Cashed despite stupidity

[nobeyerspls]

I cashed my biggest pick 3 ticket on Saturday despite constructing the ticket incorrectly. My key horse was Wise Cookie, the $26.20 winner of 6th race (see the Surface Handicapping Revisited thread for background). I ask forgiveness for redboarding but I'm posting this so others do not make the same mistake.

My ticket was 3x1x3 with the 30-1 winner of the 5th and the even money winner of the 7th. I got $4,180 for the nine dollar wager. The thing is, my payout would have been reduced to 2 of 3 if the three horse was a head faster in the last leg. The whole pool would have been $16,500 for a dollar.
I was confident about the first two legs so using all six in the last leg would have been only $18. Instead I got greedy and did a second ticket at 3x1x1 with a horse who ran 5th. Again, sorry for the redboard but I'd still be kicking myself if that three had won.

The lesson here is that the all button is OK.

[icebak]

the "all button" exploits the delicious impossibility of accurately predicting many races. WTG on the nice cash!

[point given]

No not a true redboard, a dollop of self criticism added, to change the red posting to a more purplish hue !

While i agree with your after the fact reflection ; it's more like, " i coulda had a v8 " type thing. only after you realized the obvious. However; when you made the bet, you limited your outlay to $9 , then + $3. It would seem you didnot have the same confidence going in, than after the last leg. An aquaintance makes the same type $9 1x3x3 p3 bets, usually singling a LS in the first leg. A bunch of $9 losses isn't goig to kill ya, dontcha know, but you, after the fact suggest extrapolating it to $18 3x1x6 on retrospection. So, i'd call it purple boarding. You announced your score, and a very nice one indeed, congratulations, and encouraged others to genuflect as well, on woulda, shoulda, coulda. :lol:

[nobeyerspls]

No not a true redboard, a dollop of self criticism added, to change the red posting to a more purplish hue !

While i agree with your after the fact reflection ; it's more like, " i coulda had a v8 " type thing. only after you realized the obvious. However; when you made the bet, you limited your outlay to $9 , then + $3. It would seem you didnot have the same confidence going in, than after the last leg. An aquaintance makes the same type $9 1x3x3 p3 bets, usually singling a LS in the first leg. A bunch of $9 losses isn't goig to kill ya, dontcha know, but you, after the fact suggest extrapolating it to $18 3x1x6 on retrospection. So, i'd call it purple boarding. You announced your score, and a very nice one indeed, congratulations, and encouraged others to genuflect as well, on woulda, shoulda, coulda. :lol:

The criticism from my buddies was different. They said that a 12-1 single in the middle leg calls for an all-1-all play for $36. I know my weaknesses and older males sprinting, such as that last leg, is one of them. Several years ago I missed a $6,300 pick four by not using the all button in the last leg, thus "saving" $5.
Using all is a denial of intellect and an admission that you don't know, thus diluting the ego. I have used it more recently with success and I should have used it in this instance.

[ddog]

The criticism from my buddies was different. They said that a 12-1 single in the middle leg calls for an all-1-all play for $36. I know my weaknesses and older males sprinting, such as that last leg, is one of them. Several years ago I missed a $6,300 pick four by not using the all button in the last leg, thus "saving" $5.
Using all is a denial of intellect and an admission that you don't know, thus diluting the ego. I have used it more recently with success and I should have used it in this instance.


congrats, but I have always strongly disagreed with the denail of intellect part of this.

Intellect as I would understand it in this game is to say , WOW, if I make it to this point on the ticket is it worth it not to miss RIGHT HERE?
If yes, then the ALL is the only rational play to make.
I don't care to claim "handicapping god" , just the money will do.

Same as diversification in any investing operation.

congrats again.