Final 2008 Longshot Picks

[Ray2000]

Sunday there was one 7$ Winner at Flmd R9, 2 races cancelled for -$25

12/29/08 Monday..Playing Exactas only

Woodbine R6.........7281 Todaysyourluckyday 6/1 Tracys Song 5/1 Seaside Gilly 5/1 Bootscootnfloozie 6/1
She doesn't show the speed needed here but I like the way she closes. Maybe Moiseyev can use his
expertise to get her there needs a fast pace
playing the 7 top and bottom with 128 Exacta, nothing else

Dover R4............3128 Big Heart 6/1 Real Magician 8/1 Western Hot Shot 2/1 Johnny Be Cool N 6/1
Some of these need a rest as bad as I do, Computer went with the 1 on post relief
I like the 3 yr old with the freshest legs (3rd start back after layoff)
playing the 3 top and bottom with 128 Exacta, nothing else

Flamboro R6.........935 Cash Allowance 8/1 Rockymosa Seecure 3/1 Truly American 4/1
Winless in 2008 took his mark at FLMD last year, could get a "trip" upset here
Box these 3 in Exacta only, nothing else

Pompano R9..........5174 Dontpassdamustard 6/1 Buttler 8/1 Spock 5/2 Fox Valley Michael 9/2
The 5...Claimed for 8k last time out drops in the 10K's tonight worth a shot
playing the 5 top and bottom with 147 Exacta, nothing else

12/30/08 Tuesday

Balmoral R9.........164 Caribbean Key 10/1 Above The Starz 8/1 Doc'S Lioness 7/2
Dover R5............394 Art Sizzles 8/1 Briar Creeks Angel 8/1 Jagged Ice N 3/1
Monticello R7.......532 Whiskey Walt 12/1 Indeed Oneill 6/1 My Tractors Sexy 5/2
Monticello R8.......621 Stettin Hanover 10/1 Smooth Eric N 5/2 Pans Fifty-Seven 9/2
Windsor R8..........297 Cam Right 8/1 Please Be Lucky 20/1 Poker Legend 3/1


12/31/08 Wednesday

Rideau-Carleton R11.296 Typecast 15/1 Sweety Panic 3/1 Looknwink 2/1

I'll post results next year.:)

__________-:jump: Happy New Year and Good Luck to All:jump:

[melman]

A little late in posting (had to run out and get the maid some New Year's outfits. :) Let's try for some more pic3's at Monticello starting with R3.

R3 4-1
R4 2-7-5
R5 2-1-3
R6 5-7-1
R7 2-4-1-6
R8 4-2-7
R9 1-3
R10 6-3-8
R11 3-6-5
R12 3-2
R13 2

[melman]

R3 the 4 is out so I'll go with the 1 and 8.

[Ray2000]

You cashed, I see you're saving the big ones for later:)

I'll try a few rolling pick3's since we pretty much agree.

R7-8-9 .....14/24/237
R8-9-10 ....24/237/38
R9-10-11 ...237/38/35
R10-11-12 ..38/35/7
R11-12-13 ..35/7/128

Good luck all

[melman]

Ray--Hit three low paying pic3 bets but with low payoffs as my longer priced horses in the plays did not work out. I have found it still to be worthwhile as the pic3's payoffs at Monticello can be more than expected even with lower priced winners. Example from the other day at MR leg 1 winner $3.10 leg 2 winner $3.80 and leg 3 winner $12.00 the pic3 returned $70.00. Not bad since I only used a 1/2/2 ticket. :jump: Best of trips along the way at MR today. I like your R8 longshot at Monticello tomorrow also Ray.

[melman]

Ray---As the great Larry Lederman would say "yesterday at the little m the chalk talked". :) Never a good sign for me. Todays Monticello card looks like it may have some prices.

R1 2-7-1
R2 5-1
R3 4-6-1
R4 7-3-4
R5 5-2
R6 3-4-2
R7 6-2-5
R8 6-2-4
R9 4-6
R10 7-3-1
R11 5-2-3
R12 1-3
R13 3-8-1

To me races 4,6,8,11 and 13 look to offer some odds.

[Ray2000]

Ok Mel, Today's the day at little m for pick3's

Races 6-7-8 P3..12/25/26
Races 7-8-9 P3..25/26/46

Larry's one of the best announcers ever.... "It's showtime..."

[LottaKash]

.... "It's showtime..."



Ok Ray, End the year with a Big Bang.....GL-rootin for ya.......:jump:

best,

[Ray2000]

Thx for the rootin' LK, you brought me luck...missed your comments.... glad you're OK.

Mr7 Whiskey Walt $35.40 Exacta 52 $141 Big Bang and alive in Pic3:jump:

[melman]

Ray--Nice $35 winner. Best of trips in next races. Kicking myself for NOT using your 1 horse in R6 for my pic3 on races 5-6-7. Would have nailed the pool.

[Ray2000]

Thx Mel and nice 'cappin on R7-R8-R9...544 paid $842:jump:

[LottaKash]

NIce, NIce, Ray & Melman....Kickin Butt for the close of 08'.......yahooyouse !!!:jump:

best,

[Ray2000]

Balmoral R9........1071 no
Dover R5............461 no
Monticello R7.......521 Winner $35.40.......Exacta $141.00
Monticello R8.......456 no
Windsor R8..........423 no

Win Bets $10 in, 35$ back
Exactas $60 in, $141 back
Trifectas $10 loss

__________________________________________________ __________

Last chance to make a buck in 2008

ML>7, Betting Win, Str Tri, and Exacta 3 Horse Box except for FLMD and RIDC

Balmoral R2.........642 Boiler Heidi Ho 12/1 Joliet Jean 2/1 Fox Valley Penny 5/2
Jogged on the first start back (Dec 14), gets serious with Trace Tetrick tonite, class drop

Flamboro R8.........3841 Guelph Guy 8/1 J N Maverick 3/1 Forpurposeintended 20/1 Blazing Cam 5/2
Colts become adults tomorrow, I like the 8 enough to include this one but the 3's a shaky bet
playing the 3, first and second with the 148 in the Exacta

Monticello R10......216 Emery Ho 8/1 Abaton Hanover 9/2 Caviar Kid 4/1
2nd start off qualifier, gets Dobson driving here, a plus, should try wire to wire and
there could be a lot of breakers in his rear view mirror, messing things up for the closers

Pompano R3..........246 Imperial Jag 12/1 Sockit To Me 5/2 Educator 8/1
No "Midnight Mile" this year, It used to be a good sign for me if I hit it.:) I'll try this one instead
Jag does have decent TMaster Class rating, class drop here 3rd start back

Rideau-Carleton R11.2968 Typecast 15/1 Sweety Panic 3/1 Looknwink 2/1 Jeri West 6/1
On the improving trend, ignore last, the 8,(prob co-fav) could have trouble from out there
playing the 2, first and second with the 689 in the Exacta

Windsor R7..........517 Granita Hanover 12/1 Miss Kitty Killean 4/1 Just Dani 3/1
8 for 41 this year, like the 8 wins, worried about the 41 starts. Steps up in class
the last 2 races obscures her form, was racing well the 7 starts before that


:jump: Happy New Year Everyone and Best of Luck in 2009:jump:

[melman]

Ray--Ending up the year at "the little m" with some I think will offer value on the card. As Frankie S once said in a song "it's been a very good year". Wishing the best of trips to all of PA's harness board posters. Hey Lotta Kash try out Monticello and it's rolling pic3's you just might like it. :jump: My layout on the pic3 wager goes from a low of $8.00 to a top of $36. Except for on very rare times when my horses are all high odds then will go a bit higher.

Today's value at Monticello

R2 1 US Stars N Stripes 8-1
R3 5 Canne Hammer 4-1
R5 1 Cutty 5-1
R6 1 Deep Seas 10-1
R10 1 Abaton Hanover 9/2

[LottaKash]

Hey Lotta Kash try out Monticello and it's rolling pic3's you just might like it. :jump:

I will, if you lend me $6 to play with, ok ?.........:blush:

best

[Ray2000]

+$88

Balmoral R2.........943 Winner $11.00.........Exacta $22.60.....Scr 2
Flamboro R8.........123 no......................................Scr 8
Monticello R10......675 no
Pompano R3..........478 no
Rideau-Carleton R11.583 no
Windsor R7..........576 Winner $22.10.........Exacta $107.90

Win Bets $12 in, $33 back
Exactas $56 in, $131 back
Trifectas $8 loss


That wraps up 2008, hope everyone had a good year and best of luck in 2009:)

My Pick results for the year...

Bet type......Wagered.........Returned..........Profit ........ROI
__________________________________________________ __
Win bets....$2,794.00 ........$3,325.30.........$531.30 ......19%
Exactas....$14,294.00 .......$15,476.90 ......$1,182.50 .......8%

Exacta 3 horse box fell off badly in last 5 months, Trifectas never hit a signer here
Win bets were steady all year.

[melman]

Ray---That was one FANTASTIC job you did on win and exacta bets for the year. There are so many nay sayers and negative posts that a 19% ROI on win bets for the entire year should not go without being noted. All of your posts have been well before post time and without benefit of knowing the final odds. Which makes your performance even more outstanding. I think Mike the owner and operator of this web site should designate you as "Handicapper of the Year". Congrats.

[LottaKash]

Yes, Yes, I agree.......GO RaY.......:jump:


best.

[Stick]

Nice job Ray :) Keep up the great posts.