Derby Picks

[OnlineHorseRacing]

Here are my picks for the main race tomorrow
Race 10

1) Colonel John

2) Big Brown

3) Monba



Post yours now

[phatbastard]

recapturetheglory....seems to get quicker every race..stalks and takes over turn

monba

Dennis of Cork

big brown

[canleakid]

6/9/19/20/5 ;)

[Tex9Down]

Andrew Beyer had an interesting take in his picks on DRF.

Pyro
Z Fortune
Gayego

Sounds good to me.

[ROCKAWAYBOY]

#20-BIG BROWN
#10-COLONEL JOHN
#9- PYRO EXX BOX & TRI S

#16-DENNIS OF CORK
#5-EIGHT BELLS
#COURT VISION
GOOD LUCK !!!!!!
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

[juanepstein]

OCHO!!!!

[Burls]

I like
Colonel John and
Big Brown
but not at the low odds they are likely to go off at.
If Gayego stays around 15/1, I'd bet on him.

[judd]

cowboy cal

[Raida]

Bob Black jack, is running beyond his breeding, but he certainly has ability, He will be top ,bottom and middle of my Tri Keys.

[Marshall Bennett]

1. ZFortune
2. Big Brown
3. Pyro
4. Visionaire
5. Court Vision
6. Tale of Ekati
7. Cool Coal Man
8. Smooth Air
9. Adriano
10.Cowboy Cal
11.Recapturetheglory
12.Gayego
13 Colonel John
14.Eight Belles
15.Anak Nakal
16.Monba
17.Big Truck
18.Z Humor
19.Denis of Cork
20.Bob Black Jack

[Viruss]

Derby picks and thoughts

#5 Eight bells -figs and sharp works,consistant
#6 Z Fortune-good last ,closed well in last
#10 Colonel John-great works,fast closer,fastest work out breezing
#20 Big Brown-Speed of the speed,poor post
#16 Denis of Cork- my pace match horse off the 2-18-08 race,good works

Good luck racing

Earl

[Dave Schwartz]

CD 10 (KyDby.) Bet Int=20
sort:Pct+$Net Time: 10:26:20 Min: 4:37:39
Prime Cont=4 FH Cont=50% +1
Prg Horse Con Odds Prob $Net Opt% Gr |
20 Big Brown C 3.00 14.4 $1.15 -14.17% F |
19 Gayego C 15.00 10.1 $3.24 4.13% A+ |
12 Smooth Air C 20.00 7.9 $3.32 3.30% A+ |
9 Pyro C 6.00 6.6 $0.93 -8.92% F |





One of my long-time users, who is deadly in the derby, sent me HIS picks:


17- Cowboy Cal
20- Big Brown
14- Monba
8- Visionaire



The intersection of the two lists would give us

Big Brown ont top of the rest in an exacta. (And reverse.)

20 x (19, 12, 9, 17, 14, 8) = $24

[JimG]

It is a fascinating race. By my analysis, Big Brown, Tale of Ekati, and Smooth Air are the quality horses that should be in the running at the 6F mark. Big Brown appears to be the best of these but it could come down to how hard each are used to get to that point. My late figure analysis sees Recapturetheglory, Colonel John, and Pyro as the best shots to really be moving at the 1 mile mark. Pyro has the best late kick, IF he runs back to his best effort. To me, that is a big if given his very poor last race (which I am not going to completely dismiss as a surface problem) Denis of Cork, Bob Black Jack and Monba are the next tier that would need to run career races to hit the exacta or trifecta.

I look at Ky Derby, Breeder's Cup, etc. as a rare opportunity to make a score on a single race given all the uniformed money in the pool. So therefore I usually spread out my wagers for a score.

Of course it depends on the odds, but I will be betting Smooth Air and Recapturetheglory to win.

Regarding exotics, I think Big Brown is the most likely winner and I will key him on top in the trifecta with some of the horses mentioned above for second and all of the horses mentioned for third.

As the second most likely winners, I will key Colonel John and Pyro on top in exactas, with most of the horses mentioned above (not Big Brown)

Best of luck to all and safe trips to the horses and jocks.

Jim

[098poi]

CD 10 (KyDby.) Bet Int=20
sort:Pct+$Net Time: 10:26:20 Min: 4:37:39
Prime Cont=4 FH Cont=50% +1
Prg Horse Con Odds Prob $Net Opt% Gr |
20 Big Brown C 3.00 14.4 $1.15 -14.17% F |
19 Gayego C 15.00 10.1 $3.24 4.13% A+ |
12 Smooth Air C 20.00 7.9 $3.32 3.30% A+ |
9 Pyro C 6.00 6.6 $0.93 -8.92% F |





One of my long-time users, who is deadly in the derby, sent me HIS picks:


17- Cowboy Cal
20- Big Brown
14- Monba
8- Visionaire



The intersection of the two lists would give us

Big Brown ont top of the rest in an exacta. (And reverse.)

20 x (19, 12, 9, 17, 14, 8) = $24







Interesting Dave. Check my mini stats on Beyers
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=46568

Basically (based on the last 5 Derby's) horses with at least 2 Beyers at or above 100 win more than their fair share. This year three qualify, Pyro,Gayego, and Big Brown!

[formula_2002]

Am I the only one to flat out bet #20 BB?
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=46546.

geees!!

[canleakid]

6/9/19/20/5 ;)
results 20-5 pd. $141.60 :)

[whobet]

http://www.drf.com/stakeresults/drfStakeResults.jsp