Churchill Downs - 11/8 Go4 Pk4, Pk6, Pk4

[jonnielu]

Why not go for the whole deal, after all, you can toss anyone that you don't like, but, toss carefully.:bang:

1st - 2 (331), 1 (297), 12 (309)

2nd - 8 (124), 4 (137), 5 (141), 6 (146)

3rd - 5 (191), 1 (194), 6 (314), 8 (244)

#6 and #8 are first timers, notable above 150.

4th - 3 (356), 7 (316), 4 (331), 12 (314)

5th - 14 (299), 4 (270), 2 (274), 5 (292), 12 (275)

6th - 6 (264), 3 (319), 1 (417), 4 (354)

7th - 10 (116), 9 (124), 3 (124), 6 (92)

8th - 2 (184), 12 (158), 6 (178), 4 (184)

9th - 3 (115), 1 (122), 2 (136), 9 (136), 10 (136)

10th - 3 (216), 10 (223), 5 (224), 11 (239), 8 (239)

As you prepare to toss, think about the average mutuel price paid for one full minute. Good capping;)

[judd]

$29,000 super in the 3rd (where were your numbers? )

[jonnielu]

$29,000 super in the 3rd (where were your numbers? )

Well Judd, and I sincerely hope that you don't take this the wrong way, cause I just gotta say that is the most dumbass post I've seen on this board yet.:rolleyes:

Now, with that out of the way, it seems that you don't understand much about the numbers except that they are tremendously accurate. That's good. But, here today I was only looking for winners for the pick 4s & 6. If you have studied my previous posts, the ones that point out all of the supers, you might notice that I usually will list 6 horses by ability so that I can leave you just a dab of light handicapping to do. Of course, I usually give some clues too.

If I had been after that particular super with the numbers, you would have been looking at this:

3rd - 7 (285), 2 (227), 1a (194), 5 (191), 6 (314), 8 (244), 4 (170), 3 (226)

Without the colors and without the #3 at all. The number three is tossed in a minute. But first, I always state the horses are listed in order of their ability, and I have said several times that low numbers are bettter. So you should be wondering why #7 and #2 are listed first. And I have said that early speed impacts ability to a large degree in the shoeter races. This one is 6f.

So, when you see a 285 and 227 listed infront of a 194, it is because of their early speed advantage. You, the handicapper, having the overall ability in hand get to figure out whether #7 goes all the way, or gets overtaken by #2, or if that #1A bastard is going to run both of them down.

Personally I don't care unless I'm looking to make a win bet, in which case I bet the #1A on the rundown, first on ability to do so, second on post position, third 7 - 1. Of course, as you can see, #5 is at 191, but he is to slow early to get in the way, and I figure #7 will hang on to place for some of that action too. Again, because of post position, I can expect #2 to outrun #5 also. It's right there in the PP's.

Now #6, #8, and #4 are three of 5 first timers. I said on the post again that over 150 is noteworthy. That means watch out, these are board hitters. So, if I am going after a super, that means I take them all.

That brings us to #3 (226), you are thinking how can he be tossed when he is just one point below #2? Once again early speed, #2 will leave him in the dust, an easy toss at 6f.

There are the numbers, where were you? If you are looking for me to do all of the work for you, how about the tri in the 2nd, or the 4th, or the 5th, or the 10th?

Sorry about the 1st, #3 would 4th in ability at (327). And in the 9th, I usually do post 6 for a super, the sixth would have been #7 (144).

9th - 3 (115), 1 (122), 2 (136), 9 (136), 10 (136), 7 (144)
3 Gone Overboard 6.80 4.40 2.80
7 Princess Westly 4.00 3.20
1 R Vicarious Girl 3.60 9 Miss Peachtree 38-1 / $2 Superfecta $1,871.00 3-7-1-9

I hope that you don't want me to deposit it in your bank account too.

But, really Judd, I do appreciate you asking;)

[judd]

:confused: :confused: i was just joking

[jonnielu]

:confused: :confused: i was just joking

Hey, that's why I didn't just grind you down to the nub.:cool:

Maybe today, I'll go 6 for each race and see what you can do with them.;)

[judd]

THANKS FOR YOUR HARD WORK

[sally]

Jonnielu- thanks for the explanation! I was wondering what all those numbers were about! That was a nice glimpse into your system...:)