Bill Cullen
07-01-2008, 10:10 PM
Dr. Quirin had a passage in his book "Handicapping by Example" where he used a formula that he applied to a horse's Win-Place-Show record over the last two years of the horse's record. I think the formula was something like
2 times Wins minus (Places + Shows)
I think he said something like a value of negative 3 or lower was an indication of a horse that didn't like to win but that came in the money a lot. I think he referred to a horse at the opposite end of the spectrum with a value of plus 3 or higher as a potential "betting tool." If memory serves, the ROI he stated for 3+ horses was $1.99. I don't remember if he stated an impact value for +3 horses or not.
My interest is in the horses with a 3+ value from the perspective of a "betting tool." I always found the concept intriguing.
Any thoughts?
Thanks,
Bill C
2 times Wins minus (Places + Shows)
I think he said something like a value of negative 3 or lower was an indication of a horse that didn't like to win but that came in the money a lot. I think he referred to a horse at the opposite end of the spectrum with a value of plus 3 or higher as a potential "betting tool." If memory serves, the ROI he stated for 3+ horses was $1.99. I don't remember if he stated an impact value for +3 horses or not.
My interest is in the horses with a 3+ value from the perspective of a "betting tool." I always found the concept intriguing.
Any thoughts?
Thanks,
Bill C