Keeneland DD Friday October 5

[rrbauer]

Here's my ideas on the early DD today.

KEE October 5, 2007

R1
#4 ROUTE trained well here before the Turfway debut.
Off at 9/10 he had a horrible trip. Julian stays on.
#6 HIGH APPROVAL debuted two-turning on turf
at Arlington. He had trained VERY WELL over the poly
there. Gets Gomez which won’t hurt.
#10 ATREVIDO ran OK over the poly at Arlington.
Kent/Kenny are a strong combo. Blinker experiment ends. Post a question.
#9 WHAT A PLACE has one very sharp work over
the poly at Turfway. Longshot jockey. Poor post.

R2
#8 BID MADE hits hard at this level and has handled the poly nicely. Can’t recommend anything else.


Will post some more picks later as time permits (no baseball until 5PM today!)

[keilan]

Hi Rich

Race #1

(A's)#4 - a colt at is better than is 1st, maybe deserving of top billing but tough to single at low price
#6 - blinkers and 2nd start move this guy up
#1 - excuses but should run well today
(B's) #6 good connections -respect
# 8 - best early speed, could be a factor in the exotics
#12- next best in a large field.

Race #2

#2 could transfer that turf speed to poly
#1 fires big occasionally
#8 low odds horse that could disappoint

My DD play -- 1-6/2-1

[DeanT]

I'm just spectating, but I am with both of you in the first. The Mott horse raced very, very well last time at TP. I was impressed. But I would not bet at 2-1. If I was playing I might try a 4-10, 12 in the first.

Gosh KEE is interesting to watch. What a great meet.

[keilan]

(B's) #6 good connections -respect





Typo right out of the gate --typed #6 when I should have typed #3. As I already had commented on the 6 horse :)

I played the tri and that should be alright

[keilan]

race #2

key the 2 over 1-8 in the x's

[keilan]

The keeneland track is a li'l tighter than I expected

[rrbauer]

The keeneland track is a li'l tighter than I expected

After 2 races it looks to be pretty fair today.

[DeanT]

I have this strange suspicion that it will play like TP this year and beyond.

Track maintenance guys and management are not immune to changing things because of complaints, imo.

Nice tri in the first K. Way to go.

[keilan]

Thanx Dean - u seem like a good player, please join in. Rich and I go back a few years.

8-3/1-6-9 x's and 8-3/8-3-1-6-9/again tri

[rrbauer]

Thanx Dean - u seem like a good player, please join in. Rich and I go back a few years.

8-3/1-6-9 x's and 8-3/8-3-1-6-9/again tri

Prefer the 7 to the 1 and prefer the 11 to the 9.

Otherwise we're on the same page.

[BIG RED]

Like 8 in 3rd, just got in.

Hope he stays at 3-1

[keilan]

yeah the 7 should be good --I marked him and didn't include in my tri --ouch

[DeanT]

I'm with you on Sims' horse here K. Good luck.

Eventho he prolly isn't fast enough, I think the ten might run well at 50-1.

[keilan]

Like 8 in 3rd, just got in.

Hope he stays at 3-1


He'll stay there Big until you bet him -- u whale ;)

[BIG RED]

Did it rain here earlier? (No, not at PA)

[rrbauer]

Oh! And, Hi Dean!!

Dean meet Keith. Keith meet Dean.

A couple north-of-the-border folks!!

[rrbauer]

Did it rain here earlier? (No, not at PA)

"Light" rain this morning. Not much.

[BIG RED]

I put the vid on early before I went out, looked like it was pouring.

Light rain Keeneland can take, thx

[keilan]

Guys I gotta run - fun while it lasted.

Dean buy rr and Big a Canadian beer and they'll help find you some hidden horses. After too many many they could start slurrring there type though :)

later boyz

Good call on the 7 horse Rich

[BIG RED]

More Bourb(on) is 26-1??

[keilan]

last pic -- He's Awesome #2


(the 2 keyed 1st and 2nd) 2/1-6-7-8-9/again TRI

[rrbauer]

R4
Not my kind of race. Hard to beat fav #2 on paper. I'll just do #2 and #8 and turn the page.

[BIG RED]

I like Awsome too, but if that 5 stays way up, I'm biting

[BIG RED]

I just put Keenelands home track video and youbets feed side by side, just to check.

Youbets is much better. I usually see it the other way around

[BIG RED]

Ex 2 / 5,8,9

5wp

may be last play

[BIG RED]

Bourbon was never in it.

Tried to get a price for EX.,
Smithtown (#9) gave me shot, to no avail.

[DeanT]

Lotsa winners here. Nice going guys.

Dang I like this 12 horse here at KEE, but I can't open my wallet yet.

I am out as well. Have a good day guys (and a good Thanksgiving to you Keith)

[keilan]

Happy Thanksgiving to you & yours as well Dean.

Water main break at the school so my daughters being let out early today. Damn and I had to cancel 2 appointments this afternoon so I could be home with her. Damn my luck now I'll just have to keep playing :cool:

[kipdog99]

But I've been following keenland all day and I do believe that the ! horse will fire first out

[keilan]

Rushed here a bit - going with 2-3-4/2-3-4-12-6/again (tri) nothing against the 12 except the odds.

3-4/3-4-12 x's

[BIG RED]

Daddy Warbucks is at the door, last one.

Like 3 & 12, with a kicker of 10

ex 3,12/3,10,12.....hoping Flibberjibit

goes out and doesn't look back, 10w

all monies were bet according ly :cool:

[kipdog99]

Wallace Dollace does not usually fire early with bullets so u know this guys got speed

[rrbauer]

Like the 1 and 9 FTS

up/down with the 12 and 3

[kipdog99]

just a terrible ride by Julien he got such a speed horse and hes trying to hold back on the turn. hes got this horse under a death grip when he should just let him run... watch the replay

[BIG RED]

nice rich, gutsta go, enjoy

[rrbauer]

Some additional info here....nuance kind of stuff.

#1 owned by Bobby Trussel, former bloodstock agent who cashed in his chips from that run and bought into a new venture: Tempurpedic Mattress when they started here from Sweden. Now retired pres from that venue and back at the horsie game. A player!!
#9 has been in/out of training since June of '06 but her recent works have been superior to any previous groups of works.

Wish the #1 could've held on for 2nd but it's a winner nonetheless!!

[DeanT]

Very nice Rich. Two of my watchlist horses (4 in the first and that one in the 5th) were horribly overbet both times imo. Such as it is with most of my watchlist ones.

I hope all of you caught the tri and super in the 5th at LRL. Yikes. I have not seen payoffs like that in awhile.

OK, I am really gone now. Catch ya boys and GL!

[rrbauer]

A little play on the #4 here. Tons of speed in this one and #4 might be able to take back some and then run on late.

[kipdog99]

rich I agree 2 and 9 should battle early 4 just sitting off. Gomez best in the business. Look at that last race he had the lead, lost it and came back at the wire just to lose by a nose #4 play 4-9 ex box 10$

[keilan]

Hmmmmmmm I don't see the 4 here.

leaning towards the 2 over/under the 1-5-9

nice pick in the last Rich :)

[kipdog99]

wow #4 pulled up lame unreal how do they get by the vet?

[rrbauer]

Hmmmmmmm I don't see the 4 here.

leaning towards the 2 over/under the 1-5-9

nice pick in the last Rich :)
Forgot you were still in the hunt here!!

[rrbauer]

Putting together some P4's but there are some longshots that I think deserve a look going out.
R7
Longshot #4
R8
Longshot #1
R9
ML on #9 and #10 is wrong. They shouldn't be 6-1.
R10
WYSIWYG


Back in a bit.

[keilan]

Forgot you were still in the hunt here!!


Don't let it happen again :)

wrong key :mad:

[rrbauer]

R7 looks to me like the board has it right.

[kipdog99]

well i have to play the jockey/ trainer angle here #6 great odds

[keilan]

R7 looks to me like the board has it right.


I have them rated

(A's) 3-5-1
(B's) 9-4-2

[keilan]

I have them rated

(A's) 3-5-1
(B's) 9-4-2


That works for me

[kipdog99]

smart money stays with the jockey/trainer #8

[rrbauer]

Had the 5 in P4 but 9 would've been better.

A's in 8th are 6,7,8
B is 1

[keilan]

Small wager 3-7/3-7-5-8 x's

[keilan]

smart money stays with the jockey/trainer #8


u like Desormeaux or something?

[kipdog99]

i do specially with mott hes his money rider

[rrbauer]

Good call on the 3 Keith....the girl (Jill Byrne) on TVG was pushing the 9 based on the way it looked on the track.

[keilan]

Small wager 3-7/3-7-5-8 x's


damn missed the x's -- boy the 3 should liven up the late p4

[kipdog99]

nice call on the 3 not sure what kent was doing moving to the 3 path just sitt and make a run like the 6 almost did he only lost by 3 lenghts wow

[rrbauer]

Out of here. Missed the P4 and not much value in the ones that I like going out. A few bob on the 9 here in the 9th and that's it.

Later guys....

[keilan]

I'm gonna take a shot with the 1 horse


1 to win and the #1 over / under the 4-9-10

[keilan]

$1 tri box

1-4-7-9-10-12

[rrbauer]

$1 tri box

1-4-7-9-10-12

10-12-9
That works!!

[keilan]

$1 tri box

1-4-7-9-10-12


I'll take it

later guys

[kipdog99]

finally kent/mott paid off phew