FORMULA'S ODDS LINE PERFORMANCE

[formula_2002]

Sample picks test results

5443 overlays 22% winners 7% flat bet profit 7% dutch profit ave odds, 5.19-1
3785 underlays 36% winners -14% flat bet loss -13% dutch loss ave odds, 1.64-1

Outside of sample pick results (year to date)

169 overlays 22% winners -4% flat bet loss -4% dutch loss ave odds, 4.96-1
124 underlays 24% winners’ -56% flat bet loss -42% ducth loss ave odds, 1.64-1

The overlays clearly out perform the underlays.
The expectation is that the year to date results will approximate the sample test results

[Rick]

formula,

Interesting, but I think you would do better if you tightened up your definition of an overlay to include no more than 50% of all races. Just my opinion based on my experience.

[formula_2002]

Rick, at this time I dont want to be too selective. Not enought data for that, yet...

I can cut the selection down by 60% and up the profit by 300%,
but that would cut the sample size down.

Need to double the data base size to 250,000 horses.

Time will tell.

[Rick]

formula,

Well, nobody can say that your sample size isn't large enough. Have you checked those that don't have the top last race speed? They may show a profit on their own.