NYPlayer
08-10-2007, 08:32 PM
This is an interesting long race on the grass, and I think the favorite, English Channel, is vulnerable. Here's how I see some of the main contenders:
Better Talk Now - an older horse that no longer seems capable of running it's best number. A play against in the top two spots.
English Channel - This horse seems to have tapered off a bit in form. It ran the worst race of it's career this year and hasn't come back to it's top fig (Sheets). However, the horse still has raw number power and should still be respected. A play against on the win side, but would use in exacta savers.
Trippi's Storm - Definitely better on turf. Has certainly run better this year and is in general in postive form, running a new top last race. My concern is that this performance might be a small bounce, and so I'd want a little better than the 4-1 morning line. A strong win candidate and I would use in exactas.
Always First - This horse has had a spotty career, but this year, while only running three races, the horse has shown a bit more consistency. Would have to run a new top to win and is a six year old, but it does seem to be circling around to a better performance. Another good win candidate, and I would make the play at the ML of 8-1 and probably down to 6-1. My top pick and likely win bet.
Better Talk Now - an older horse that no longer seems capable of running it's best number. A play against in the top two spots.
English Channel - This horse seems to have tapered off a bit in form. It ran the worst race of it's career this year and hasn't come back to it's top fig (Sheets). However, the horse still has raw number power and should still be respected. A play against on the win side, but would use in exacta savers.
Trippi's Storm - Definitely better on turf. Has certainly run better this year and is in general in postive form, running a new top last race. My concern is that this performance might be a small bounce, and so I'd want a little better than the 4-1 morning line. A strong win candidate and I would use in exactas.
Always First - This horse has had a spotty career, but this year, while only running three races, the horse has shown a bit more consistency. Would have to run a new top to win and is a six year old, but it does seem to be circling around to a better performance. Another good win candidate, and I would make the play at the ML of 8-1 and probably down to 6-1. My top pick and likely win bet.