JACKSON77
01-16-2008, 07:10 AM
I See your post on here alot and you frequently analyize plays. Would you mind looking at my distribution and tell me your thoughts on how these are winning..than Thats a great post, I have crunched my numbers on my 3 plays. I can post them going back in time to show how they have been mostly ahead for the last 6 months. One exception is one that has actually gotten killed lately that has been a huge winner for 2 years. Its hit rate dropped to 17% from an usual mid 20 %. This would maybe close to Dans jump in point.
I know this will be confusing but its 30 day segments going backwards to July. IN example the 139 plays would be all plays possible in last 6 months
spot 1 from July It has had 139 plays and had 24 in the last 30 days.
Plays wins roi win place show
139 48 1.34 1.01 1.04
110 39 1.28 110 1.06
85 28 1.03 95 98
47 20 1.28 1.03 1.00
24 11 1.42 .95 1.03
spot 2 roi
170 45 1.23 1.00 96
135 34 1.13 1.04 97
114 26 1.02 .98 .95
74 17 1.06 1.02 97
53 11 .98 1.00 92
35 6 .87 1.11 92
spot 3
plays wins roi
680 175 112 97 92
523 136 107 98 92
425 114 112 100 83
288 74 105 92 89
128 38 124 105 92
All my spots win consistantly except number 2 which held up well in place but lost someground on win end recently. I see this as strength because ith has returned 1.10 for the last 2 years. We all should be doing what Dan is doing to our spots that tank for 2 months, especially since the guys in istanbul hammer them when they are making 1.10 down to .87. Once they refigure thier numbers and jump off it will make the play go to 1.20 for a few months I bet.
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/images/statusicon/user_online.gif http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/images/buttons/green/quote.gif (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/newreply.php?do=newreply&p=472900) http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/images/buttons/green/reply_small.gif (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/newreply.php?do=newreply&p=472900&noquote=1)
JACKSON77View Public Profile (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/member.php?userid=6399)Send a private message to JACKSON77 (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/private.php?do=newpm&userid=6399)Find More Posts by JACKSON77 (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/search.php?do=finduser&userid=6399)Add JACKSON77 to Your Buddy List (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/profile.php?do=addlist&userlist=buddy&u=6399)
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/images/buttons/green/reply.gif (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/newreply.php?do=newreply&noquote=1&p=472900)Page 2 of 2< (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=43056&page=1&pp=15)1 (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=43056&page=1&pp=15)2
« Previous Thread (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=43056&goto=nextoldest) | Next Thread (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=43056&goto=nextnewest) » http://www.paceadvantage.com/Ads/adimage.php?filename=otb.gif&contenttype=gif (http://www.paceadvantage.com/Ads/adclick.php?bannerid=41&zoneid=4&source=&dest=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.woodsideassociates.com%2Fhkr .htm)
ks
I know this will be confusing but its 30 day segments going backwards to July. IN example the 139 plays would be all plays possible in last 6 months
spot 1 from July It has had 139 plays and had 24 in the last 30 days.
Plays wins roi win place show
139 48 1.34 1.01 1.04
110 39 1.28 110 1.06
85 28 1.03 95 98
47 20 1.28 1.03 1.00
24 11 1.42 .95 1.03
spot 2 roi
170 45 1.23 1.00 96
135 34 1.13 1.04 97
114 26 1.02 .98 .95
74 17 1.06 1.02 97
53 11 .98 1.00 92
35 6 .87 1.11 92
spot 3
plays wins roi
680 175 112 97 92
523 136 107 98 92
425 114 112 100 83
288 74 105 92 89
128 38 124 105 92
All my spots win consistantly except number 2 which held up well in place but lost someground on win end recently. I see this as strength because ith has returned 1.10 for the last 2 years. We all should be doing what Dan is doing to our spots that tank for 2 months, especially since the guys in istanbul hammer them when they are making 1.10 down to .87. Once they refigure thier numbers and jump off it will make the play go to 1.20 for a few months I bet.
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/images/statusicon/user_online.gif http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/images/buttons/green/quote.gif (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/newreply.php?do=newreply&p=472900) http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/images/buttons/green/reply_small.gif (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/newreply.php?do=newreply&p=472900&noquote=1)
JACKSON77View Public Profile (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/member.php?userid=6399)Send a private message to JACKSON77 (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/private.php?do=newpm&userid=6399)Find More Posts by JACKSON77 (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/search.php?do=finduser&userid=6399)Add JACKSON77 to Your Buddy List (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/profile.php?do=addlist&userlist=buddy&u=6399)
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/images/buttons/green/reply.gif (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/newreply.php?do=newreply&noquote=1&p=472900)Page 2 of 2< (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=43056&page=1&pp=15)1 (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=43056&page=1&pp=15)2
« Previous Thread (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=43056&goto=nextoldest) | Next Thread (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=43056&goto=nextnewest) » http://www.paceadvantage.com/Ads/adimage.php?filename=otb.gif&contenttype=gif (http://www.paceadvantage.com/Ads/adclick.php?bannerid=41&zoneid=4&source=&dest=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.woodsideassociates.com%2Fhkr .htm)
ks