long term capital plays..Jan "recap"

[formula_2002]

towards the end of the month I limited the plays to a "JCM Fig" >=.75
recapping to that figure, there were 282 favotites that returned the following roi's
win, .83
place, .95
show, .93

a bet on all favorites returned the following roi's;
win,place and shown each returned .88

when I raise the playable "JCM FIG" figure to >=.80
I got the following favorite roi's

win, 1.07
place, 1.05
show, .96

The play represents only 4% of all favorites.
I'll go at it for the remained of this month.

glad too see a familar face win the NHC

http://www.ntra.com/content.aspx?type=news&id=37441&section=races

[formula_2002]

ROI BASED ON ACTUAL WINS/EXPECTED WIN AT VARIOUS "JCM FIGURES". ODDS SHOWN ARE AVERAGE

ODDS FIG A E ROI # HORSES
53 0.1 0 0 0.00 10
55 0.2 9 14 0.62 429
40 0.3 42 87 0.48 1699
28 0.4 198 276 0.72 3629
17 0.5 463 621 0.75 5134
7 0.6 652 761 0.86 3799
4 0.7 434 486 0.89 1750
2 0.8 145 168 0.86 413
1 0.9 8 5 1.50 9
TOTAL 1951 2419 0.81 16872