Some Saturday Picks 5/17

[Ray2000]

Saturday 5/17 ....3 horse boxes w/ ML on P1 > 7

Balmoral R7…426 Willie The Kid 8/1 Fox Valley Quantum 9/2 King Of Kings 3/1
The 4's last was a prep race, could improve from his 2 yr old season

Meadows R15…158 Equalize 12/1 Wrist Rocket 12/1 Drive By 2/1
The rail may be enough to beat Palone (8), has good class and speed ratings

Mohawk R4…237 Priceless Edition 8/1 Sipwiththepres 7/1 Clowns Smile 3/1
Inside the 7 and 8 this week, couldn't beat them in last but good effort outside

Mohawk R5…485 Hbfs Power Play 8/1 South Side Simon 7/2 Allamerican Cane 6/1
Good 2nd in last losing to the 8, post makes the difference, won't get 8/1

Mohawk R8…216 I Zee 10/1 Lincoln Parke 10/1 Oliver Jackson 5/1
the 7's been off a month, post hurts the 10, might get a price here

Northlands R6…174 Great Offer 15/1 Code Black 2/1 Rumers Are Flying 12/1
The 1 bested the 7 on 4/20, has rail, due for a win?

Scarborough R3…124 Arden's Heritage N 8/1 Simply Hilarious 6/1 Tonros Prince A 7/2
The 1 showing much improved speed in last 2 starts

Good Luck All!
:)

[Ray2000]

No hits:(
Win bets -$14, Box bets -$84

Sunday's computer picks box 3

Chester R8................576 Fake Denario N 8/1 Psilvuheartbreaker 5/2 Immortal Quest N 8/1
Chester R12...............312 Art N Soul 10/1 Eoos 6/1 Noble Falcon 4/1
Mohawk R9................439 King Joe 8/1 Acceptable Risk 3/1 Pizzas Western 5/1
Northlands R10...........194 Art By Dylan 12/1 Red Star Wild West 2/1 Outlawpositivcharg 5/1
Rideau-Carleton R12....346 Great White Art 15/1 Win Gaiter 3/1 Devilmaycry 8/1
Rideau-Carleton R13....792 Dr Albert 8/1 Conodoguinet Mark 25/1 Ranger Seelster 10/1

Good luck

[Sinner369]

Ray if you don't mine asking.....what computer program are you using?

Because computer programs do not work for Northlands Park.....my home track.

The programs are better for the bigger tracks like Mohawk, Meadowlands, etc....

I use the Diamond Harness for Mohawk but I don't even try for NP.

It's better if you use track bias and racing style for NP and local knowledge which requires following the horses by personal observation.

Sinner ;)

[Ray2000]

Sinner

I use my own program based on an Excel spreadsheet running Visual Basic Macros.
The program uses TrackMaster Data files type r.exe (the regular ones)

The macro program decompresses the data file and brings in the info I want.
It rejects most races as not playable, Maidens, small fields, too many potential breakers etc
Then it uses my own numbers for Driver, Trainer, Post Bias, Gate and Track speeds to come up with
its top 3 rated horses. If the Morning Line added together on these 3 is > 14 and
the Line on Pick1 is 5/2 or more then it adds the race to my playlist for the day.

For instance for Northlands(5/8) my numbers are:

Speed rating....117.4
1st Trailer.....9
Post Bias (1-10)......0.32 0.25 0.14 0.30 0.38 -0.27 -0.44 -0.60 -0.10 0.04

It picked the 1 in Race 10 at Northlands today because of recent claim, recent new LTM, and computer loves the rail.:)


I absolutely agree it's better to use local knowledge and personal observation but
I don't get to the track much anymore.
That is... until the new super fast Valley View track opens in Western Pa (2010?)

Good luck at Northlands

[Sinner369]

Must be a coincidence.....because I use Excel spreadsheets and macros for NP.

I download the pp's from Standred Canada and extract the lines (using Abletoextract version 4.0) from there I import the lines to Excel and using my own formula's to rate the next days entries.

It takes me a couple hours each week to extract the past week's races. I can only do it for NP because of a limited population of horses and very few ship ins.

By the way your #1 Art By Dylan came in 4th. He had horse left but there were a wall of horses in front of him and cannot get thru.

Good Luck with your handicapping!!!!

Sinner:ThmbUp:

[Ray2000]

Sinner,

Thanks for the info, I din't get to see the NP race 10, I was watching Hockey.:)

My posted picks for yesterday were way off only caught 1 winner, no boxes, 1 scratched
Rideau-Carleton R12…382 Great White Art $22.50

Today (Monday 5/19) computer picks these longshot Ex boxes but I haven't checked them out.

Chester R8..........172 Nights Kreeation 8/1 Binions 5/2 Unn 10/1
Chester R11.........543 Nf Signature 12/1 Private Room 5/2 Newsam 8/1
Hazel Park R9.......645 April Sunshine 8/1 S F Liberty 5/1 Let'S Not Lock It 3/1
Western Fair R5...746 Julies Barney 15/1 Millennium Speed 5/2 Lexus Norm 12/1
Western Fair R9....845 Lotteria 12/1 Profit Forecast 4/1 Speed Mcqueen 6/1
Mohawk R2..........367 Benns Lookout 10/1 Armbro Token 6/1 Usa Victory 6/1
Northfield R5........617 Pink Water Emile 20/1 Distinct Victory 6/1 Book Mark 5/2


Good luck all, back next weekend.