DMR- 8/18/2008

[MitchS]

Hey everyone,

I'm experipenting with a new process for myself thats been working very well. Attached is an XL spread sheet with some basic info. Theres basically 3 systems with a new and improved odds line that seems very efficient.

The information is self explanatory...

TR- Track
RN- Race #
Horse- Horse
PN- Program #
ML- Morning line
FairV- Fair value odds line
Q/S- Speed points and Running style

Above is one complete system based on numeriuos factors and a very accurate fair value odds line. After that you'll see "PN-ML-FV" two more times. These columns are completely different systems but closely related so pay attention to the changing PN numbers and odds line changes to give a comparaitive look.

First FairV is from last race. Next FairV is the best of last 3 and the last FairV is some different computation with a few different factors.

After finding the contenders its just a matter of looking at the race pace set up and then eliminating contenders and assessing the correct FairV..

I'll be handicapping races before hand live right before post today when time allows...

Have fun,
Mitch

[MitchS]

Race 1- #6 looks dominate. No play in this race...

[MitchS]

Race 2- #6 looks dominate on paper but this is the kind of race where you have to look past the numbers. #6 is taking a small class jump but may be worth a small bet if at a fair price. Its a slow paced race so he may be able to steal it if it sets up correctly. The #3 which does not rate numerically is taking a big class drop and was in trouble in the last to boot. May need to sit this race out or a very small backing on #6 if value is present...

[MitchS]

Race 3- #5 looks pretty dominate in this race and the pace seems to set up correctly for him. My FV lines shows...3-1-1 so 2/1 seems like value for this one.. No need looking else where in this race...

[Burls]

DMR R3

:2: :3: :6: EXB TBX

[MitchS]

Results so far... 1 bet in the last race value odds at 2/1 ran second.

4th- What is it with these 6 horse fields, gezzzz..lol. This race sets up to be a pace heated event and the #4 seems to fit the bill with his running style and the numbers... I like to look at the Pace Appraiser program as well and the #4 had good numbers and the required P/C running style for this race.

#4 value at 3/1 to 4/1

[Burls]

DMR R6

:3: :5: :6: EXB TBX
:6: W

[Burls]

DMR R6

:3: :5: :6: EXB TBX
:6: W

I liked the switch off the turf for the :6:.
Did you catch the last minute rider switch to Rosario?

Too bad the :6: couldn't hold out, but at least it stayed for second.
$94 for the EX puts me up for the day .... so far:eek: .

[MitchS]

5th- #3 looks dominate here, no play...

[Burls]

DMR R5

:2: :3: :4: EXB TBX
:3: / :2: :4: :5: / :2: :4: :5: TRI

[Burls]

DMR R5

:2: :3: :4: EXB TBX
:3: / :2: :4: :5: / :2: :4: :5: TRI

18 bucks wagered, $19.10 returned. ... that was dumb.

[juanepstein]

del mar 7th- w- :2: easy on the eye
..................w- :5: summer haze

double- :2::4::5:<:1::2::4:


del mar 8th- $1 tri

:2::4:
:2::4:
:1::3::5::7::9:

:2::4:
:1::3::5::7::9:
:2::4:

[juanepstein]

del mar 6th- $1 pk3- :3::4::5::9::10:<:2::4::5:<:1::2::4:

only wagers today.

go big!!!

[MitchS]

6th- Pretty hotly contested pace in this one. Look for something to nails um' in the stretch. #4 has the numbers and the correct running style to get up for the money...

Contenders 8-4-9

#4 4/1

[Burls]

DMR R6

:3: :4: :5: EXB, TBX
:3: W

[Burls]

DMR R6

:3: :4: :5: EXB, TBX
:3: W

Got the :3: W for $24
The :3: :11: EX and :3: :11: :2: TRI were pretty spectacular payouts for a 7 horse race.

[MitchS]

Results so far- 2 value bets and both lost


Race 7- Turf sprint, Yuck :confused: Play at your own risk, lol

#1 2/1
#4 3/1

[Burls]

DMR R7

:1: :4: :5: EXB, TBX
:4: :5: /:4: :5: /:1: :6: TRI

[Burls]

DMR R7

:1: :4: :5: EXB, TBX
:4: :5: /:4: :5: /:1: :6: TRI

$16 bet - $4.70 return = $11.30 loss
I thought the 1 might choke.
It has 3 times before on the 2nd back after a break.

[MitchS]

9th- Is kind of a paceless race..

Contenders 4-2-5

Eliminate the #4

#2 5/1
#5 5/1

[smokinjoe@bp]

8th #2 summergolden girl w/p ex box 1-2-3

[Burls]

DMR R8

:1: :7: :8: EXB, TBX
:8: W

[MitchS]

Well, thats it for DMR today. Not much going on for the value wagers. 3 bets total at DMR and nothing crossing the finish line first. Oh well, thats how it goes. It's a big :bang: at least for the DRM races today...

Will give it another go soon...

See ya',
Mitch

[joelouis]

Hey everyone,

I'm experipenting with a new process for myself thats been working very well. Attached is an XL spread sheet with some basic info. Theres basically 3 systems with a new and improved odds line that seems very efficient.

The information is self explanatory...

TR- Track
RN- Race #
Horse- Horse
PN- Program #
ML- Morning line
FairV- Fair value odds line
Q/S- Speed points and Running style

Above is one complete system based on numeriuos factors and a very accurate fair value odds line. After that you'll see "PN-ML-FV" two more times. These columns are completely different systems but closely related so pay attention to the changing PN numbers and odds line changes to give a comparaitive look.

First FairV is from last race. Next FairV is the best of last 3 and the last FairV is some different computation with a few different factors.

After finding the contenders its just a matter of looking at the race pace set up and then eliminating contenders and assessing the correct FairV..

I'll be handicapping races before hand live right before post today when time allows...

Have fun,
Mitch

I also have a new system and it works 100% of the time, just when you see your favorite race track approaching, put the peddle to the medal and drive right by it, then look in your pocket 4 hrs later and find all the money is still in tact. Guaranted not to fail system