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View Full Version : July 4th BOOMS or BUSTS


PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 02:19 PM
No better way to test out a new angle or system then by posting live picks...as we all know, all weaknesses will be exposed on day one....:lol:

Here goes nuttin'....I will the top two choices in every qualifying race to WIN.

DEL Race 5) #3 & #5

Valupix
07-04-2008, 02:32 PM
Delaware R5

Win: 6, 10 & 12



Generally experimenting here most of the time, but I have these three bet.

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 02:38 PM
Five horses between Valupix and myself, and we don't cash....wow....

My record: 0 for 1 (-4)

PHA Race 6) #3 & #7

Valupix
07-04-2008, 02:39 PM
Philly R6

Win: 7


I have a bet on this one as well.

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 02:46 PM
Philly winner ** #3 ** $6.40

My record: 1 for 2 (-1.60)

Valupix
07-04-2008, 02:51 PM
If I can get at least 6/1 near post time I will have a bet on all of these that the HBPA will allow me to play.

WO R5: #3
WO R7: #6

AP R4: #3
AP R5: #6
AP R6: #10

MTH R7: #4
MTH R8: #7

SUF R7: #1
SUF R8: #7

HOL R1: #6
HOL R5: #4

LAD R3: #12

BEL R7: #5

PID R2: #9
PID R7: #9

PLN R8: #2

CT R2: #8

IND R4: #10

EMD R7: #5

EVD R8: #5

PRM R6: #7
PRM R8: #4

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 02:59 PM
CBY Race 2) #3 & #5

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 03:02 PM
MTH Race 6) #8 & #5

Valupix
07-04-2008, 03:07 PM
Philly R7

Win: 5

Live bet as well...

Valupix
07-04-2008, 03:16 PM
Monmouth R6

Win: 9


Only posting those I bet live as well. I don't usually do that.

MNslappy
07-04-2008, 03:20 PM
PA I hope you had the live feed going for the Cby weiner dog race.

Track annoucer Paul Allen on the call:

"And Gage is a weiner straight and strong and he SURGES to victory!"

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 03:22 PM
MTH winner ** $8.20 **

My record: 2 for 4 (-1.40)

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 03:22 PM
PA I hope you had the live feed going for the Cby weiner dog race.

Track annoucer Paul Allen on the call:

"And Gage is a weiner straight and strong and he SURGES to victory!"No, I missed it....too bad!

JBmadera
07-04-2008, 03:25 PM
working on a new system as well, been doing terrible so far today so maybe posting my pick will help - Bel R3 #3 W/P


jb

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 03:25 PM
PHA Race 8) #7 & #2

MNslappy
07-04-2008, 03:27 PM
Cby Race 3

2 / 6,7 / 4,6,7,8

Valupix
07-04-2008, 03:33 PM
Canterbury R3

Win: 1

Valupix
07-04-2008, 03:35 PM
Suffolk R7

Win: 9

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 03:41 PM
My Record: 2 for 5 (-5.40)

Valupix
07-04-2008, 03:50 PM
11/1 winner at Monmouth, race 7 on my advance play list.

whyhorseofcourse
07-04-2008, 03:51 PM
Best of luck PA.

Belmont race 3: 7 WPS
7/2,4,5/all TRI

MONEY
07-04-2008, 03:52 PM
I might as well join in. I actually bet these to win and a couple of DDs also.
Arlington
R5. 7-2
R8. 1-8
R9. 5-4
Canterbury
R8. 2-9
Churchill
R10. 3-2
R11. 8-3
Louisiana
R8. 1-9
River
R13. 4-9
Good Luck and a Happy 4th to ALL.

Money

Valupix
07-04-2008, 03:52 PM
Delaware R8

Win: 7

toetoe
07-04-2008, 03:58 PM
Busts. No wait ... boom booms. No, busts. Final ansah. :jump:

whyhorseofcourse
07-04-2008, 04:06 PM
MON 8:
WPS # 8

LAD 1:
WPS # 6

dylbert
07-04-2008, 04:08 PM
Busts, especially like this one!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tkh0oSmw1TY

Valupix
07-04-2008, 04:09 PM
Monmouth R8

Win: 7

Valupix
07-04-2008, 04:10 PM
Arlington R5

Win: 3 & 9

whyhorseofcourse
07-04-2008, 04:13 PM
Monmouth R8

Win: 7 Nice call

JBmadera
07-04-2008, 04:13 PM
working on a new system as well, been doing terrible so far today so maybe posting my pick will help - Bel R3 #3 W/P


jb

OTB -$10

Suf R8 $10W #3.

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 04:13 PM
DEL Race 9) #6 & #3

whyhorseofcourse
07-04-2008, 04:14 PM
SUF 8:

1/7 ex

Valupix
07-04-2008, 04:18 PM
Monmouth R8

Win: 7
7...$39.60 $17.40 $8.20
2.............$4.00 $3.60
1...................$18.20


Sorry for the double post, this one was on my advance list as well.

whyhorseofcourse
07-04-2008, 04:18 PM
Not my day!

HOL PICK 4.

13/39/4,7,8,9/3

JBmadera
07-04-2008, 04:26 PM
OTB -$10

Suf R8 $10W #3.

2nd, -$20

Bel R4 #2 $10W

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 04:32 PM
Nice hit Valupix....I on the other hand, continue to cash small tickets....

DEL winner ** #3 ** $5.80

My record: 3 of 6 (-3.60)

whyhorseofcourse
07-04-2008, 04:33 PM
What a heck of a race call in the 4th at belmont.

Valupix
07-04-2008, 04:35 PM
Does the #5 J Be K really look that good? 1/5 good???

facorsig
07-04-2008, 04:36 PM
Mth 9 #5 had $20k bet at more than 20MTP. Something odd here....I like the 6.

Valupix
07-04-2008, 04:37 PM
He looks best, but 1/5 creates lots of overlay opportunities...

Monmouth R9

Win: 1 & 6

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 04:41 PM
CNL Race 1) #7 & #5

Valupix
07-04-2008, 04:44 PM
Woodbine R8

Win: 1

JBmadera
07-04-2008, 04:44 PM
2nd, -$20

Bel R4 #2 $10W

4th, -$30.....bankroll needs a break, will be back for The Big M....


happy 4th!

Valupix
07-04-2008, 04:45 PM
Arlington R6

Win: 7

& (#10 already posted early on my advance list)

Valupix
07-04-2008, 04:51 PM
Woodbine R8

Win: 1
1...$14.90 $6.90 $5.10
9.........$14.30 $10.50
11..................$9.30

Valupix
07-04-2008, 04:52 PM
Hollywood R2

Win: 5

Valupix
07-04-2008, 04:54 PM
Arlington R6

Win: 7

& (#10 already posted early on my advance list)

7...$15.40 $6.00 $5.00
1............$2.80 $2.60
8....................$7.40

Tee
07-04-2008, 04:56 PM
#9 Improvising Gal

Valupix
07-04-2008, 04:59 PM
Colonial R1

Win: 4

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 04:59 PM
oh that sucks.

michael martinez thought he might win a race but the horse wouldnt switch leads.

Valupix
07-04-2008, 05:00 PM
Belmont R5

Win: 1

Tee
07-04-2008, 05:01 PM
#2 Doc n Roll

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 05:01 PM
belmont 5th-w- #3 solid strike
.................w- #5 thunder minister
..................w- #11 my man lars

Valupix
07-04-2008, 05:05 PM
If you like to use stablemail for plays, check out the #1 in Belmont Race 5. Hideous ride on a horse full of run. Looked like the best horse to me but wasn't put in position to be able to win.

16/1 today and should offer value next time out as well.

Valupix
07-04-2008, 05:07 PM
Emerald R1

Win: 2

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 05:07 PM
CNL winner ** #7 ** $10.00

My record: 4 of 7 (+2.40)

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 05:08 PM
someday SOLID STRIKE is gonna get an easy lead at a nice price.

there is always someone banging heads with him early.

Valupix
07-04-2008, 05:08 PM
If you like to use stablemail for plays, check out the #1 in Belmont Race 5. Hideous ride on a horse full of run. Looked like the best horse to me but wasn't put in position to be able to win.

16/1 today and should offer value next time out as well.

That's the 1, not the 1a

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 05:09 PM
louzana 3rd- w- #6 hi ho cheerio....cover
..................w- #7 river scene
..................w- #10 almo

Toss_DeLoser
07-04-2008, 05:10 PM
LaD, R3

#7w
#8w

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 05:12 PM
belmont 5th-w- #3 solid strike
.................w- #5 thunder minister
..................w- #11 my man lars


#11 my man lars- 1st by DQ- $23.40 $10.00 $6.20

:D:D

went from red to black real quick.

Valupix
07-04-2008, 05:13 PM
Woodbine R7

Win: 7

Valupix
07-04-2008, 05:16 PM
Emerald R1

Win: 2
2...$15.00 $7.60 $4.20
5..........$11.60 $5.20
6...................$3.60

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 05:19 PM
cant even watch these races because the post parades are rolling over races.

JBmadera
07-04-2008, 05:21 PM
CNL winner ** #7 ** $10.00

My record: 4 of 7 (+2.40)

NICE - your system is doin' much better than mine.

1 more play before I move on to harness: Bel R6 #7 $5 w/p

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 05:22 PM
louzana 3rd- w- #6 hi ho cheerio....cover
..................w- #7 river scene
..................w- #10 almo


#6 hi ho cheerio- 1st- $5.20 $3.60 $2.40.....didnt quite cover.
#7 7 river scene- 2nd- $6.40 $3.60

Tee
07-04-2008, 05:26 PM
#5 Quarter Moon - not so much to win, but as a exotics key underneath.

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 05:26 PM
wow just got a glance of the #4 at belmont.

looks unbeatable.

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 05:27 PM
holly 3rd-wp- #1 ringmaster

Valupix
07-04-2008, 05:29 PM
Colonial R2

Win: 4

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 05:31 PM
holly 3rd-wp- #1 ringmaster

i was looking so good at getting 2nd there for a minute until the #4 wipes everyone out.

Valupix
07-04-2008, 05:37 PM
Canterbury R7

Win: 2

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 05:37 PM
the favorites at louzana look beatable!

thinking about just covering the race with 4,6and 8.

Valupix
07-04-2008, 05:38 PM
Emerald R2

Win: 6 & 7

Toss_DeLoser
07-04-2008, 05:40 PM
Lad R4



#7w

Valupix
07-04-2008, 05:49 PM
Arlington R8

Win: 4

JBmadera
07-04-2008, 05:50 PM
NICE - your system is doin' much better than mine.

1 more play before I move on to harness: Bel R6 #7 $5 w/p

great, another 4th....zero for 4, 1 otb, 1 2nd, 2 4ths, minus $40....when's the first post at the Big M.....:lol:

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 05:51 PM
CBY Race 8) #2 & #1

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 05:52 PM
EMD Race 3) #2 & #6

Valupix
07-04-2008, 06:08 PM
Canterbury R8

Win: 2

Valupix
07-04-2008, 06:16 PM
Pleasanton R6

Win: 1 & 8

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 06:19 PM
CBY winner ** #1 ** $8.00
EMD winner ** #2 ** $4.60

My record: 6 of 9 (+7.00)

Valupix
07-04-2008, 06:21 PM
Arlington R9

Win: 2 & 7

Valupix
07-04-2008, 06:24 PM
Colonial R4

Win: 2

Sailwolf
07-04-2008, 06:32 PM
Hollywood


Race 6

anything on the 3,6 or 7

I hate working on the 4th

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 06:36 PM
holly 5th-w- #2 chelcees hope
'..............w-#3 shebangs
.............w- #8 marenka

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 06:43 PM
holly 5th-w- #2 chelcees hope
'..............w-#3 shebangs
.............w- #8 marenka

make my bet after the post parade i have 3,6,8 to win. waited till the last minute and the #6 looked sweaty going to gate along with her being a 3 yr old. changed it to 2,3,8.:mad:

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 06:47 PM
louzana 6th- $1 tri

4
1,2
1,2,6,7,11

1,2
4
1,2,6,7,11

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 07:00 PM
EMD Race 5) #1 & #2

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 07:01 PM
tough call to bet against the #6 at 4/5. she looks good and hoping for a show it with the #2 is also out of the question.

:mad:must skip race!:mad:

Valupix
07-04-2008, 07:06 PM
Hollywood R6

Win: 1 & 3

cmoore
07-04-2008, 07:06 PM
holly race 6

Exacta # 3,9
WT # 3,6,7,9

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 07:10 PM
tough call to bet against the #6 at 4/5. she looks good and hoping for a show it with the #2 is also out of the question.

:mad:must skip race!:mad:


I AM NOW GOING TO JUMP OUT A WINDOW

:(:(


what happened to my ballz!?!?!?!??!!?

Sailwolf
07-04-2008, 07:11 PM
Hollywood Race #6 How can the 2 win? The trainer is 0 for 7

cmoore
07-04-2008, 07:12 PM
I AM NOW GOING TO JUMP OUT A WINDOW

:(:(


what happened to my ballz!?!?!?!??!!?

I looked at the Bartok runner but couldn't find a reason to bet him. I thought the 6 was over bet and used the 3,9..no 2..shooot

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 07:15 PM
Hollywood Race #6 How can the 2 win? The trainer is 0 for 7

a lot of trainers go through 0-7 streaks. thats not long at all.

lloyd wicker is better then half the trainers at hollywood anyways.

hes one of those honests trainers who fell back in the stadings when all the cheat trainers rolled into town.

cmoore
07-04-2008, 07:15 PM
Hollywood Race #6 How can the 2 win? The trainer is 0 for 7

1 for 18 debut mdn claimer...Inside post helped her, but I wasn't any closer in pulling the trigger on that filly either...

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 07:17 PM
I looked at the Bartok runner but couldn't find a reason to bet him. I thought the 6 was over bet and used the 3,9..no 2..shooot


i want that race back.

missed out on my bomb of the day.

now back to work till the next one shows up.:mad:

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 07:20 PM
!!!!!!!!!!4:20!!!!!!!!

be back in a bit.

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 07:30 PM
My record: 6 of 10 (+3.00)

HEY DUDE
07-04-2008, 07:34 PM
HOL R7 EX/TRI BX 3-4-6-9

HEY DUDE
07-04-2008, 07:35 PM
My record: 6 of 10 (+3.00)

Way to go dude!

cmoore
07-04-2008, 07:38 PM
Holly race 7)..2 to win..Yavapaii horse wire to wire hopefully..117 class rating in last is 4 pts higher then all except for the 7..only 1.6 pts higher then him..

MONEY
07-04-2008, 07:55 PM
I might as well join in. I actually bet these to win and a couple of DDs also.
Arlington
R5. 7-2
R8. 1-8
R9. 5-4
Canterbury
R8. 2-9
Churchill
R10. 3-2
R11. 8-3
Louisiana
R8. 1-9
River
R13. 4-9
Good Luck and a Happy 4th to ALL.

Money
A bunch of you are doing well.
Good Luck the rest of the night.
My results,
Arlington
R5. 7-2 w#7, $7.20 + $3.20
R8. 1-8 no $-.80
R9. 5-4 no $-12.80 no win or DD
Canterbury
R8. 2-9 no $-16.80
Churchill
R10. 3-2 w#2, $5.60, $-15.20
R11. 8-3 W#3, $8.20, DD. $27.80, = +$8.80
Louisiana
R8. 1-9 no +$4.80
River
R13. 4-9 w#$36.80, Total +$37.60 for the day.

Money

cmoore
07-04-2008, 08:01 PM
holly race 8

Double # 1,6
WT # 1,4,10

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 08:02 PM
lethal heat looks terrible on the track.

shes sweating up and too antzy.

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 08:11 PM
hollywood 8th-w- #4 runforthemoneybaby
.....................w- #12 gorgeous goose
....................w- #11 sweeter still....cover

cmoore
07-04-2008, 08:15 PM
hollywood 8th-w- #4 runforthemoneybaby
.....................w- #12 gorgeous goose
....................w- #11 sweeter still....cover

Dude..where's the 6 at....Overlay by far at 6-1..Starry Pursuit...YES!!!!

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 08:18 PM
louzana 9th- w- #1 minute maiden
..................w- #9 sefas wasp

cmoore
07-04-2008, 08:18 PM
holly race 8

Double # 1,6
WT # 1,4,10


6 $14.00...1st half down...cmon 1,4 or 10

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 08:20 PM
Dude..where's the 6 at....Overlay by far at 6-1..Starry Pursuit...YES!!!!

believe me that horse was scary before the race went off.

i knew the #8 had no chance today so i had 4,6,10,11,12 to beat her.

cant play them all.

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 08:22 PM
6 $14.00...1st half down...cmon 1,4 or 10

nice stab.:D

rosario is a beast.

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 08:24 PM
louzana 9th- w- #1 minute maiden
..................w- #9 sefas wasp

#1 minute maiden- 1st- $9.00 $5.60 $3.80

cmoore
07-04-2008, 08:35 PM
nice stab.:D

rosario is a beast.
stab...whats you talkin about Willis??? won 3 of 4 on turf and look at the trainer race report that race..Hollendorfer is 84% of 72 at that distance biznitch..

http://www.breedingwinners.com/reports/hol0704t.PDF

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 08:38 PM
55,000+ plus for lowest 5 of 6.

the #8 looked goood. someone will get 300,000+ for that one.

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 08:41 PM
hollywood 9th- w- #1 warrens cat time....meow!
.....................w- #8 arabian storm
.....................w- #9 king kang

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 08:45 PM
hollywood 9th- w- #1 warrens cat time....meow!
.....................w- #8 arabian storm
.....................w- #9 king kang

wp #8 was the way to go.


craaaap!:mad:

cmoore
07-04-2008, 08:50 PM
I'm glad I didn't try to back up the DD..Cuz I wouldn't of had that 2% jockey anyfrickinwhere..Pete..look at those trainer distance figures in that race report I posted..One of the top 2 trainer figs won in the last 4 races..There was a tie in the last race..$24 bet would of gotten 23K in the pick 4...

juanepstein
07-04-2008, 08:55 PM
I'm glad I didn't try to back up the DD..Cuz I wouldn't of had that 2% jockey anyfrickinwhere..Pete..look at those trainer distance figures in that race report I posted..One of the top 2 trainer figs won in the last 4 races..There was a tie in the last race..$24 bet would of gotten 23K in the pick 4...

i agree cliffors sise has been burning hot lately and iggy hasnt shown much since his back injury. but iggy could be getting back into the groove. ya never know.

hook me up with that stuff. i hate frkn pp's but i can deal with that. by looking at it i would of made better choices today at hollyweed.

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 09:07 PM
ASD Race 4) #7 & #1

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 09:09 PM
EMD Race 9) #10 & #8

BombsAway Bob
07-04-2008, 09:24 PM
12th@PL: #3,Forgivable BOB

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 09:29 PM
Winner ASD ** #7 ** $15.00

My record: 7 of 12 (+10.00)

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 09:35 PM
ASD Race 5) #1 & #7

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 09:45 PM
Winner ASD ** #7 ** $7.50

My record: 8 of 13 (+13.50)

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 10:34 PM
Last one for the night:

ASD Race 8) #9 & #7

Zaf
07-04-2008, 10:52 PM
Nice Picking today PA , Looks like you are the King of Assiniboia :jump:

Z

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 10:58 PM
Winner ASD ** #7 ** $8.40

My record: 9 of 14 (+17.90)


Didn't have any BOOMS today, but it certainly wasn't a bust.

PaceAdvantage
07-04-2008, 11:02 PM
Nice Picking today PA , Looks like you are the King of Assiniboia :jump:

ZThanks! The last thing I ever thought I'd be called was the King of Assiniboia, but I can't complain....:lol:

facorsig
07-04-2008, 11:50 PM
Well done PA, hard to sustain 70% win rate...few venture over to Ass Downs, but you have been suitably rewarded!

Valupix
07-05-2008, 01:45 AM
If I can get at least 6/1 near post time I will have a bet on all of these that the HBPA will allow me to play.

WO R5: #3
WO R7: #6

AP R4: #3 - went off below 6/1 odds
AP R5: #6
AP R6: #10

MTH R7: #4 - WON 24.80
MTH R8: #7 - WON 39.80

SUF R7: #1
SUF R8: #7

HOL R1: #6
HOL R5: #4

LAD R3: #12 - scratched

BEL R7: #5

PID R2: #9 - WON 17.40
PID R7: #9

PLN R8: #2

CT R2: #8 - went off below 6/1 odds

IND R4: #10

EMD R7: #5

EVD R8: #5 - scratched

PRM R6: #7
PRM R8: #4

3 for 18, plus $46.00 with these

3 for 37, minus $28.70 on the other posted plays

6 for 55 overall, plus $17.30

PaceAdvantage
07-05-2008, 02:03 AM
Very good show Valupix! Thanks for the happy recap!

Valupix
07-05-2008, 02:27 AM
Very good show Valupix! Thanks for the happy recap!

You as well PA!