Tote Board: The crazy system that you have never seen

[BeatTheChalk]

I 've had this one in a box = in a corner = for years. I was cleaning this
week - and found it. Takes less than a minute to look at the board .. to
determine if THE FAVORITE is worth a wager. Here are the rules :

1. Look at races with 6 horses or more
2. Look at the odds of each horse.
3. Add up the numbers on the tote board

4. OK Here is a chart : The number of horses in the race and the totals
from the Tote Board. If the total is at least -- Equal to the number that
is required - then the Favorite is a bet. We used this near Post Time ..
back in the day :

6 Horse Field == 66
7 horse == 84
8 horse == 104
9 = 126
10 = 150
11 176
12 204
13 234
14 252

There you have it. It will drive you mad .. I promise :bang:
Please let me know if this insanity -- is working at your track.

[Light]

One can easily see that your system is based on the other horses being dismissed and going off at high odds.A more sensible approach would be to note the spacing in odds between the first and second choices,the second and third choice etc. Because you could have (as an example) a 6 horse field,with 4 horses at 20-1,the favorite at 1-1 and the second choice at 5/2. I would be a little cautious of the 5/2 shot. Your system would not take note of the closeness of the 5/2 shot to the favorite and its distance to the third choice.

[BeatTheChalk]

Apologies...It is not my system :bang: Dont even recall where I found
it. I check it every now and then. Some good some bad. :jump: Thanks for
your comment,

[Tom Barrister]

I'm familiar with this and similar tote systems. They're based on the favorite being much better than the other horses. I even put such methods (based on the off odds) into a database to test it. While the win percentage is a bit higher, the public can see the overwhelming favorite, they tend to overbet it (as they tend to do most heavy favorites), and the ROI is in the 0.80 range.

[joelouis]

I 've had this one in a box = in a corner = for years. I was cleaning this
week - and found it. Takes less than a minute to look at the board .. to
determine if THE FAVORITE is worth a wager. Here are the rules :

1. Look at races with 6 horses or more
2. Look at the odds of each horse.
3. Add up the numbers on the tote board

4. OK Here is a chart : The number of horses in the race and the totals
from the Tote Board. If the total is at least -- Equal to the number that
is required - then the Favorite is a bet. We used this near Post Time ..
back in the day :

6 Horse Field == 66
7 horse == 84
8 horse == 104
9 = 126
10 = 150
11 176
12 204
13 234
14 252

There you have it. It will drive you mad .. I promise :bang:
Please let me know if this insanity -- is working at your track.

This is nothing more than another system, try learning how to bet the value horse and stop playing with kids stuff.

[Tom Barrister]

This is nothing more than another system, try learning how to bet the value horse and stop playing with kids stuff.

It's good to see that you went from this on August 18...

Learning how to handicapp sure would like if someone could explain how to determine the class. Help please :)

...to being able to make your above statement, all in two months.

----

I plugged the tote system into my database. It hits about 41% winners and an ROI of 0.83. The win percentage of all such favorites isn't surprising, since it would get all of the shortest-priced horses. The ROI is about the same as that of horses under 8-5 in final odds.

[podonne]

I'm familiar with this and similar tote systems. They're based on the favorite being much better than the other horses. I even put such methods (based on the off odds) into a database to test it. While the win percentage is a bit higher, the public can see the overwhelming favorite, they tend to overbet it (as they tend to do most heavy favorites), and the ROI is in the 0.80 range.

Tom, Where do you get off odds from, as opposed to final odds from the results file? You mean odds at 0 MTP, right?