plays for tuesday

[freeneasy]

probable winners teams that win in 8 out of the 8 catagories that i'am using to handicap
giants
devil rays
mariners
a's

teams that win in 7 out of the 8 catagories that i'am using to handicap
braves
dodgers
red sox
indians

teams that win by a projected minimum of 1 run and win in at least 7 of 8 catagories
braves 5.74-3.07 +2.67
giants 5.33-3.54 +1.79
dodgers 5-3.27 +1.73
devil rays 4.92-3.73 +1.19
mariners 4.56-3.04 +1.53
a's 4.30-3.04 +1.26

best bet
giants -106

[freeneasy]

this is how the giants came out to be the best percentage bet on the day
first i handicap the runs scored and the runs allowed by each team

runs scored
giants rd. 4.9
houston hm. 3.8
4.9 + 3.8 = 8.7
giants 4.9 / 8.7 = 56.32%
giants 56.32
houston 43.68%

runs allowed
giants rd. 3.7
houston hm. 3.8
3.7 + 3.8 = 7.5
giants 3.7 / 7.5 = .4933, -1 = 50.67
giants 50.67
houston 49.33

era
morris 3.11
williams 5.10
3.11 + 5.10 = 8.21
giants 3.11 / 8.21 = .3788, -1 = 62.11
giants 62.12%
houston 37.88%

win-loss record
giants rd 8-8
houston hm 8-9
giants 8 + 8 = 16
8 / 16 = .50
houston 8 + 9 =17
8 / 17 = .4705
.50 + .4705 = .9705
giants .50 / .9705 = 51.52
giants 51.52%
houston 48.48%

pitchers w/l record
morris 4-1
williams 1-5
giants 4 + 1 = 5
4 / 5 = ,80
houston 1 + 5 = 6
1 / 6 = .1666
.80 +.1666 = .9666
giants .80 / .9666 = .8275
giants 82.75
houston 17.25

projected score
giants 5.33
houston 3.54
5.33 + 3.54 = 8.87
giants 5.33 / 8.87 = .6009
giants .6009
houston .3991

............rs%......ra%....era%...w-l%....w-l%....p.sc%..avg%....p.sc
giants 56.32 / 50.67 / 62.12 / 51.51 / 82.75 / 60.11 / 60.58 / 5.33
astros 43.68 / 49.33 / 37.88 / 48.49 / 17.25 / 39.89 / 39.42 / 3.54

the giants have the edge in the first 6 catagories and average out to 60.58% to the astros 39.42%. this gives them a 21.16% advantage in the averages and they have a 1.79 run advantage in the projected score. heres what seems to be the trap and that is even after all this the giants are only -106 or 94.34 cents on the dollar and houston is -114 or 87.77 cents on the dollar. could be other factors working against them tonight like being on the road ect. but the factors i have put them at 76.60 cents on the dollar instead of 94.34. cents on the dollar and the thing to figure out is who making the mistake in thier calculations tonight, vegas or me. iam taking the giants

[freeneasy]

just like that the giants are the favorite at -112 and houston is at -108