csmith
09-22-2007, 10:04 AM
*** PLEASE READ *** PLEASE READ *** *** PLEASE READ **********
THE SELECTIONS LISTED BELOW ARE LISTED IN ORDER OF MY PREFRENCE TO BE USED
ONLY AS CONTENDERS IN EACH RACE.USE THEM AS AN AID IN DOING YOUR
OWN HANDICAPPING.USE THEM IN YOUR EXOTICS OR ANY WAY YOU CHOOSE. IF YOU BET
ALL THE COMBINATIONS SHOWN YOU WILL PROBABLY BE A LOSER IN THE LONG TERM.
BE SELECTIVE.
LOOK FOR OVERLAYS IN MAKING YOUR SELECTIONS.
A VERY GOOD METHOD FOR BETTING THESE CONTENDERS IS THE KELLY CRITERION OR
THE DUTCH BETTING SYSTEM, WHICH IN MY OPINION ARE THE BEST WAYS TO BET TO MAKE
A LONG TERM PROFIT
================================================== =======================
LAD 09/22/2007
The order of the entries listing is based upon the fair odds line.
What we seek are contenders whose fair odds are better (lower)
than the AM line (or post-time) odds; i.e. overlays which may be
overlooked by the public. Only the top 4 are shown.
Race 1 - 6.5 Furlongs; D C 15000 ; Post Time is 1:00 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
3 LONE STAR 2.0 1.8 40 20.0 185 6.5 1 5 69.4
6 SHAYNE'S H 3.7 12.0 46 13.0 395 10.4 2 6 70.7
7 SCHNITZEL 4.3 8.0 81 9.9 210 2.9 5 1 71.4
5 GOOD CREDE 4.4 6.0 155 12.9 490 10.4 3 2 71.1
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Race 2 - 8.0 Furlongs; T A 31000; Post Time is 1:35 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
1 ROYAL MADA 2.1 1.6 114 14.9 657 11.0 2 2 88.4x
4 MISTY GLO 2.9 4.5 524 23.3 638 15.5 1 3 82.4
5 TENSAS STA 3.7 6.0 147 11.6 579 20.2 4 1 83.4
3 LOUISIANA 7.3 8.0 37 16.2 564 15.6 3 4 80.8
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Race 3 - 6.5 Furlongs; D M 30000 ; Post Time is 2:08 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
6 LOST BEACH 2.0 3.5 161 5.6 597 18.9 1 2 74.0x
3 HELLO LADY 2.5 4.0 150 10.0 562 9.4 6 1 71.2
8 CONNOR'S S 4.3 4.5 82 13.4 490 10.4 2 4 73.2
1 DORABELLA 8.9 12.0 172 5.8 638 15.5 3 9 67.2
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Race 4 - 8.3 Furlongs; D C 5000 ; Post Time is 2:41 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
11 SEEMELOADA 2.6 15.0 524 23.3 564 15.6 1 1 75.8
8 ANGORA 2.9 1.6 360 24.7 579 20.2 2 2 79.4x
9 EASY DRIFT 4.8 5.0 24 20.8 283 6.4 5 4 74.8
10 RISKY WEAT 6.7 15.0 101 9.9 269 12.3 3 6 73.8
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Race 5 - 6.0 Furlongs; D A 26000; Post Time is 3:14 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
4 BUDDHA BAB 2.9 2.5 49 22.4 269 12.3 3 1 82.2x
8 POLYHYMNIA 3.1 3.5 1598 21.3 644 21.0 1 5 82.1
2 I. B. DEON 3.5 4.0 90 16.7 537 11.5 2 2 80.6
9 FASHION GA 7.7 3.5 61 14.8 656 18.1 6 7 81.4
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Race 6 - 8.5 Furlongs; T N 200000; Post Time is 3:47 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
8 CHEROKEE T 1.8 2.0 217 26.3 843 20.5 2 1 97.7x
1 CASINO GAM 2.6 5.0 72 27.8 657 11.0 1 2 94.0
4 CANNY 5.2 3.0 243 21.4 1105 18.1 4 3 81.5
6 CROOK'S BO 6.5 30.0 150 10.0 562 9.4 3 5 68.2
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Race 7 - 6.0 Furlongs; D S 29000; Post Time is 4:20 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
10 LEE'S SPIR 3.1 3.0 211 12.8 595 15.6 6 1 78.8
3 MR. HUNTER 3.6 4.0 360 24.7 562 9.4 4 3 83.0x
11 UNREAL TIM 4.7 12.0 10 60.0 597 18.9 1 9 74.5
9 GOLDEN SHE 6.0 10.0 524 23.3 404 8.2 8 5 73.4
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Race 8 - 8.5 Furlongs; T N 200000; Post Time is 4:54 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
3 ZEE ZEE 1.5 1.6 544 21.1 843 20.5 1 1 89.8
6 SAMMY VAN 3.1 5.0 492 26.0 656 18.1 2 2 86.5
5 AMERICAN P 6.3 8.0 1598 21.3 644 21.0 4 8 92.3x
4 T C'S CHAR 6.4 12.0 592 23.6 644 16.5 3 4 86.2
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Race 9 - 8.5 Furlongs; T N 200000; Post Time is 5:28 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
3 TENSAS YUC 2.1 2.0 206 20.9 657 11.0 1 1 94.7
1 AHEAD OF H 3.2 3.5 183 12.6 656 18.1 2 3 96.2x
6 WHISPER TO 4.3 3.0 308 17.2 679 15.5 6 2 93.8
4 LIVVY LEIG 7.5 30.0 161 5.6 597 18.9 8 8 71.1
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Race 10 - 9.0 Furlongs; D G2 500000; Post Time is 6:10 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
2 FORTY ACRE 3.7 8.0 360 24.7 579 20.2 1 8 89.8
9 GRASSHOPPE 4.1 1.0 119 18.5 843 20.5 5 1 99.0x
7 STRONG CIT 5.2 20.0 308 17.2 679 15.5 7 2 83.7
1 POINT GOLD 6.1 30.0 49 22.4 656 18.1 2 10 84.5
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 11 - 8.5 Furlongs; T N 200000; Post Time is 6:47 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
3 BREGO 3.5 8.0 66 16.7 696 14.2 1 4 93.0
6 COSTA RISI 3.6 1.8 106 15.1 399 19.5 4 5 107.6x
5 GIGAWATT 3.6 8.0 17 5.9 1105 18.1 2 2 88.2
4 COREY COUN 4.0 4.0 152 17.1 590 17.1 3 1 93.3
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 12 - 6.0 Furlongs; D C 10000 ; Post Time is 7:15 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
7 DREAM OF M 3.3 4.0 72 27.8 564 15.6 2 1 73.2
2 DREAMZY 3.5 5.0 89 9.0 657 11.0 3 2 71.8
8 SHINING SU 4.9 6.0 451 18.6 399 19.5 9 8 73.3x
12 CAJUN SOCI 6.8 20.0 143 11.2 597 18.9 8 11 67.8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 13 - 5.0 Furlongs; T R 12000; Post Time is 7:43 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
4 LEESTOWN C 4.9 6.0 97 9.3 490 10.4 11 1 78.5
5 CHEROKEE P 5.2 5.0 43 18.6 399 19.5 3 5 83.0
10 BLACK HILL 5.4 1.6 83 14.5 462 14.7 12 2 83.8x
6 IT'S A BOY 7.4 10.0 360 24.7 180 6.7 2 9 68.6
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
THE SELECTIONS LISTED BELOW ARE LISTED IN ORDER OF MY PREFRENCE TO BE USED
ONLY AS CONTENDERS IN EACH RACE.USE THEM AS AN AID IN DOING YOUR
OWN HANDICAPPING.USE THEM IN YOUR EXOTICS OR ANY WAY YOU CHOOSE. IF YOU BET
ALL THE COMBINATIONS SHOWN YOU WILL PROBABLY BE A LOSER IN THE LONG TERM.
BE SELECTIVE.
LOOK FOR OVERLAYS IN MAKING YOUR SELECTIONS.
A VERY GOOD METHOD FOR BETTING THESE CONTENDERS IS THE KELLY CRITERION OR
THE DUTCH BETTING SYSTEM, WHICH IN MY OPINION ARE THE BEST WAYS TO BET TO MAKE
A LONG TERM PROFIT
================================================== =======================
LAD 09/22/2007
The order of the entries listing is based upon the fair odds line.
What we seek are contenders whose fair odds are better (lower)
than the AM line (or post-time) odds; i.e. overlays which may be
overlooked by the public. Only the top 4 are shown.
Race 1 - 6.5 Furlongs; D C 15000 ; Post Time is 1:00 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
3 LONE STAR 2.0 1.8 40 20.0 185 6.5 1 5 69.4
6 SHAYNE'S H 3.7 12.0 46 13.0 395 10.4 2 6 70.7
7 SCHNITZEL 4.3 8.0 81 9.9 210 2.9 5 1 71.4
5 GOOD CREDE 4.4 6.0 155 12.9 490 10.4 3 2 71.1
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 2 - 8.0 Furlongs; T A 31000; Post Time is 1:35 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
1 ROYAL MADA 2.1 1.6 114 14.9 657 11.0 2 2 88.4x
4 MISTY GLO 2.9 4.5 524 23.3 638 15.5 1 3 82.4
5 TENSAS STA 3.7 6.0 147 11.6 579 20.2 4 1 83.4
3 LOUISIANA 7.3 8.0 37 16.2 564 15.6 3 4 80.8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 3 - 6.5 Furlongs; D M 30000 ; Post Time is 2:08 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
6 LOST BEACH 2.0 3.5 161 5.6 597 18.9 1 2 74.0x
3 HELLO LADY 2.5 4.0 150 10.0 562 9.4 6 1 71.2
8 CONNOR'S S 4.3 4.5 82 13.4 490 10.4 2 4 73.2
1 DORABELLA 8.9 12.0 172 5.8 638 15.5 3 9 67.2
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 4 - 8.3 Furlongs; D C 5000 ; Post Time is 2:41 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
11 SEEMELOADA 2.6 15.0 524 23.3 564 15.6 1 1 75.8
8 ANGORA 2.9 1.6 360 24.7 579 20.2 2 2 79.4x
9 EASY DRIFT 4.8 5.0 24 20.8 283 6.4 5 4 74.8
10 RISKY WEAT 6.7 15.0 101 9.9 269 12.3 3 6 73.8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 5 - 6.0 Furlongs; D A 26000; Post Time is 3:14 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
4 BUDDHA BAB 2.9 2.5 49 22.4 269 12.3 3 1 82.2x
8 POLYHYMNIA 3.1 3.5 1598 21.3 644 21.0 1 5 82.1
2 I. B. DEON 3.5 4.0 90 16.7 537 11.5 2 2 80.6
9 FASHION GA 7.7 3.5 61 14.8 656 18.1 6 7 81.4
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 6 - 8.5 Furlongs; T N 200000; Post Time is 3:47 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
8 CHEROKEE T 1.8 2.0 217 26.3 843 20.5 2 1 97.7x
1 CASINO GAM 2.6 5.0 72 27.8 657 11.0 1 2 94.0
4 CANNY 5.2 3.0 243 21.4 1105 18.1 4 3 81.5
6 CROOK'S BO 6.5 30.0 150 10.0 562 9.4 3 5 68.2
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 7 - 6.0 Furlongs; D S 29000; Post Time is 4:20 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
10 LEE'S SPIR 3.1 3.0 211 12.8 595 15.6 6 1 78.8
3 MR. HUNTER 3.6 4.0 360 24.7 562 9.4 4 3 83.0x
11 UNREAL TIM 4.7 12.0 10 60.0 597 18.9 1 9 74.5
9 GOLDEN SHE 6.0 10.0 524 23.3 404 8.2 8 5 73.4
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 8 - 8.5 Furlongs; T N 200000; Post Time is 4:54 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
3 ZEE ZEE 1.5 1.6 544 21.1 843 20.5 1 1 89.8
6 SAMMY VAN 3.1 5.0 492 26.0 656 18.1 2 2 86.5
5 AMERICAN P 6.3 8.0 1598 21.3 644 21.0 4 8 92.3x
4 T C'S CHAR 6.4 12.0 592 23.6 644 16.5 3 4 86.2
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 9 - 8.5 Furlongs; T N 200000; Post Time is 5:28 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
3 TENSAS YUC 2.1 2.0 206 20.9 657 11.0 1 1 94.7
1 AHEAD OF H 3.2 3.5 183 12.6 656 18.1 2 3 96.2x
6 WHISPER TO 4.3 3.0 308 17.2 679 15.5 6 2 93.8
4 LIVVY LEIG 7.5 30.0 161 5.6 597 18.9 8 8 71.1
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 10 - 9.0 Furlongs; D G2 500000; Post Time is 6:10 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
2 FORTY ACRE 3.7 8.0 360 24.7 579 20.2 1 8 89.8
9 GRASSHOPPE 4.1 1.0 119 18.5 843 20.5 5 1 99.0x
7 STRONG CIT 5.2 20.0 308 17.2 679 15.5 7 2 83.7
1 POINT GOLD 6.1 30.0 49 22.4 656 18.1 2 10 84.5
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 11 - 8.5 Furlongs; T N 200000; Post Time is 6:47 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
3 BREGO 3.5 8.0 66 16.7 696 14.2 1 4 93.0
6 COSTA RISI 3.6 1.8 106 15.1 399 19.5 4 5 107.6x
5 GIGAWATT 3.6 8.0 17 5.9 1105 18.1 2 2 88.2
4 COREY COUN 4.0 4.0 152 17.1 590 17.1 3 1 93.3
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 12 - 6.0 Furlongs; D C 10000 ; Post Time is 7:15 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
7 DREAM OF M 3.3 4.0 72 27.8 564 15.6 2 1 73.2
2 DREAMZY 3.5 5.0 89 9.0 657 11.0 3 2 71.8
8 SHINING SU 4.9 6.0 451 18.6 399 19.5 9 8 73.3x
12 CAJUN SOCI 6.8 20.0 143 11.2 597 18.9 8 11 67.8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 13 - 5.0 Furlongs; T R 12000; Post Time is 7:43 Eastern Time
Fair ML Trainer Jockey Early Speed Late Speed Our
Pgm# Horse Odds Odds Sts Win% Sts Win% Rank Rank Rating
4 LEESTOWN C 4.9 6.0 97 9.3 490 10.4 11 1 78.5
5 CHEROKEE P 5.2 5.0 43 18.6 399 19.5 3 5 83.0
10 BLACK HILL 5.4 1.6 83 14.5 462 14.7 12 2 83.8x
6 IT'S A BOY 7.4 10.0 360 24.7 180 6.7 2 9 68.6
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------