duckhunter3
04-16-2008, 08:46 PM
For thursday:
In most cases we can't know who the post time fave will be until post time, but often, we can get an idea of who probably will be by the ML. Below are some races where I again consider the ML fave/fave's to be vulnerable and create situations where you can feel more comfortable SWINGING FOR THE FENCES even if they ARE ultimate the ML fave's. I am also listing some alternatives to consider in each of those races. I haven't completely analyzed the alternatives and will be looking at whether they are likely to "bounce" or have fitness issues (because of layoffs) or weak trainers, or trainer/jockey combos. So I am not RECOMMENDING any of the alternatives at this point- just suggesting they definitely should be considered based on preliminary review.
So here we go and good luck tomorrow: (the first number is the race number, the second is the vulnerable ML fave and if there is an & the second and 3rd are the vulnerable faves, and the remainder are the alternatives).
Race Vulnerable ML Fave Alternatives to consider
AQU 4 3 1-2-5-6
AQU 5 1A 4-5-6-8
GP 4 1 & 2 1-5-6-7
GP 5 8 4-6-7-10
KEE 1 5 & 8 3-4-7-9
KEE 3 11 4-6-10
KEE 4 3 & 5 2-4-6
KEE 6 2 & 5 3-6-8
KEE 7 1 & 1A 3-5-8-9
KEE 9 9 4-7-8
Now for some (dare I say, "mortal") locks? At least one of these should win, although admittedly at short odds, but I will consider them as singles in vertical and horizontal exotics:
AQU 1 #1
GP 1 #7
Hope this helps someone.
In most cases we can't know who the post time fave will be until post time, but often, we can get an idea of who probably will be by the ML. Below are some races where I again consider the ML fave/fave's to be vulnerable and create situations where you can feel more comfortable SWINGING FOR THE FENCES even if they ARE ultimate the ML fave's. I am also listing some alternatives to consider in each of those races. I haven't completely analyzed the alternatives and will be looking at whether they are likely to "bounce" or have fitness issues (because of layoffs) or weak trainers, or trainer/jockey combos. So I am not RECOMMENDING any of the alternatives at this point- just suggesting they definitely should be considered based on preliminary review.
So here we go and good luck tomorrow: (the first number is the race number, the second is the vulnerable ML fave and if there is an & the second and 3rd are the vulnerable faves, and the remainder are the alternatives).
Race Vulnerable ML Fave Alternatives to consider
AQU 4 3 1-2-5-6
AQU 5 1A 4-5-6-8
GP 4 1 & 2 1-5-6-7
GP 5 8 4-6-7-10
KEE 1 5 & 8 3-4-7-9
KEE 3 11 4-6-10
KEE 4 3 & 5 2-4-6
KEE 6 2 & 5 3-6-8
KEE 7 1 & 1A 3-5-8-9
KEE 9 9 4-7-8
Now for some (dare I say, "mortal") locks? At least one of these should win, although admittedly at short odds, but I will consider them as singles in vertical and horizontal exotics:
AQU 1 #1
GP 1 #7
Hope this helps someone.