JohnnyBatTBD
04-14-2009, 07:11 AM
Prime Wager Results.14-33 (42%) -$6.60(14-3-6) (67% ITM)
Soft Wager Results....20-63 (32%) -$10.40 (20-14-7) (65% ITM)
Seasonal Recap: 265 Winning Wagers
84 Winners (Average Payoff $5.90)
127 Exactas (Average Payoff $29.40)
50 Trifectas (Average Payoff $143.40)
4 Daily Doubles (Average Payoff $18.10)
On Saturday, I had no prime or soft wagers.
Among my contenders only selections:
I had the winner of the 1st, Quick N Pink, $7.60,
My 1st race $16 trifecta returned $47.20,
I had the winner of the 2nd, Henry the K, $3.80,
I had the winner of the 3rd, R True Lady, $3.00,
I had the winner of the 4th, Count de Baran, $5.00,
My 9th race $12 exacta box returned $13.20,
My 9th race $24 trifecta returned $55.60,
My 11th race $12 exacta box returned $33.80, and
I had the winner of the 12th, Sunapee, $3.60
So it goes...
There are only 11 more race days of free selections before The Tampa Bay Downs Handicapper becomes a subscription only site. Avoid the annual subscription price increase (to $99 after May 3rd) and subscribe today for $25.
Tuesday’s selections at http://www.thetbdhandicapper.com/ :
1st – Contenders Only (B) – Alexandra’s Halo (2) was above par in last two tries at 8.5F and returns to the dirt on the dropdown today. Sly Sara (6) goes for Robert Raymond and he had 7 stretchout winners in L3T. %E is just outside the upper parameter for today’s distance, but it’s close enough to make her a contender here. Little Freebie (7) goes for James Anderson and 4 of his 9 winners in L4T were First Three Off-the-Layoff + Stretchout types. Win (2), Exacta Box 2,6,7 and Trifectas 2,6,7/1,4/2,6,7
2nd – Contenders Only (B) – Tawnimara (5) was above or very close to par before stepping up to the open $8000 level. McCarthy won 25% with Plain Dropdown + Shorten Up angle in L2T. Uno Way Calle (6) has been playing musical chairs since the new year began. Calle is back to Ness presently and he wins 39% (70% ITM) with first three off-the-claim. Calle is 10-16 ITM at Tampa, including 3-6 ITM this season. Blazing Prize (7) goes for Mr. Allen and he won 100% with the Non-layoff Dropdown + Route-to-Sprint angle in L2T. Win (6), Exacta Box 5,6,7 and Trifecta 5,7/1,3,4,6,8/5,6,7
3rd – Contenders Only (C) – Lincoln Imp (7) has early speed and goes from PP7. The E/P’s won all five dirt sprints on Saturday and middle and outside posts have won 13 of the last 16 (in dirt sprints). Ima Lowrider (3) goes for Pompay and her only two winners in L3T were GP shippers. Centeno sticks. Looks like a misfire in last. Another chance on the drop. Devilish Mecke (1) has best fig in field in last and RoHo sticks but inside post is a detriment. Win (7), Exacta Box 1,3,7 and Trifectas 1,3,7/2,6,8/1,3,7
4th – Contenders Only (D) – Soaring Storm (9) had the best figs in the field two and three back. Last was on an off track. Improves on a fast surface and with Gonzo back in the irons. Peekaboo Irish (2) goes for Cibelli and she has had 12 Layoff winners in L4T. Peekaboo is 69% ITM in 2008-2009. Montalcino (5) was close in last and has HVG up. Villa-Gomez had 4 winners and 3 seconds in the last three race days. Madonna Blue (7) is 6-6 ITM lifetime but had worst finish of her career in last. Win (9), Saver Exactas 2,5,7/9 and Trifectas 3,4,11/2,9/5,7
5th – Contenders Only (C) – Lantern (6) was above par in last two on the grass. Zwiesler won 71% on the Dropdown L2T, won 35% with L1-3’s and was 67% ITM with Dirt-to-Turf types. Solid work at 5F from the gate last week. Win (6), Saver Exactas 3,8/6 and Trifectas 3,8/1,2,5,7,10/6
6th – Contenders Only (D) – Wynn a Tour (2) had best fig in the field two back and first try at $8000 level was on an off track so he gets another chance here. Raced close to par in sophomore races at Tampa. Switch to #3 leading rider Ronnie Allen Jr. adds value. Win (2), Saver Exactas 1,6,10/2 and Trifectas 1,2/3,4,6,9,10/1,2
7th – Contenders Only (B) – Transit of Venus (6) won last and comes back fast for Ness and he is 83% ITM with Rightback + Fastback types. Venus had the two best final fractions in the field in last two on the turf at GP. The Ness/Cruz team has won 5 of their last 10. Cheeks had three wins last year with Jaredstemper and the first time Jared won he was a Layoff + Shipper. Win (6), Saver Exactas 2,5,7/6 and Trifectas 2,5,6/7,8,14/2,5,6
8th – Contenders Only (B) – Purely Precious (3) was above par in Maiden win, then was saved for another day after setting fast early fractions and getting caught in the Sophomore Stakes ten days ago. Call Nine One One (7) was second to Conchacer in last and he beat Scottish Mystery in that one. Scottish Mystery beat Gaara (2) two back and Gaara looks like the weakest of the three. However, Gaara does have red hot apprentice Mike Straight in the irons. He won three on Saturday. Win (3), Exacta Box 2,3,7 and Trifectas 2,3,7/4,6,8/2,3,7
9th – Contenders Only (B) - We Will Rock You (11) goes for Clement who has won or placed in 19 of 30 this season. Centeno remains hot and this team has won 38% of their attempts this year. Myakka (8) goes for Linda Rice and she had 4 Layoff + Shipper winners in L2T. Looks tough here but Montalvo has been cold (only 1-36 in last 10 days). Megawattie (6) is the best of the locally based runners, was 5-6 ITM on the grass last year and has a win and a 3rd in two tries this year at Tampa. Salty Wave (5) outkicked Megawattie in last and is 4-6 ITM on the grass lifetime. Win (11), Saver Exactas 5,6,8/11 and Trifectas 6,8,11/6,8,11/5,6,8,11 or Win (8), Exacta Box 5,6,8 and Trifectas 5,6,8/5,6,8/ 5,6,7,8 (if the 11 is out).
10th – Contenders Only (C) – Far Out Fiancee (11) goes for Cibelli and she is 86% ITM with Non-Shipping L1-3 + Dropdown types and 60% ITM with Route-to-Sprints. Faces a field of documented sub-par plodders here and should shine this afternoon. Win (11), Saver Exactas 3,4,9/11 and Trifectas 3,11/4,5,9/3,11
Good luck and good racing!
Johnny B.
Soft Wager Results....20-63 (32%) -$10.40 (20-14-7) (65% ITM)
Seasonal Recap: 265 Winning Wagers
84 Winners (Average Payoff $5.90)
127 Exactas (Average Payoff $29.40)
50 Trifectas (Average Payoff $143.40)
4 Daily Doubles (Average Payoff $18.10)
On Saturday, I had no prime or soft wagers.
Among my contenders only selections:
I had the winner of the 1st, Quick N Pink, $7.60,
My 1st race $16 trifecta returned $47.20,
I had the winner of the 2nd, Henry the K, $3.80,
I had the winner of the 3rd, R True Lady, $3.00,
I had the winner of the 4th, Count de Baran, $5.00,
My 9th race $12 exacta box returned $13.20,
My 9th race $24 trifecta returned $55.60,
My 11th race $12 exacta box returned $33.80, and
I had the winner of the 12th, Sunapee, $3.60
So it goes...
There are only 11 more race days of free selections before The Tampa Bay Downs Handicapper becomes a subscription only site. Avoid the annual subscription price increase (to $99 after May 3rd) and subscribe today for $25.
Tuesday’s selections at http://www.thetbdhandicapper.com/ :
1st – Contenders Only (B) – Alexandra’s Halo (2) was above par in last two tries at 8.5F and returns to the dirt on the dropdown today. Sly Sara (6) goes for Robert Raymond and he had 7 stretchout winners in L3T. %E is just outside the upper parameter for today’s distance, but it’s close enough to make her a contender here. Little Freebie (7) goes for James Anderson and 4 of his 9 winners in L4T were First Three Off-the-Layoff + Stretchout types. Win (2), Exacta Box 2,6,7 and Trifectas 2,6,7/1,4/2,6,7
2nd – Contenders Only (B) – Tawnimara (5) was above or very close to par before stepping up to the open $8000 level. McCarthy won 25% with Plain Dropdown + Shorten Up angle in L2T. Uno Way Calle (6) has been playing musical chairs since the new year began. Calle is back to Ness presently and he wins 39% (70% ITM) with first three off-the-claim. Calle is 10-16 ITM at Tampa, including 3-6 ITM this season. Blazing Prize (7) goes for Mr. Allen and he won 100% with the Non-layoff Dropdown + Route-to-Sprint angle in L2T. Win (6), Exacta Box 5,6,7 and Trifecta 5,7/1,3,4,6,8/5,6,7
3rd – Contenders Only (C) – Lincoln Imp (7) has early speed and goes from PP7. The E/P’s won all five dirt sprints on Saturday and middle and outside posts have won 13 of the last 16 (in dirt sprints). Ima Lowrider (3) goes for Pompay and her only two winners in L3T were GP shippers. Centeno sticks. Looks like a misfire in last. Another chance on the drop. Devilish Mecke (1) has best fig in field in last and RoHo sticks but inside post is a detriment. Win (7), Exacta Box 1,3,7 and Trifectas 1,3,7/2,6,8/1,3,7
4th – Contenders Only (D) – Soaring Storm (9) had the best figs in the field two and three back. Last was on an off track. Improves on a fast surface and with Gonzo back in the irons. Peekaboo Irish (2) goes for Cibelli and she has had 12 Layoff winners in L4T. Peekaboo is 69% ITM in 2008-2009. Montalcino (5) was close in last and has HVG up. Villa-Gomez had 4 winners and 3 seconds in the last three race days. Madonna Blue (7) is 6-6 ITM lifetime but had worst finish of her career in last. Win (9), Saver Exactas 2,5,7/9 and Trifectas 3,4,11/2,9/5,7
5th – Contenders Only (C) – Lantern (6) was above par in last two on the grass. Zwiesler won 71% on the Dropdown L2T, won 35% with L1-3’s and was 67% ITM with Dirt-to-Turf types. Solid work at 5F from the gate last week. Win (6), Saver Exactas 3,8/6 and Trifectas 3,8/1,2,5,7,10/6
6th – Contenders Only (D) – Wynn a Tour (2) had best fig in the field two back and first try at $8000 level was on an off track so he gets another chance here. Raced close to par in sophomore races at Tampa. Switch to #3 leading rider Ronnie Allen Jr. adds value. Win (2), Saver Exactas 1,6,10/2 and Trifectas 1,2/3,4,6,9,10/1,2
7th – Contenders Only (B) – Transit of Venus (6) won last and comes back fast for Ness and he is 83% ITM with Rightback + Fastback types. Venus had the two best final fractions in the field in last two on the turf at GP. The Ness/Cruz team has won 5 of their last 10. Cheeks had three wins last year with Jaredstemper and the first time Jared won he was a Layoff + Shipper. Win (6), Saver Exactas 2,5,7/6 and Trifectas 2,5,6/7,8,14/2,5,6
8th – Contenders Only (B) – Purely Precious (3) was above par in Maiden win, then was saved for another day after setting fast early fractions and getting caught in the Sophomore Stakes ten days ago. Call Nine One One (7) was second to Conchacer in last and he beat Scottish Mystery in that one. Scottish Mystery beat Gaara (2) two back and Gaara looks like the weakest of the three. However, Gaara does have red hot apprentice Mike Straight in the irons. He won three on Saturday. Win (3), Exacta Box 2,3,7 and Trifectas 2,3,7/4,6,8/2,3,7
9th – Contenders Only (B) - We Will Rock You (11) goes for Clement who has won or placed in 19 of 30 this season. Centeno remains hot and this team has won 38% of their attempts this year. Myakka (8) goes for Linda Rice and she had 4 Layoff + Shipper winners in L2T. Looks tough here but Montalvo has been cold (only 1-36 in last 10 days). Megawattie (6) is the best of the locally based runners, was 5-6 ITM on the grass last year and has a win and a 3rd in two tries this year at Tampa. Salty Wave (5) outkicked Megawattie in last and is 4-6 ITM on the grass lifetime. Win (11), Saver Exactas 5,6,8/11 and Trifectas 6,8,11/6,8,11/5,6,8,11 or Win (8), Exacta Box 5,6,8 and Trifectas 5,6,8/5,6,8/ 5,6,7,8 (if the 11 is out).
10th – Contenders Only (C) – Far Out Fiancee (11) goes for Cibelli and she is 86% ITM with Non-Shipping L1-3 + Dropdown types and 60% ITM with Route-to-Sprints. Faces a field of documented sub-par plodders here and should shine this afternoon. Win (11), Saver Exactas 3,4,9/11 and Trifectas 3,11/4,5,9/3,11
Good luck and good racing!
Johnny B.