long term capital plays 02-22-2008

[formula_2002]

track date race # prg # name ml time
DED 20080222 7 5 GULF STREAM 5
DED 20080222 9 10 I'M TO LUCKY 15
TAM 20080222 1 5 CAPTURE THE 5 12:25
GP 20080222 2 9 ZEPHYR CAT 6 1:44
FG 20080222 2 4 ALI'S NEXT C 4.5 2:02
BEU 20080222 3 8 ECHOTA 4.5 2:07
GP 20080222 3 9 RUSHIN' RAHY 2.5 2:13
OP 20080222 1 9 A BIG TO'DO 6 2:30
BEU 20080222 4 5 ERLY PROSPEC 6 2:33
TUP 20080222 3 4 MISTER COSMI 3 3:36
GP 20080222 6 2 SWEETSIE 8 3:40
BEU 20080222 7 4 SWEET LUCY G 3.5 3:51
FG 20080222 6 1 SASSY STEPHA 5 3:55
FG 20080222 7 8 BEYOND INFIN 5 4:25
GP 20080222 8 1 KENTUCKY BEA 3 4:42
BM 20080222 3 3 SEATTLE DELE 5 4:47
OP 20080222 6 1 OUR DANCER 4.5 4:50
GP 20080222 9 11 PRIME REALES 12 5:13
OP 20080222 7 7 SILVER TRIPP 5 5:17
TP 20080222 2 3 ROARIN' LAUR 3 5:56
OP 20080222 9 8 SPLENDID IN 5 6:11
BM 20080222 6 4 SEDONA SILVE 4.5 6:20
OP 20080222 10 1 STIRRUP EXCI 5 6:38
TUP 20080222 9 8 WARREN'S COL 4.5 6:45
TP 20080222 4 5 GENERAL STEF 3.5 6:50
DED 20080222 3 9 SHEIKH BARKE 5 8:21
TP 20080222 8 3 PRINCESS B G 4.5 8:38
DED 20080222 5 2 EXHORT 2 9:13
TP 20080222 10 10 LITTLE SOMET 3 9:32
DED 20080222 6 6 ZARB'S BALLE 3.5 9:39

[formula_2002]

SO FAR 1 WIN IN 7 PLAYS..
PROBABILITY OF DOING VERY WELL ON THE REMAINDER IS VERY HIGH ;)

[formula_2002]

SO FAR 1 WIN IN 7 PLAYS..
PROBABILITY OF DOING VERY WELL ON THE REMAINDER IS VERY HIGH ;)
SINCE THEN 2 WINS IN 4 PLAYS RETURNED $9.60 FOR $8 BET. :jump:

[formula_2002]

SO FAR 1 WIN IN 7 PLAYS..
PROBABILITY OF DOING VERY WELL ON THE REMAINDER IS VERY HIGH ;)
NOW SINCE THEN:

3 WINS IN 7 PLAYS, WIN POOL ROI 1.42. YOU HAVE TO PLAY THIS GAME AS IF YOU WERE AT A CRAP TABLE..

[formula_2002]

that last win at op was especially sweet to a craps player.
7th race, # 7 horse. Last time I looked at the board, it was 7 minuets to post, and it paid $7.20

as of now, up for the day.
If I were at a crap table, I'd walk away right now and have dinner. roi up to now is 1.012!! :jump:

[formula_2002]

after 20 plays:
6 wins for a 1.05 roi

[formula_2002]

finals

7 wins in 27 plays.
$46.6/54 = .86 flat bet roi
7/7.08= .99 proportional odds betting, roi]

two day total:
12 wins in 51 plays
$82.0 returned/$102 bet = .80 flat bet roi

12.00 expected winners/ 12.48 actual winners = .96 proportional bet roi

track date race # prg # name wins odds e-wins w p s
BEU 20080222 3 8 ECHOTA 0 3 0.25 0 0 0 1
BEU 20080222 4 5 ERLY PROSPEC 0 6 0.14 0 0 2.6 1
BEU 20080222 7 4 SWEET LUCY G 1 0.9 0.53 3.8 3 2.2 1
BM 20080222 3 3 SEATTLE DELE 0 5.5 0.15 0 0 0 1
BM 20080222 6 4 SEDONA SILVE - ss ss ss ss
DED 20080222 3 9 SHEIKH BARKE 0 1.8 0.36 0 0 3 1
DED 20080222 5 2 EXHORT 0 1.4 0.42 0 0 0 1
DED 20080222 6 6 ZARB'S BALLE 0 2.5 0.29 0 4 2.6 1
DED 20080222 7 5 GULF STREAM 0 5.4 0.16 0 0 0 1
DED 20080222 9 10 I'M TO LUCKY 0 5.6 0.15 0 9.2 6 1
FG 20080222 2 4 ALI'S NEXT C 0 3.1 0.24 0 0 0 1
FG 20080222 6 1 SASSY STEPHA 1 1.9 0.34 5.8 3.6 2.8 1
FG 20080222 7 8 BEYOND INFIN 0 2.2 0.31 0 4.4 2.8 1
GP 20080222 2 9 ZEPHYR CAT 0 8.3 0.11 0 0 5 1
GP 20080222 3 9 RUSHIN' RAHY 1 1.6 0.38 5.2 2.8 2.4 1
GP 20080222 6 2 SWEETSIE 0 11.3 0.08 0 0 0 1
GP 20080222 8 1 KENTUCKY BEA - SS SS SS SS
GP 20080222 9 11 PRIME REALES - SS SS SS SS
OP 20080222 1 9 A BIG TO'DO 0 9.7 0.09 0 0 0 1
OP 20080222 6 1 OUR DANCER 1 4.2 0.19 10.4 6 3.6 1
OP 20080222 7 7 SILVER TRIPP 1 2.6 0.28 7.2 3.8 2.4 1
OP 20080222 9 8 SPLENDID IN 0 7 0.13 0 0 0 1
OP 20080222 10 1 STIRRUP EXCI 0 2.9 0.26 0 0 0 1
TAM 20080222 1 5 CAPTURE THE 0 4.1 0.20 0 0 3.4 1
TP 20080222 2 3 ROARIN' LAUR 0 2.1 0.32 0 0 0 1
TP 20080222 4 5 GENERAL STEF 1 3.8 0.21 9.6 5.2 3.6 1
TP 20080222 8 3 PRINCESS B G 0 2.1 0.32 0 0 2.4 1
TP 20080222 10 10 LITTLE SOMET 1 1.3 0.43 4.6 3.2 2.4 1
TUP 20080222 3 4 MISTER COSMI 0 1.2 0.45 0 0 0 1
TUP 20080222 9 8 WARREN'S COL 0 2.6 0.28 0 0 3 1
2/22/2008 7 7.08 46.6 45.2 50.2 27
2/21/2008 5 5.40 35.4 24
12.00 12.48 82.00 51.00