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Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 01:18 PM
THURSDAY

BEL Race 4


This is a type of race that I normally pass because there are so many first time starters--6 in all--along with some decent trainers of young horses. That makes for a lot of unknowns. FALSE PRETENSE (3/1) engaged in a furious speed duel (:44.1 :56.1) with According to Plan in her debut before tiring in the stretch to fourth place on June 29. Those are extremely fast fractions for two-year-old fillies at Belmont in July. So I’m going to take a chance on FP hoping that she will carry her speed to the wire in her second career start and that newcomers Sabooh (6/1) and Constance (2/1) won’t fire today.
judd
07-19-2007, 01:20 PM
what about the 4 horse?
Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 01:25 PM
What about the 4 horse?
Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 01:33 PM
The #4 horse showed some good lick in its first two starts. But why put a horse in for a tag in its debut? Anyway, you have a point. HONEST TO BETSY could take it, but I don't think that it is in the same class as those in this field. Dale Romans is 7% with horses under his care for the first time. Anyway, I respect your opinion but I think its a longshot.
GaryG
07-19-2007, 01:58 PM
I agree.....looks very solid. :jump: :jump:
Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 02:06 PM
Gary,

I think we'll get 6-5 to win. Better yet, in 2Yo maiden races you never know who's going finish in the money. So a win-place bet may be the best thing to do.
Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 02:12 PM
The early money is on HONEST TO BETSY.
GaryG
07-19-2007, 02:15 PM
I'm keying her over #2 and for a smaller amt #4 & 6.
Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 02:18 PM
Exactas are a bear
Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 02:32 PM
Pletcher is getting serious money. But I'm going for the value.
Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 02:34 PM
4/5 on a firster.......
Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 02:36 PM
What happened to the odds on Pletcher?
Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 02:40 PM
Late scratch
Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 02:42 PM
Judd,

Very nice call. My hat is off.
Zoocapper
07-19-2007, 02:46 PM
Judd,

Very nice call. My hat is off.

Result 4/8

Good pick Judd!

Not the best analysis in the world Trainer report man Bill Olmsted.
Give it another shot maybe??
Bill Olmsted
07-19-2007, 03:12 PM
Indeed, Zoo...will give it another shot...although the $2.90 place price was not that bad.....
judd
07-19-2007, 03:48 PM
:jump: :jump: what about the 4 horse?
bigmack
07-19-2007, 05:52 PM
Tough to make any baby a "lock" on this jour or any other particularly mid year.