but it seems very likely to drop in a top heavy race were players are going to be begging for a third option. She looks like the obvious play based on the morning price, but will it hold up?