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Light
04-15-2007, 04:17 PM
Nice card,big fields,and I need a break while doing Taxes. :mad:

All picks are based on some sort of PAce Advantage,early, late,or total,which depends on paceline picked.

Key horses:
Tbreds start in 5th:

5th: #7 Twin D(7/2) not crazy about Chapa off.

6th: #3 Stately(6-1) 1-28 trainer

7th: #7 Ghostly(6-1) Gets winning rider back
#2 Dancing(2-1) Stretches out,sire 21% in routes,beatable,cover.

8th: #7 Nosho(7/2) Best race in mud. Track fast

9th: #12 Mystic(3-1)

10th: #12 Boz(8-1) off since Jan.
#4 Pragmatic(3-1)

11th: #4 Regal(12-1) Gets Martinez back

12th: #10 Oh(2-1) stretches back out. Tohill 2-2 with horse.
#8 atomic(6-1) 2nd by 3,two back v. weaker


Top contenders in order of rank

5th: 7-4-3-1

6th: 1-7-3-2

7th: 7-1-5-2

8th: 7-1-3-6

9th: 12-6-11-8

10th: 12-4-6-1

11th: 5-3-9-2 (note my PA horse #4 above did not make the cut. Ranked 5th)

12th: 10-3-9-7 (#8 PA horse above also did not make the cut)

Light
04-15-2007, 04:47 PM
Result R5

3-4-1-7

I played my picks in a 10 cent super box which hit but paid crap. $13 for a dime. I keyed the 1 cause he was best price of my 4 contenders ,but needed him 2nd. Made $4 profit. :jump:

Light
04-15-2007, 05:14 PM
R6 Results

1-7-6-5

Now -$5 for the day. (I usually average about $10 a race).2 chalk ran 1-2. I keyed my shot #3 @ 10-1. Allthough I lost,it was the right bet.I'd play it again.

Light
04-15-2007, 05:35 PM
R7 results

7-2-4-8

More chalk. Put $16 in the race,got back $18. Phew!Now down $-2 for day. Keyed the #1 abit @21-1. Nada. Also Keyed the winner.

Allthough this may look like an effort in futility,I equate it to fishing. Its a waiting game...for the nice one.

Light
04-15-2007, 06:27 PM
They should call it Chalkland. After R9 down $7. But have the p4 going with my key horses as stated above for 50c. Cost me a whopping $2. Too bad they dont have pinnacle anymore.Alot of times I break even but churn about $100 per track.

Light
04-15-2007, 07:47 PM
Summary:

Top ranked horse won 4 out of 8 races returning $35 for $16 invest.

Key horses won 3 out of 11 keyed horses for $19.80 after $22 invest.

Total invest $38. Return $54.80. 44% ROI

Move over Whobet,Anderon and Mountaneer PA et al.<G>

But seriously,another case of good handicapping,and poor betting.