70% Winning Live Toteboard Spot Plays For Thur 1-31-08

[Anderon]

These selctions are derived from the live toteboard action that I monitor and will win on the average 70% of the time and return 25%-30% winning ROI. These selections however are mostly chalky. The recommended way to wager on these selections is to Win Only !! I personally flat wager the same amount on all the selections. These selections will generally win with ease.

There will be at times a long wait for a selection to become a qualified play and be posted, (sometimes an hour or two) so patience is a big part of this highly selective play.



Let's Get Profitable !! :ThmbUp:

[TexasDolly]

Good Morning and Good Luck.
TD

[Anderon]

Hi TD....Remember It's never luck it's always skill !! :D

[TexasDolly]

Good Skill then my friend.
TD

[wegoosewe]

any plays for aqueduct;)

[Anderon]

any plays for aqueduct;)

Not as of yet Wegoose, I never have any predetermined handicapping of selections only live selections that I post at about 6-4 mtp. I do all the tracks so stay tuned. :)

[wegoosewe]

i will man. your plays are impressive. keep up the hard work.

[Anderon]

Thanks so much Wegoose, Will do !! :ThmbUp:

[Anderon]

Gulfstream 4th....#1 at 1/5....5 mtp

[Anderon]

Gulfstream 4th....#1 at 1/5....5 mtp

Ran 3rd....$2.10

[Anderon]

FG 4th....#3 at 4/5....6 mtp

[Anderon]

FG 4th....#3 at 4/5....6 mtp

Ran 4th

[Anderon]

Gulfstream 5th....#3 at 2-1....5 mtp


* Make sure he goes off at 5/2 or better or it's a no wager !!

[ryesteve]

Ran 4th

Wow... did you see the show prices? How come no one posted a bridgejumper alert??

[rcknhrse]

anderon! how late do you wait to make your bet.most adw post times dont show the true post time .usually 1 to 2 minutes are still left when the awd says 0 min

[Anderon]

Aqueduct 7th....#1 at 4/5....6 mtp

[Anderon]

Gulfstream 5th....#3 at 2-1....5 mtp


* Make sure he goes off at 5/2 or better or it's a no wager !!

Ran 2nd....$4.60....$3.60

[ljb]

Bridgjumper alert at Aqu R7

[Anderon]

anderon! how late do you wait to make your bet.most adw post times dont show the true post time .usually 1 to 2 minutes are still left when the awd says 0 min

I place my wager as they are walking to the gate !!

[rcknhrse]

looked like you had a nice one there anderon.

i dont understand the 21.15 opening 1/4
no need for that.

[Anderon]

Aqueduct 7th....#1 at 4/5....6 mtp

Winner....$3.30....$2.80....$2.10

[rcknhrse]

dammit i was so busy fooling around with the gulfstream replay i missed the ost on the #1 at aqu

[ljb]

appears to be another bridgejumper developing at aqu r8

[imanatm]

Two of the first losers were not in the top 2 power rankings...again..

[TexasDolly]

Hi Iman,Where do we get the power ratings you've been referring to ?
Thank you,
Td

[Greyfox]

If a horse is going off at 1/5 on the tote board, why would I need you to point it out as a selection?

[ljb]

If a horse is going off at 1/5 on the tote board, why would I need you to point it out as a selection?
You don't ! Go to another thread.

[Anderon]

If a horse is going off at 1/5 on the tote board, why would I need you to point it out as a selection?

Regardless of the odds if it's selection that qualifies I post it, every little bit helps.

[pic6vic]

If a horse is going off at 1/5 on the tote board, why would I need you to point it out as a selection?

You have to know what his objective is. He has a qualifying criteria, you must read hisother posts to understand what he trying to accomplish. If you are looking for prices this is no the thread. That said he does have something good. If he can play with rebates, then he has a money maker

[Anderon]

I do get the rebates so your right on Pic6 !! I'm just trying to a least break even every day or make a profit no matter what the amount is because I'm pushing alot of money thru the windows everyday so the rebates are icing on the cake !! :ThmbUp:

[Greyfox]

I do get the rebates so your right on Pic6 !! I'm just trying to a least break even every day or make a profit no matter what the amount is because I'm pushing alot of money thru the windows everyday so the rebates are icing on the cake !! :ThmbUp:

Good luck. :ThmbUp:

[Anderon]

GG 5th....#8 at 3/5....6 mtp

[Anderon]

GG 5th....#8 at 3/5....6 mtp

Ran 2nd....$2.60....$2.20

[imanatm]

here comes the critics..lol...

[imanatm]

In a race like that how could the other gamblers know what they were facing, Im assuming this is based on heavy gambling on one horse they have ready or have juiced..they caught a descent baby firster..

[Anderon]

Quick Update



5 - Plays


1 - Wins.......20.0%

2 - Place......60.0%

1 - Show......80.0%


4 / 5 ITM


Profits Per $2.00 to Win .......-$6.70 :mad:

[Anderon]

Good luck. :ThmbUp:

Thanks Greyfox !! :)

[Anderon]

SA 6th....#1 at 5/2....6 mtp


* Make sure he goes off at 5/2 or less or it's a no wager !!

[Anderon]

SA 6th....#1 at 5/2....6 mtp


* Make sure he goes off at 5/2 or less or it's a no wager !!

Ran 2nd....$3.20....$2.60

[rcknhrse]

that was a tough loss .

did not look like #1 got the best of the start.

than looked locked in at the rail.

got clear and closed fast.

[imanatm]

I had that one as a pass on my power ratings..way down the list.. but thats just my crunching in my dbase ..I specialize in chalk too but not as good as you.. barely make a dollar and a nickel..

[rcknhrse]

i will have more $ this weekend and will be tempted to hook your top horse with exactas.

at 60% or better to place might be worthwhile

[Anderon]

These close 2nds are killing me today....not good...but not worried either, still can make it managable before the end of the night.

[imanatm]

Do you guys like the 7 in the 3rd at ct..looks unstoppable to hit the board unless he breaks down....

[Anderon]

I don't have him qualified......the 4 would bother me but it should be between the 4-7 for what I see.

[whobet]

Do you guys like the 7 in the 3rd at ct..looks unstoppable to hit the board unless he breaks down....

That's the only bet I got tonight:

A Whobet live bet: Results(Quick (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/quick/CT013108USA3-EQB.html),Chart (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/CT013108USA3.pdf))

CT Race03
#7 WARRIOR'S METTLE M/L=5-2

Jockey: WHITACRE BRANDON(15%)
Trainer: BEATTIE STEPHANIE S(33%)
Conditions: CLAIMING
Distance: SIX AND ONE HALF FURLONGS(DIRT)
Purse: $9,000
CT Wx(AWS): 19:21 PM (30.51 - 52%)

BulletinBoard: You cannot CANCEL a bet at CT Race Track
Minimum Show Payoff=2.20, but needs 6 horses
FreeLiveVideo (http://horseracing.sportsline.com/cbs/liveracing/)

__________________________________________________ _______________________________


Check out all of Whobet's picks (http://mysite.verizon.net/whobet/)

[Anderon]

Good call guys on that #7 at CT !! :ThmbUp:

[imanatm]

I bet the tri 7 2 all.. of course the 4 runs second after not making the top...it had the top power number.....that show a flat bet profit

[whobet]

3rd race - Charles Town Races & Slots - January 31, 2008
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
7 Warrior's Mettle 3.80 2.20 2.20 Whobet Winner
4 Huckleberrypjones 2.60 2.40
2 Decent Exposure 5.80


$2 Daily Double 1-7 20.60
$2 Exacta 7-4 8.80
$2 Superfecta 7-4-2-9 410.00
$2 Trifecta 7-4-2 71.80

[whobet]

Anderon, do you pick FirstTime Starters

Posible bet at DED Race 10, #2 Cheese Dipper

[Anderon]

I don't know any of that stuff Who, I know I only wager when it qualifies on my program. I don't know what type race it is, the distance, the jockey, the trainer or the horses name I just go by my program and what it tells me thats playable and I play it. I like to keep it simple.

[whobet]

I don't know any of that stuff Who, I know I only wager when it qualifies on my program. I don't know what type race it is, the distance, the jockey, the trainer or the horses name I just go by my program and what it tells me thats playable and I play it. I like to keep it simple.

LOL. you sound like TINMAN,

at least she knows about shippers, LOL

Well, watch Race 10 at DED,

I won't bet a FTS

[whobet]

here is a posible bet, based on Will Pays DD, not a WHOBET bet

A Whobet live bet: Results(Quick (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/quick/CT013108USA5-EQB.html),Chart (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/CT013108USA5.pdf))

CT Race05
#10 CASE OF REALITY M/L=3-1

Jockey: LARROSA GUSTAVO(11%)
Trainer: COONEY SUSAN S(7%)
Conditions: CLAIMING
Distance: FOUR AND ONE HALF FURLONGS(DIRT)
Purse: $9,000
CT Wx(YAHO): 19:53 PM (30.50 - 45%)

BulletinBoard: You cannot CANCEL a bet at CT Race Track
Minimum Show Payoff=2.20, but needs 6 horses
FreeLiveVideo (http://horseracing.sportsline.com/cbs/liveracing/)

__________________________________________________ _______________________________


[B][URL=http://mysite.verizon.net/whobet/]Check out all of Whobet's p

[rcknhrse]

DID ANYBODY SEE THIS ON THE DELTA SCREEN

[porkchop]

COPPER IS A LITTLE MORE EXPENSIVE BUT LASTS LONGER

[rcknhrse]

#9 MIGHT BE THE HORSE AT DELTA

#9 IS THE LOW EX UNDER BOTH THE 8 AND THE 2

[sally]

nice call rock!

[APguy]

Nice call!!!


nothing like a $2 ex box (2,8,9) and doub'n my money

Keep em comming!!!

[rcknhrse]

I wonder if this is a pattern to look for

2nd ml horse who is the low exacta under the 2 early favorites plus 2 other horses in a 9 horse field.(9 was low ex under the 7 and the 3

[imanatm]

How are they going to run the 8 off the board here.. stalk and pounce.. the chalk looked sick in the post parade..

[ljb]

Anderon,
I am still being patient. :)

[whobet]

#9 MIGHT BE THE HORSE AT DELTA

#9 IS THE LOW EX UNDER BOTH THE 8 AND THE 2

Good pick ROCK

[imanatm]

I only need to do that 5 of 6 times for a 107 roi...at ctn... sounds easy....

[imanatm]

I see people doing the toteboard thing alot...Is thier anything to it.. I see lots of books on it but would rather have anderon tell me whats up....

[APguy]

that 10 hurt...hope someone had that one......

[Anderon]

Anderon,
I am still being patient. :)

Me to LJB...always remember this is a marathon not a race !! :ThmbUp:

[Anderon]

CT 8th....#1 at 1/1.....6 mtp

[whobet]

CT 8th....#1 at 1/1.....6 mtp
A Whobet live bet: Results(Quick (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/quick/CT013108USA8-EQB.html),Chart (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/CT013108USA8.pdf))

CT Race08
#1 UNCOIL M/L=8-5

Jockey: ACOSTA J D(20%)
Trainer: BEATTIE STEPHANIE S(33%)
Conditions: ALLOWANCE
Distance: FOUR AND ONE HALF FURLONGS(DIRT)
Purse: $31,000
CT Wx(YAHO): 21:53 PM (30.48 - 45%)

BulletinBoard: You cannot CANCEL a bet at CT Race Track
Minimum Show Payoff=2.20, but needs 6 horses
FreeLiveVideo (http://horseracing.sportsline.com/cbs/liveracing/)

__________________________________________________ _______________________________


Check out all of Whobet's picks (http://mysite.verizon.net/whobet/)

[ljb]

dang that was another lowest exa under the 1 and the 4 ?

[Anderon]

CT 8th....#1 at 1/1.....6 mtp

Ran 2nd....$2.80....$2.20

[Anderon]

Kind of unbelievable how my selections keep getting out of the gate so poorly !! :mad:

[imanatm]

my power picks were 6-1-4

[whobet]

my power picks were 6-1-4

Iman

it would be nice if we had this info before they ran the race,

don't you think

[Jake]

No piling on here, this is a very tough game. But this is the "5-10% variance" problem with your win rate I was trying to raise in an earlier threat. Your payoffs are very thin, so even a slight drop in average payoffs or in your hit rates can take your bankroll down very quickly. I wish I had a good solution for you. Good luck in any case.

Jake

[imanatm]

dont feel bad I bet the 4....

[Anderon]

Delta 9th....#3 at 9/5....5 mtp


* Make sure he goes off at 5/2 or less or it's a no wager !!

[Anderon]

Delta 9th....#3 at 9/5....5 mtp


* Make sure he goes off at 5/2 or less or it's a no wager !!

Ran 3rd....$2.60

[imanatm]

Good god son... this is a game that can humble you...they have killed your stats for the week.....

[imanatm]

I have the 4 in the last at dd but the 2 has the pedigree in a crap field ....

[Anderon]

It's only 1 day....tomorrow we can put a streak of 9 or 10 together and things will be fine...but today does suck that's for sure. :cool:

[Anderon]

No play here for me but I do like the #5 and #2 in Delta's 10th just in case anybody wants some idea on this race !!

[Anderon]

No play here for me but I do like the #5 and #2 in Delta's 10th just in case anybody wants some idea on this race !!

Winner on the #5....$37.00....$12.80....$8.60


Ran 3rd on #2....$2.80

[Anderon]

Todays Final Recap



8 - Plays


1 - Win.......12.5%

4 - Place......62.5%

2 - Show......87.5%


7 / 8 ITM


Profits Per $2.00 to Win .......-$12.70

Todays ROI............................-79.4%




Overall Posted Spot Play Selections Update !!


50 - Posted Selections


29 - Wins..........58.0%

37 - Place.........74.0%

43 - Show.........86.0%


Win Profits Per $2.00..........$8.30

ROI...................................8.3%





Until Next Time............Stay Profitable !! :ThmbUp:

[sligg]

I do get the rebates so your right on Pic6 !! I'm just trying to a least break even every day or make a profit no matter what the amount is because I'm pushing alot of money thru the windows everyday so the rebates are icing on the cake !! :ThmbUp:

Where do you get the rebates and what are they?

[Anderon]

Sorry Sligg, I have to keep private where I get them but I get 9% !!

[Zaf]

9 % nice Anderon !

Z

[formula_2002]

Have been away from the board a bit but I did notice your post yesterday.
Nice going.
But we all should be mindful of that one horse that runs in EVERY race and is unseen by most.. His name is REGRESSION TO THE MEAN.
To the expense of all other runners, his roi is about 1.18.

Prove me wrong (please :) )