Suff
02-03-2003, 09:12 PM
When I roll.. I roll. And I feel it. Let's rock n roll with Wed's double right out the gate.
I have no Morning lines and thats perfect.
I'm capping to a moist.. Not only because it's gonna rain all day Tuesday.. but it will be near 50 and I expect them to do alot of work to the track that was put off from 30 days of sub-zero temps. So even if it comes up dry.. I expect it be Harrowed thoroughly and what has'nt been dug up, will certainly be on WED.
1. Classical Drive.. (probable 2nd or 3rd Fav) ITM 3 for 4 at the distance . Performances over the inner.. strictly routing.. have been the worst races of his life however ,, with a couple of low 50 performances. I'm capping to a moist track and although he shows 2-4 ITM on an off.. I went through and they're against weaker. I'm almost certainly tossing on a wet.. and I'm barely convinced on a dry either. His efforts against open company at any level have been dull...at 8-1 or better,, on fast track.. with a couple of scratches I could be coerced into using underneath. But more than liklely I'm not using at all.
#2 Mickey the Groom.. probable longshot... Very weak in beyer comparisons,,, o for 6 on the inner (1 show placing) . If your looking for angle.. it's first Blinks.. and if your looking for a reason.. he was only ONE length behind Classical drive (#1) in the 11-29-02 affair. Nothing in his trainer stats... Lifetime stats or inner stats... give me any reason to think he'll be any kind of a fator in here. EXCEPT... he's raced with Blinkers twice.. earned a 76 and a 63.. wich puts him still a notch below these.. and on the Aqd Main track in April O2 , in the MUD.. he won an open 20K Clm'r that included LUFT and Carpe Diem.. and he earned a 72 for that effort... Gonna take a Low 80 to take this probably so, he still needs to step it up. With the blinks , any mud,, and the inside post He could get 3rd.. but nothing better.
#3 Buckmont.. Argentina to Florida.. to Delaware.. to Maryland ,, to New york in 11 months. Is this someone's pet, that they take on vacation with them? Would shock the world.
#4 Gunning.. this is a potential opportunity to catch a good horse at a very nice price.... everything has been going against him and he looks a bit unplayable. 0 for 6 at the distance... On paper it looks like bad outings in last 3 or 4..... But I'm going to play this horse Because,,, he has a sound record at 1 1/16th and a mile 70... he's faced MUCH MUCH better than this field... Pure Harmony.. Northwest hill freaked,,, Gail's Drive (thurs. finale ROMP winner by 6 in a 30K Clmr)
Loves the inner... Beyers fit,,,,,,,, Musical Barns.. weak trainer.. weak Jockey.. all lead to a BIG price for good horse that I give a very serious chance of taking it all and almost certainly getting on the ticket. at somewhere north of 12-1 .
#5 Taraf... when he won a Race by 13 1/2 lengths at Saratoga On my Birthday while I was trackside watching him run. I thought he would take over NY went he went south,, Put him on my horse watch and bet him good for his next 3 or 4 outings. And he did nothing... and has done nothing.. except a win against one of the weaker fields of the meet on Dec 29th. Three reasons you have to consider this horse are his Record on the inner.. His taste for the wet.. and the race he ran against Puzzlement at Gulfstream 12 months ago. If he can find that effort.. he will be a huge factor... I don't expect it though. And let me warn you.. that win at 18K was against Nobody... Got a ground saving trip in a race that completley fell apart and he snuck up and snatched it. He'll be coming a lil bit late.
#6 Zachorov. A great horse players Horse. Gives you a solid effort every outing. His 10 wins are more than the 1 ,2 3 and 4 combined! But he is 9 and appears to be feeling it.. his 2nd best effort will beat these...Only horse with a 100+ beyer on his resume. I would be encouraged by his effort behind Mr. Baskets two back... but after watching Baskets run latley.. I have to say that effort drops a notch... so know I have a horse that is 9 , that has failed by big margins at CHALK FAVORITE status in 2 of last 3... and continues dropping... Wet track makes him the one to beat... but he is beatable...
#7 Tysun... Nothing to like for me expcept his 95 beyer and the impressive win in the mud. Also,, Jockey and trainer having career meet. Might get the lead.. and in a weak short field Could hold third.
Selections 4-6-5........ expecting big effort from the 4
Race 2
I expect to see a couple of these turfing in the spring...
#1 Appealing Jewel... debuted on dirt with a 63 facing lesser in FLA. Went right to turf and did'nt do to much. Has shown some very good early speed in next two dirt outings. Heavy Turf Pedigree on Both sides....Both Sire and Damn were Black types on Grass....Beyers on dirt make him a contender and probable pace setter. Wet track makes him the FAV probably
#2 Follow Betsy... Firster.. using. From Cozzene.. who's runners always run well at first asking. Steady , strong works.. Debuts Lasix. Bridhmohan up. Sire is 15%... Dam has five others.. all five have won.
#3 Hanah Senesch.... Would shock.
#4 Stealthy Cat... 6yo maiden... has nothing .. 0-9 at this level. I remeber when Ravish me was coupled with Lady Liberty At Sartoga and they debuted at .60 cents... and everyone said Ravish me was Monster.. Bailey was on her that day.. Ravish me is a Fraud. Would need one of the promising firsters to disappoint to have a chance.
#5 Silent Alarm. Another firster... using. Lukas horse.. leading Rider..... Couple of nice bullets.. steady work pattern. Sire and Damn produce winners... Owner had 4 horses win at first asking 2002. All 4 were with Lukas. who's not known for firsters.
#6 Reign on me $1.20... $1.80... $2.20 in last three.. with nothing.. ouch.. ouch and triple ouch. It's a short field.. but he could still be suckered into a speed duel .. and if that happens he's shown stamina issues. Still... The one to beat.
Using 5-2-6
I have no Morning lines and thats perfect.
I'm capping to a moist.. Not only because it's gonna rain all day Tuesday.. but it will be near 50 and I expect them to do alot of work to the track that was put off from 30 days of sub-zero temps. So even if it comes up dry.. I expect it be Harrowed thoroughly and what has'nt been dug up, will certainly be on WED.
1. Classical Drive.. (probable 2nd or 3rd Fav) ITM 3 for 4 at the distance . Performances over the inner.. strictly routing.. have been the worst races of his life however ,, with a couple of low 50 performances. I'm capping to a moist track and although he shows 2-4 ITM on an off.. I went through and they're against weaker. I'm almost certainly tossing on a wet.. and I'm barely convinced on a dry either. His efforts against open company at any level have been dull...at 8-1 or better,, on fast track.. with a couple of scratches I could be coerced into using underneath. But more than liklely I'm not using at all.
#2 Mickey the Groom.. probable longshot... Very weak in beyer comparisons,,, o for 6 on the inner (1 show placing) . If your looking for angle.. it's first Blinks.. and if your looking for a reason.. he was only ONE length behind Classical drive (#1) in the 11-29-02 affair. Nothing in his trainer stats... Lifetime stats or inner stats... give me any reason to think he'll be any kind of a fator in here. EXCEPT... he's raced with Blinkers twice.. earned a 76 and a 63.. wich puts him still a notch below these.. and on the Aqd Main track in April O2 , in the MUD.. he won an open 20K Clm'r that included LUFT and Carpe Diem.. and he earned a 72 for that effort... Gonna take a Low 80 to take this probably so, he still needs to step it up. With the blinks , any mud,, and the inside post He could get 3rd.. but nothing better.
#3 Buckmont.. Argentina to Florida.. to Delaware.. to Maryland ,, to New york in 11 months. Is this someone's pet, that they take on vacation with them? Would shock the world.
#4 Gunning.. this is a potential opportunity to catch a good horse at a very nice price.... everything has been going against him and he looks a bit unplayable. 0 for 6 at the distance... On paper it looks like bad outings in last 3 or 4..... But I'm going to play this horse Because,,, he has a sound record at 1 1/16th and a mile 70... he's faced MUCH MUCH better than this field... Pure Harmony.. Northwest hill freaked,,, Gail's Drive (thurs. finale ROMP winner by 6 in a 30K Clmr)
Loves the inner... Beyers fit,,,,,,,, Musical Barns.. weak trainer.. weak Jockey.. all lead to a BIG price for good horse that I give a very serious chance of taking it all and almost certainly getting on the ticket. at somewhere north of 12-1 .
#5 Taraf... when he won a Race by 13 1/2 lengths at Saratoga On my Birthday while I was trackside watching him run. I thought he would take over NY went he went south,, Put him on my horse watch and bet him good for his next 3 or 4 outings. And he did nothing... and has done nothing.. except a win against one of the weaker fields of the meet on Dec 29th. Three reasons you have to consider this horse are his Record on the inner.. His taste for the wet.. and the race he ran against Puzzlement at Gulfstream 12 months ago. If he can find that effort.. he will be a huge factor... I don't expect it though. And let me warn you.. that win at 18K was against Nobody... Got a ground saving trip in a race that completley fell apart and he snuck up and snatched it. He'll be coming a lil bit late.
#6 Zachorov. A great horse players Horse. Gives you a solid effort every outing. His 10 wins are more than the 1 ,2 3 and 4 combined! But he is 9 and appears to be feeling it.. his 2nd best effort will beat these...Only horse with a 100+ beyer on his resume. I would be encouraged by his effort behind Mr. Baskets two back... but after watching Baskets run latley.. I have to say that effort drops a notch... so know I have a horse that is 9 , that has failed by big margins at CHALK FAVORITE status in 2 of last 3... and continues dropping... Wet track makes him the one to beat... but he is beatable...
#7 Tysun... Nothing to like for me expcept his 95 beyer and the impressive win in the mud. Also,, Jockey and trainer having career meet. Might get the lead.. and in a weak short field Could hold third.
Selections 4-6-5........ expecting big effort from the 4
Race 2
I expect to see a couple of these turfing in the spring...
#1 Appealing Jewel... debuted on dirt with a 63 facing lesser in FLA. Went right to turf and did'nt do to much. Has shown some very good early speed in next two dirt outings. Heavy Turf Pedigree on Both sides....Both Sire and Damn were Black types on Grass....Beyers on dirt make him a contender and probable pace setter. Wet track makes him the FAV probably
#2 Follow Betsy... Firster.. using. From Cozzene.. who's runners always run well at first asking. Steady , strong works.. Debuts Lasix. Bridhmohan up. Sire is 15%... Dam has five others.. all five have won.
#3 Hanah Senesch.... Would shock.
#4 Stealthy Cat... 6yo maiden... has nothing .. 0-9 at this level. I remeber when Ravish me was coupled with Lady Liberty At Sartoga and they debuted at .60 cents... and everyone said Ravish me was Monster.. Bailey was on her that day.. Ravish me is a Fraud. Would need one of the promising firsters to disappoint to have a chance.
#5 Silent Alarm. Another firster... using. Lukas horse.. leading Rider..... Couple of nice bullets.. steady work pattern. Sire and Damn produce winners... Owner had 4 horses win at first asking 2002. All 4 were with Lukas. who's not known for firsters.
#6 Reign on me $1.20... $1.80... $2.20 in last three.. with nothing.. ouch.. ouch and triple ouch. It's a short field.. but he could still be suckered into a speed duel .. and if that happens he's shown stamina issues. Still... The one to beat.
Using 5-2-6