Rob_in_MN
02-21-2008, 12:59 PM
Trying something new with this post for TuP with the advice of PA so I hope my html skills bring out the formatting ok. Italicized are non-contenders in my book. All my free plays for Friday are listed at http://thetrackadvantage.com/weeklyplays.aspx if this does not format correctly.
TuP best value on the card appears to be the #8 horse in Race 4.
Form may be darkened by the troubled trip last out, and definitely
appears to be a contender.
Track TURF PARADISE MOC 30K 4 YO & UP Race # 1
4 Very consistent in last 3 and gets Collins up, a jock upgrade from Estrada has faced winners in last 2
6 Use again the drills are there and connections are 7 for 9 on the board 9-1-3-3
5 Has the best 5f gate drill of this group. Will certainly be a price here
7 40K firster out of Monarchos. Trainer and jock decent. Works a bit slower than the 4 or 6
3 Could fire here. 47k and 2nd time out. Will be bet. Didn’t like on top.
1 Connections yet to score this meet. 9-0-2-1 and 1 for 18 this year…
2 Don't like the layoff or the last out. Want to see somethine definitive in a workout. I'll pass here
Going against the chalk here and exb 4,6,7 / tri and super wheels 4,6 w 4,5,6,7 w 3,4,5,6,7
Track TURF PARADISE CLM 8K (4 1/2F TURF) Race # 2
4 2 10th's of a second off the track record for 4 1/2f on the grass last out… Wolochuk and Dieguez
3 Very consistent runner fits here. Run off last 2 layoff's for 1st or 2nd place finish. Faces real drop here
10 Use if in. Has won both starts this year at TuP on dirt sprinting and goes for S. Gann/Bainum
8 The big shocker of the field and could be a price . Check out last 2 @ distance. Final times 50.4 and 50.1
6 Consistent in last 3 on the grass. Must consider here but under only 19-1-1-5 connections angle…
7 Finally beat 6.25k now steps up. No inside post here… don't think top 2…
2 Sneaky play at a great price first start for Evans/Martinez. Check out the 4f drumming in Oct. @ GLD…
1 Pass
5 Pass
9 Pass
11 Pass
12 Pass
Track TURF PARADISE Starter ALW 3,000s Race # 3
1 Scored right off the shelf last out in a wire job. 7 for 29 lifetime. Good router
1A Pretty sharp recent efforts and fits this level well.
2 Recent efforts pretty sharp. Likes the mile distance. On the board in 7 of last 10
4 Repeat of last 2 puts here right in the mix. 28% connections. A closer fits well here with the hot pace
6 Sprinter has run some really nice recent races. My hesitation (as with the #8) is the winless @ distance…
8 On his best effort may win this but that was Ferguson's first win this meet and vs. lesser… Probable under 3rd/4th
5 Looks way too cheap here. Beat restricted 3k level last out. Didn't like here
3 0-22 sprint to route angle and beaten pretty handily even sprinting by the #6 in last few
7 showed some ability last year w/Higuera up but last 2 not competitive vs. 3.2k level
Most consistent in last 3 are the #2 and the #6. #6 does not have a distance win from 6 starts but has the best recent form:
2 w 1,4,6 w 1,4,6,8/ combo's of 1,2,4,6 in top 3 spots.
Track TURF PARADISE FILLY CLM 3.5K N2L Race # 4
2 should be up on the pace and last 2 final times going 6 1/2 and 6f are best for this group + Chambers.
8 Troubled trip last out should mean a better price - final times in 2 prior are right there.
5 Nice bomb here hasn't done much wrong for this level and runs decent races. 8-0-1-2 @ TuP however, not on top
6 Raced wide last out and almost got up at 60-1. don't get screwed by Williams again this week. Could improve.
3 Had good posts in last 2 and gets a lousy jock here. Lukewarm for 3rd here. Not any better
4 Will play based on connections but 5,6,8 do look better on paper here.
9 Connections 5-0-0-0 and couldn't beat statebreds last out posting a 1:21 final time.
7 Don't see much here and not at this distance.
1 have to pass based on last 2 very poor efforts
2,8 w 2,4,5,6,8 w 2,3,4,5,6,8 Wheel 2,8 exb and try singling 2 w 4,5,6,8 w 4,5,6,8 w 3,4,5,6,8
Track TURF PARADISE FILLY CLM 20k Race # 5
This looks pretty obvious with a 3,5,6,8 here combo -
backed up by the rankings for contenders
I don't think that the #3 is a lock but that was a nicely timed ride by Martinez last out.
Beware of Landeros on the #5 here and strange that Stevens gets off this mount for the #4 here
May want to cover the #4 in 1 ticket…
Track TURF PARADISE MD 5K 4YO & UP Race # 6
1 Note the new trainer and the fact that speedy gets the rail again with connections 9 for 16 on the board. Should get the lead here unless the #8 gets there first
8 Drop should certainly help but concerned this one doesn't have much speed. Managed 4th by 13 last out. Expect better
2 Beaten by 5 1/2 lengths in last 3. Better post may help case here today from the inside. *
6 connections 2 for 2 and hard to imagine Chambers claiming this one without purpose. *
5 Certainly fits and 4 for 8 on the board lifetime but has failed as fav. In last 2…
4 Need to be careful of the fact that as lousy as this trainer is the connections are 7-0-4-2 this meet together. Under
Race comes up very tough with 6 contenders but 1 think the value will be with the #5 being overbet
3 Getting Martinez @ 12-1 but this one needs some help. Good trainer. Lukewarm might use….???
9 Connections 5-0-0-0 and didn't like this one from the outside.
10 Kato 0-48 and 0-13 with this trainer and gets the outside here. Trainer 0-29
7 Complete Pass 16-0-0-0 lifetime
Track TURF PARADISE FILLY CLM 3.5K N3L Race # 7
Contenders 3-4-5-7-9-1 Wheel the obvious 4 w 3,5,7 w 1,3,5,7,9
4 Wow will be surprised if this one doesn't show better than last out. Probably best mount of the day for Landeros. Significantly outclasses this field except for perhaps the #3
3 4 for 4 on the board @ TuP and 5 for 5 itm @ 6f distance. Connections 10-1-3-3 this meet. Concern is 0-15 1st off claim.... Definitely looks like a contender especially after the drop last out.
5 Opted for off the pace last out which proved beneficial from an outside post. Very hard to judge went off at 83-1 two back and then goes off as the fav. after dropping last out and switching to Von Rosen? Use under here but note how Burton wheels this filly right back and wants to catch that form while it's live.
7 Competitive and fits under here. All speed...
1 Took a fairly long time to get that 2nd win but with better barn for last 2. Does have the advantage of the rail again. Best effort going 6f would have to be improved by about a full second, again though rail should help case
9 not with Von Rosen up on top but has tried this level twice now and may fit for 4th here. I like Rog hansen up in N. Cal. And his brother gets this one for 3rd start back. 4th here *
10 Caught the rail last out and now goes 10 wide and will need to clear. Don't like chances.
8 Never surprised with Rivera this meet but cant see winning back to back off last
6 Showed some life this summer but did not take to the tapeta at GG. Prefer this one to have a start at TuP.
because the form is uncertain.
2 Can't see doing here. About a full second slower than par for this group going 6f
Track TURF PARADISE TURF PARADISE Race # 8
Trainer T Turf
6 and 12 are extremely obvious singles here but the 9 - 12 spots are AE's.
Another wheel key might be a simple 6 w 1 w 2,3,5 w/out the AE's
If the AE's are not in then going to single #6 w/ 1,2,3,5
4 (-) Despite the back class don't care for the #4 horse w/Justin Treasure training.
Track TURF PARADISE FILLY CLM 3K - Nonwinners since Oct. 4th 07 Race # 9
#5 fits closest to last win closest to 10/04/07, winning on 9/12/07… BUT can't recommend this filly. Last 4 efforts @ 6 1/2 all 4th place finishes
and trainer Champan winless this meet with a very small barn of starters…
8 1st or 2nd in last 4 sprint efforts looks very consistent in last 90 days
10 sharp horse and a nice runner. Connections clipping @ 27%. Certainly no lock
1A Dropper might be better than expected here.
2 Benefit is the rail and may show more speed here w/Martinez up. 30% trainer angle
6 Doesn't like to win much but I see the angle stretching out to 6 1/2 here might
help this one from off the pace.
3 10 for 16 @ TuP and 2 for 4 winners @ today's distance. Eligible with 3 wins lifetime
Probable underneath here. Can't see on top w/recent efforts vs. same company
4 Consider here @ a price underneath. Nice drill last out. 3rd/4th Connections 0-11 this meet.
5 Best of the lousiest with a decent jock up. Still not vs. Restricted this time out
7 Won @ 133-1 last out for trainers first win from 27 starters. Pass
11 Can't use based on last 3. Post doesn't help
9 Winless since May 2006. 4 for 64 lifetime, can't recommend
1 Pulled up vanned off. Pass
TuP best value on the card appears to be the #8 horse in Race 4.
Form may be darkened by the troubled trip last out, and definitely
appears to be a contender.
Track TURF PARADISE MOC 30K 4 YO & UP Race # 1
4 Very consistent in last 3 and gets Collins up, a jock upgrade from Estrada has faced winners in last 2
6 Use again the drills are there and connections are 7 for 9 on the board 9-1-3-3
5 Has the best 5f gate drill of this group. Will certainly be a price here
7 40K firster out of Monarchos. Trainer and jock decent. Works a bit slower than the 4 or 6
3 Could fire here. 47k and 2nd time out. Will be bet. Didn’t like on top.
1 Connections yet to score this meet. 9-0-2-1 and 1 for 18 this year…
2 Don't like the layoff or the last out. Want to see somethine definitive in a workout. I'll pass here
Going against the chalk here and exb 4,6,7 / tri and super wheels 4,6 w 4,5,6,7 w 3,4,5,6,7
Track TURF PARADISE CLM 8K (4 1/2F TURF) Race # 2
4 2 10th's of a second off the track record for 4 1/2f on the grass last out… Wolochuk and Dieguez
3 Very consistent runner fits here. Run off last 2 layoff's for 1st or 2nd place finish. Faces real drop here
10 Use if in. Has won both starts this year at TuP on dirt sprinting and goes for S. Gann/Bainum
8 The big shocker of the field and could be a price . Check out last 2 @ distance. Final times 50.4 and 50.1
6 Consistent in last 3 on the grass. Must consider here but under only 19-1-1-5 connections angle…
7 Finally beat 6.25k now steps up. No inside post here… don't think top 2…
2 Sneaky play at a great price first start for Evans/Martinez. Check out the 4f drumming in Oct. @ GLD…
1 Pass
5 Pass
9 Pass
11 Pass
12 Pass
Track TURF PARADISE Starter ALW 3,000s Race # 3
1 Scored right off the shelf last out in a wire job. 7 for 29 lifetime. Good router
1A Pretty sharp recent efforts and fits this level well.
2 Recent efforts pretty sharp. Likes the mile distance. On the board in 7 of last 10
4 Repeat of last 2 puts here right in the mix. 28% connections. A closer fits well here with the hot pace
6 Sprinter has run some really nice recent races. My hesitation (as with the #8) is the winless @ distance…
8 On his best effort may win this but that was Ferguson's first win this meet and vs. lesser… Probable under 3rd/4th
5 Looks way too cheap here. Beat restricted 3k level last out. Didn't like here
3 0-22 sprint to route angle and beaten pretty handily even sprinting by the #6 in last few
7 showed some ability last year w/Higuera up but last 2 not competitive vs. 3.2k level
Most consistent in last 3 are the #2 and the #6. #6 does not have a distance win from 6 starts but has the best recent form:
2 w 1,4,6 w 1,4,6,8/ combo's of 1,2,4,6 in top 3 spots.
Track TURF PARADISE FILLY CLM 3.5K N2L Race # 4
2 should be up on the pace and last 2 final times going 6 1/2 and 6f are best for this group + Chambers.
8 Troubled trip last out should mean a better price - final times in 2 prior are right there.
5 Nice bomb here hasn't done much wrong for this level and runs decent races. 8-0-1-2 @ TuP however, not on top
6 Raced wide last out and almost got up at 60-1. don't get screwed by Williams again this week. Could improve.
3 Had good posts in last 2 and gets a lousy jock here. Lukewarm for 3rd here. Not any better
4 Will play based on connections but 5,6,8 do look better on paper here.
9 Connections 5-0-0-0 and couldn't beat statebreds last out posting a 1:21 final time.
7 Don't see much here and not at this distance.
1 have to pass based on last 2 very poor efforts
2,8 w 2,4,5,6,8 w 2,3,4,5,6,8 Wheel 2,8 exb and try singling 2 w 4,5,6,8 w 4,5,6,8 w 3,4,5,6,8
Track TURF PARADISE FILLY CLM 20k Race # 5
This looks pretty obvious with a 3,5,6,8 here combo -
backed up by the rankings for contenders
I don't think that the #3 is a lock but that was a nicely timed ride by Martinez last out.
Beware of Landeros on the #5 here and strange that Stevens gets off this mount for the #4 here
May want to cover the #4 in 1 ticket…
Track TURF PARADISE MD 5K 4YO & UP Race # 6
1 Note the new trainer and the fact that speedy gets the rail again with connections 9 for 16 on the board. Should get the lead here unless the #8 gets there first
8 Drop should certainly help but concerned this one doesn't have much speed. Managed 4th by 13 last out. Expect better
2 Beaten by 5 1/2 lengths in last 3. Better post may help case here today from the inside. *
6 connections 2 for 2 and hard to imagine Chambers claiming this one without purpose. *
5 Certainly fits and 4 for 8 on the board lifetime but has failed as fav. In last 2…
4 Need to be careful of the fact that as lousy as this trainer is the connections are 7-0-4-2 this meet together. Under
Race comes up very tough with 6 contenders but 1 think the value will be with the #5 being overbet
3 Getting Martinez @ 12-1 but this one needs some help. Good trainer. Lukewarm might use….???
9 Connections 5-0-0-0 and didn't like this one from the outside.
10 Kato 0-48 and 0-13 with this trainer and gets the outside here. Trainer 0-29
7 Complete Pass 16-0-0-0 lifetime
Track TURF PARADISE FILLY CLM 3.5K N3L Race # 7
Contenders 3-4-5-7-9-1 Wheel the obvious 4 w 3,5,7 w 1,3,5,7,9
4 Wow will be surprised if this one doesn't show better than last out. Probably best mount of the day for Landeros. Significantly outclasses this field except for perhaps the #3
3 4 for 4 on the board @ TuP and 5 for 5 itm @ 6f distance. Connections 10-1-3-3 this meet. Concern is 0-15 1st off claim.... Definitely looks like a contender especially after the drop last out.
5 Opted for off the pace last out which proved beneficial from an outside post. Very hard to judge went off at 83-1 two back and then goes off as the fav. after dropping last out and switching to Von Rosen? Use under here but note how Burton wheels this filly right back and wants to catch that form while it's live.
7 Competitive and fits under here. All speed...
1 Took a fairly long time to get that 2nd win but with better barn for last 2. Does have the advantage of the rail again. Best effort going 6f would have to be improved by about a full second, again though rail should help case
9 not with Von Rosen up on top but has tried this level twice now and may fit for 4th here. I like Rog hansen up in N. Cal. And his brother gets this one for 3rd start back. 4th here *
10 Caught the rail last out and now goes 10 wide and will need to clear. Don't like chances.
8 Never surprised with Rivera this meet but cant see winning back to back off last
6 Showed some life this summer but did not take to the tapeta at GG. Prefer this one to have a start at TuP.
because the form is uncertain.
2 Can't see doing here. About a full second slower than par for this group going 6f
Track TURF PARADISE TURF PARADISE Race # 8
Trainer T Turf
6 and 12 are extremely obvious singles here but the 9 - 12 spots are AE's.
Another wheel key might be a simple 6 w 1 w 2,3,5 w/out the AE's
If the AE's are not in then going to single #6 w/ 1,2,3,5
4 (-) Despite the back class don't care for the #4 horse w/Justin Treasure training.
Track TURF PARADISE FILLY CLM 3K - Nonwinners since Oct. 4th 07 Race # 9
#5 fits closest to last win closest to 10/04/07, winning on 9/12/07… BUT can't recommend this filly. Last 4 efforts @ 6 1/2 all 4th place finishes
and trainer Champan winless this meet with a very small barn of starters…
8 1st or 2nd in last 4 sprint efforts looks very consistent in last 90 days
10 sharp horse and a nice runner. Connections clipping @ 27%. Certainly no lock
1A Dropper might be better than expected here.
2 Benefit is the rail and may show more speed here w/Martinez up. 30% trainer angle
6 Doesn't like to win much but I see the angle stretching out to 6 1/2 here might
help this one from off the pace.
3 10 for 16 @ TuP and 2 for 4 winners @ today's distance. Eligible with 3 wins lifetime
Probable underneath here. Can't see on top w/recent efforts vs. same company
4 Consider here @ a price underneath. Nice drill last out. 3rd/4th Connections 0-11 this meet.
5 Best of the lousiest with a decent jock up. Still not vs. Restricted this time out
7 Won @ 133-1 last out for trainers first win from 27 starters. Pass
11 Can't use based on last 3. Post doesn't help
9 Winless since May 2006. 4 for 64 lifetime, can't recommend
1 Pulled up vanned off. Pass