20Apr08SA ***Selections***

[SRK]

Race 1



Peace Accord (4) faces slightly softer here, has been working well, and along with the positive jock switch to Bejarano, there is reason to believe he might get it done here. Si Se Puede (5) is drawn just outside my top pick, closed nicely in his last, but might find himself with a little too much to do late. Cactus Lighting (1) also will be coming late, but the rail draw and lack of activity since his last race are a concern.



Race 2



Not much to choose from here. Maggie Lane (7) jogged along the rail in her 7 furlong comebacker after not being seen for over a year. She has worked a couple of times since, and why not? Both favorites have some knocks against them. Foregiveandforget (6) ran the best race of her life in her last, setting moderate fractions before tiring in the lane. Why should today be any different? California Demon (2) has been off since Fairplex, and would have to pick up right where she left off to contend, much less win this.



Race 3



This is an interesting race! Back class. Long layoffs. Dubai shippers. Grade 1 winners. Bullet works. Magnum (3) certainly needed his last, but wasn’t totally embarrassed as he was prominent early in a quickly run stakes. Let’s see if he moves forward off of that. Mast Track (4) switches jocks back to Bejarano, who has previously ridden him to two victories. He showed some fight in his last, and is also capable of improvement. From there we get into extended layoff country, and its pretty much anyone’s guess. Brother Derek (5) is the 6/5 favorite, despite the fact that trainer Dan Hendricks is 0 for his last 49 coming off an extended vacation. Bet against. Dixie Miester (2) is the second favorite, and will have to overcome both the Dubai curse and a one year leave of absence. Guess that leaves me with Nice Bet (1) who draws the nice rail, has won or placed in several Group 2 events, and just fired a bullet in his last work.

[SRK]

Race 4



I don’t like the inside posts going down the hill, but I think KrugerPark (2) will be able to overcome that hurdle here. I think he’ll show the most potent kick down the lane. There is also a lot to like on the rail horse Mind The Minister (1). Finishing first or second in 6 of his last 7, he is an almost certainty to fire his best shot, with good downhill jock Tyler Baze aboard. Trainer Mullins adds to the appeal. Billy Allen (7) who owns more wins than the rest of the field combined, and Ten Downing Street (6) who does well at this trip, round out the contention.

[Burls]

SA R3

3 WP

[SRK]

What's up, Burls?

Not me.

Had myself gelded on Friday, and can still barely walk.

Never could figure out how horses could come back and run,
much less win, after they had their equipment changed.

I agree with you on this one. Bet against the 5.

[Burls]

What's up, Burls?

Not too much.
I just went in the black for today thanks to a $47.50 exacta at KEE R7 thanks to the Premier Turf Club tip sheet.
Have you guys checked those out?

I also agree that this is just a prep workout for the 5.
One thing I can't understand is how a horse that has two G1 wins and two G2 wins can possibly satisfy the allowance conditions.

[SRK]

Well we had it right on Brother Derek.

He made the conditions by not having won $40,000 at a mile or over since June 1, in fact Brother Derek hasn't won since the '06 Santa Anita Derby.

Can't say I am familiar with the Premier Turf Club sheet - but apparently its doing well for you. That's great.

[SRK]

Race 5



Samantha’s Rule (4) drops into Maiden claimers, switches back to the AW, puts on the blinks, is second off the layoff, and changes jocks to Michael Baze (from Garrett Gomez). That might just add up to a victory. Pure Refinement (2) also drops in class, and changes jock and surface. Certainly one of the two has found the right formula??? Excessive Fun (8) closed well in her debut, and with a better start and a little better racing luck in her second try, deserves a look. Finally, King City Kitty (1) got a poor draw, but otherwise has the look of a horse that should do better this time out.

[Sailwolf]

explain the exacta on the 1st race. I cannot:bang:

[Burls]

SA R4

4,6/1,2,4,6 EX

[juanepstein]

santa anita 4th- wp- #7 billy allen

$1 tri

7
1,2,3,5
1,2,3,5,4,6

1,2,3,5
7
1,2,3,5,4,6


hola peoples!

[juanepstein]

santa anita 4th- wp- #7 billy allen

$1 tri

7
1,2,3,5
1,2,3,5,4,6

1,2,3,5
7
1,2,3,5,4,6


hola peoples!


hey thanks for screwing that one up valdivia!

[SRK]

Race 6



Very tough race to handicap. Full field of uninspiring former maidens, most of whom are trying this tricky trip for the first time. Proceed with caution. I don’t usually endorse Turf Paradise shippers, but in this case – why not? Vegas Runner (3) has proven herself over the grass and at this distance. I’ll give her the weakest of nods in this head scratcher. Kilmartin Hall (11) has caught my eye before, is bred for the turf, and is realistically placed here. Starstruck Kristen (4) was wide throughout in her debut, where she closed nicely to get up a head at the wire. Not sure about her connections or turf breeding, but is worth taking a flyer on in her second lifetime effort. Both Curvey Star (9) and No Cream Or Sugar (5) exit the same heat, which was run down the hill in decidedly mediocre fashion. I’ll keep my wallet in my pocket and just watch this one.

[SRK]

Hola Epstein !

Que pasa?

I'm just chilling on a Sunday afternoon.

Listening to some tunes, and watching the ponies go round and round.

[Burls]

explain the exacta on the 1st race. I cannot:bang:

How about explaining this one then?

Keeneland 4th Race

5 Horticulture Graham J....130.20...45.80...13.20
9 City Flag Leparoux JR.................14.80....6.40
11 Winning Turn Albarado R.......................4.80

$2 Exacta (5-9) Paid $1,376.00

50 CENT Trifecta (5-9-11) Paid $4,635.25

[juanepstein]

santa anita 5th- $1 tri

1,2
1,2
3,4,8,9

1,2
3,4,8,9
1,2

[Burls]

SA R5

$2 to PLACE on 5

[SAL]

For a price here I like #7 Princess Integrity 15/1 ML

Barn has done OK with first off the claim in limited starts and this one ran well on the hill last year.

Time for Iggy to get his first win!

[SRK]

Race 7



Probably going to pass this one, too. Modification (11) speed and fade in her debut. Scout About (3) sports a bullet work for poor layoff trainer Hendricks. Getting one in before Hollywood? Silk Thunder (6) another speed then fade type. Siesta time?

[juanepstein]

For a price here I like #7 Princess Integrity 15/1 ML

Barn has done OK with first off the claim in limited starts and this one ran well on the hill last year.

Time for Iggy to get his first win!

is this the factor man?;)

[Burls]

For a price here I like #7 Princess Integrity 15/1 ML

Barn has done OK with first off the claim in limited starts and this one ran well on the hill last year.

Time for Iggy to get his first win!

I gave Agapito a shot last race.
At 72-4-4-8, he's not exactly shining in the win column either.

[FlyinLate]

Santa Anita
Race 6

The #1 Rapid Goose deserves a look. He was claimed, and then re-claimed back by his original owners. With so many horses available at the 25C level, they must have thought something special of this one to go right back and re-claim it. Gets Bejarano aboard, but does draw the inside post on this downhill turf event. Not saying the horse is going to run great, just think it's an interesting angle for such a weak group of horses. Atleast worth it to throw in the gimmicks.

[Sailwolf]

is this the factor man?;)

(On #7 in the 6th race) Only 4 works. How about #5? just missed 2 back. fairly close last time

[juanepstein]

santa anita 6th- $2 pk6- 3,6/3,11/3,8,11/1,6,7/1/5

[juanepstein]

(On #7 in the 6th race) Only 4 works. How about #5? just missed 2 back. fairly close last time

he looked good on the track.

seems to always give %100.

i went against on my pk6 ticket.

[Sailwolf]

NEVER MIND:bang: (on the 7)

[FlyinLate]

For a price here I like #7 Princess Integrity 15/1 ML

Barn has done OK with first off the claim in limited starts and this one ran well on the hill last year.

Time for Iggy to get his first win!

Nice call.

Thought my #1 had you but somehow Iggy got it done :bang:

Hope someone boxed our picks as I wasnt smart enough to :lol:
Nice $318 exacta for a buck

[Burls]

For a price here I like #7 Princess Integrity 15/1 ML

Barn has done OK with first off the claim in limited starts and this one ran well on the hill last year.

Time for Iggy to get his first win!


NICE call SAL!!!!
And Iggy's in the WIN column for a BIG price!!!

[juanepstein]

For a price here I like #7 Princess Integrity 15/1 ML

Barn has done OK with first off the claim in limited starts and this one ran well on the hill last year.

Time for Iggy to get his first win!

wow nice call.

was that iggy? looked like a whole new different rider.

hes had bad back problems. i partied with him out here in palm springs and he was munching pain killers and drinkin beers. real nice guy except the part of him empting my wallet with all the bogus tips he was getting texted from trainers from the track.

[Burls]

Santa Anita
Race 6

The #1 Rapid Goose deserves a look. He was claimed, and then re-claimed back by his original owners. With so many horses available at the 25C level, they must have thought something special of this one to go right back and re-claim it. Gets Bejarano aboard, but does draw the inside post on this downhill turf event. Not saying the horse is going to run great, just think it's an interesting angle for such a weak group of horses. Atleast worth it to throw in the gimmicks.

That was a good insight as well!!

Did anyone box the 1/7?

[SRK]

Great call, SAL !!!


Hope you jumped in with both feet.

[Burls]

real nice guy except the part of him empting my wallet with all the bogus tips he was getting texted from trainers from the track.

You kill me Juan. :lol: :lol: :lol:

[juanepstein]

You kill me Juan. :lol: :lol: :lol:

lol!

but he did give me some good info and that was when rides for mike machowsky he is live so watch for that in the future.

[Burls]

I wonder how many P6 tickets are still live?

[juanepstein]

I wonder how many P6 tickets are still live?

the one in iggys boot.

[juanepstein]

santa anita 7th- $1 tri

3,6,8
3,6,8,10,11
3,6,8,10,11

[SRK]

Race 8



Mitchell goes light with Mt Orient (6) here, taking both the apprentice and the claiming price weight breaks. It might just be enough. Won at this trip at the $50k level back in January. Like A Tiger (7) appears to be going well right now and certainly fits here. Seeking Answers (9) will be finishing fast.

[chickenhead]

santa anita 7th- $1 tri

3,6,8
3,6,8,10,11
3,6,8,10,11


pretty close to mine

6,8,11
3,6,8,11,12
3,6,8,11,12

[Burls]

I just noticed that the 5 is 62% on first lasix.5 WP

[Valupix]

Sa R7

5 & 13

[chickenhead]

pretty close to mine

6,8,11
3,6,8,11,12
3,6,8,11,12

:)

42-1 in 2nd?

OBJECTION :mad:

[juanepstein]

pretty close to mine

6,8,11
3,6,8,11,12
3,6,8,11,12

nice hit bro.

looks like day dreamer solis got nosed late.

helps you but bad for me.

[juanepstein]

:)

42-1 in 2nd?

OBJECTION :mad:

wow the #12 actually did get up and get 2nd.

im not a big talamo fan. but he is getting hot again so i guess i should pay attention more to his mounts.

[Burls]

pretty close to mine

6,8,11
3,6,8,11,12
3,6,8,11,12

A big sigh of relief comes over Chickenhead...it's only the 3...

[Sailwolf]

santa anita 7th- $1 tri

3,6,8
3,6,8,10,11
3,6,8,10,11

Darn that 12.:confused:

[Burls]

pretty close to mine

6,8,11
3,6,8,11,12
3,6,8,11,12

$623 for a $24 bet = NICE !!!

[juanepstein]

Darn that 12.:confused:

oh well what can ya do.

on the head on replay its unbelievable the #12 actually found room.

that was ballzy by talamo.

[SRK]

Race 9



There are several that are going to contest for the lead here, including Elsie Jo (3) who gets a drop in class along with new rider, meet champ Rafael Bejarano. Could hang around a real long time. HavensLake (5) is a Mullins re-claim who deserves a long look here. Along with Almacita (4) who looks to benefit the most when the speed starts to tire. Which most, if not all of it, will.

[SRK]

Very well done - Chickenhead.


Clap !!! Clap !!! Clap !!!

[juanepstein]

santa anita 8th- wps- #4 RUN TO THE BORDER


http://www.freakingnews.com/pictures/25000/Taco-Bell-Exitway--25076.jpg

[Burls]

SA R8

4,7,8 EXB

[Valupix]

Race 8

Win: 10 & 11

[SAL]

My other price play of the day at SA

#6 Getthereonetime 8/1 ML

Drops and gets a positive jock switch here. Showed in last that she's not a dyed in the wool frontrunner. I think she'll sit behind the leaders here and get first run. Notable drills since last

[juanepstein]

welli have #11 sacred light on my pk6 ticket but im sure it wont pay 4 of 6.

had super harmony too and for a minute there i thought she was gonna win.

[Valupix]

Race 8

Win: 10 & 11
11...$34.40 $13.00 $6.80
3 ……. $6.00 $4.00
6.……….…$2.80

[Valupix]

Wrong thread, but...


Bay Meadows R8

Win: #4

[Sailwolf]

Wrong thread, but...


Bay Meadows R8

Win: #4

Not the wrong thread because we are looking for winners.

But are you reaching for the stars?

[Valupix]

Turf Paradise R9

Win: 6 & 7

[Sailwolf]

Wrong thread, but...


Bay Meadows R8

Win: #4

I think she got last place

[Valupix]

REaching for value. Sometimes it come with the lower odds horse but most of the tim eis comes at the far reaches of the toteboard.

Granted that means low percentage, but you don't need to hit to mnay like that to make up for the large number of misses. It pays off the long haul.

[Valupix]

I think she got last place
Someone always does.

[juanepstein]

santa anita 9th- $1 pk3- 1,5/1,3,5,8/1,3,4,5,8,9

[SRK]

Race 10



Porfido (4) is at the top of his game for Frankel right now. Should get a fair price, too. If you can forgive his last, then On The Acorn (1) certainly fits. Several can complete the trifecta, including Breeders Cup Turf runner-up Shamdinan (3) who might find this turf course too firm; Big Booster (5) who will be coming late; and Warning Zone (8) who finished just a nose behind Porfido in his last, but might have a hard time repeating that effort in here.

[Valupix]

Santa Anita R9

Win: 4 & 6

[chickenhead]

p3

4 // 1,3,5 // 3,5,8,9,10

[Valupix]

Bay Meadows R9

Win: 4 & 6
Ex/Bx: 2,4,6,9

[juanepstein]

man WARNING ZONE looks real good on the track.

[Valupix]

Santa Anita R10

Win: 5

[Valupix]

Santa Anita R10

Win: 5
5...$16.00 $8.60 $4.60
8.……$5.20 $3.20
4.…………$3.00

[SRK]

Race 11



Quiet At The Top (8) drops looking for her first win, and appears to be the quickest in here. Pride And Class (2) is bred to win early, and has been training well at Fairplex for her debut. America’s Starlet (3) also drops in for a tag for the first time, and hinted that better things are coming in her last. Little Brenda (5) should improve her second time out. Finally, champion Bejarano tries his magic on Stormy Taters (6) as the curtain drops on the meet. Hollywood here we come !!!

[SRK]

A lot of good picks on this thread today. Thanks for joining in.

[Valupix]

Race 11

Win: 1, 7 & 9

[juanepstein]

need to check and see if maggie carter has an early ride at los al.

if she does shes gotta have to haul asz and get to los al quick after this 11th race at santa anita.