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View Full Version : Say what you want about Beyer figures, but.....

dav4463
10-25-2008, 02:10 AM
Santa Anita friday was kind to the Beyer faithful. Just using last race Beyers only, here is what happened.


Race 1...top rated followed by 3rd (tie) followed by 2nd followed by 3rd(tie)..... winner paid $8.00.....$1 exacta paid $169.....$1 tri $857.....$1 super $3567.....just for playing the top 4 Beyer horses

Race 2...2nd rated over 3rd rated.......$12.20 exacta...

Race 3 ...3rd rated followed by 2nd rated followed by top rated....ex $12.70...tri $48.70

Race 5....2nd rated won paid $5.20

Race 6...top rated over 4th rated....winner $11.80.....$1 exacta paid $224.60

Race 7....top rated won $3.00 only though.....



something to think about tomorrow.......
JustRalph
10-25-2008, 02:51 AM
:ThmbUp: :ThmbUp:

good stuff
onefast99
10-25-2008, 07:34 AM
They work every once in a while todays card may be different they are inconsistent.
Overlay
10-25-2008, 07:58 AM
They work every once in a while todays card may be different they are inconsistent.

That's why a figure average is generally more effective as a predictor of performance than the figure from any one specific race.
098poi
10-25-2008, 08:47 AM
They work every once in a while todays card may be different they are inconsistent.


There is no "works" or "doesn't work". The BSF's are figures for the particular race they are associated with. That's it. According to the book, Speed to Spare, which has been talked about recently, when comparing similar track conditions and distances in past performances a 3 point edge in sprints and a 2 point edge in routes shows a significant advantage. It doesn't mean the higest recent figure will always win or that you can make a flat bet profit with highest recent figures. They should be used as overall a guide to form, seperating contenders from non contenders etc. People assign BSF's with attributes that Beyer himself never has. Then they get mad when they "don't work"!
toetoe
10-25-2008, 11:05 AM
Sorry, but I can't see playing a $12 exacta baseball, AND a $24 trifecta baseball, AND a $24 superfecta baseball in every race. And if I hit the big soopadoopa on the first race ? Well, I will retire the system with many thanks. Hell, why not the top 5 or 6 Beyermakers, and any ties ? :rolleyes:

P.S. :) .
GaryG
10-25-2008, 11:13 AM
I'm sure it would work even better if you did some qualifying, like downgrade those whose figs were earned during soft trips.