ATT: British Punters: Anyone Love Dubai?

[JPinMaryland]

Another mystery horse, this one goes in the IL derby. I take it this one's better than Medici Code?

What jumps out at me is that he's already missed the break or swerved at the start three times, and on sat. he's starting from outside position. Yikes. He also adds blinkers which you've got to figure would help that situation.

My BRIS PPs dont give me his post position in those bad starts, does anyone have those?? thx.

[flatstats]

Has much better all weather form than MC.

First the turf details:


Date Course Dist Class Prize Ages Type Gender Going Runners Stall Margin Jockey
-------------------------------
06-Oct-06 York 6f D £6.5K 2yo Mdn Stks (B) Soft 10 7 7.5L 3-1 9-3 8 J Fanning
16-Sep-06 Warw 7f E £2.6K 2yo Mdn Stks (M) GdSft 11 4 6.1L 7-4 9-0 2 R Havlin
04-Sep-06 Newc 6f E £3.9K 2yo Mdn Stks (B) Soft 11 2 2.5L 2-7f 9-3 4 K Darley
23-Aug-06 York 6f B £16.2K 2yo Mdn Stks (B) GdSft 10 3 1.5L 25-1 9-3 5 J Fanning


He placed in his first two starts with the first race being a Class B (old class system 1,2,3,A,B,C,D,E,F,G,H) worth £16,2000 to the winner. Latest two runs failed to place and lost 6+ Lengths in lower class races.

Here's the all weather form:


29-Jan-07 Ling 10f D £4.9K 3yo Hcap (B) ST 6 1 1.0L Evensf 9-2 5 J Fanning
14-Dec-06 Wolv 9.5f D £6.5K 2yo Hcap (M) ST 8 1 1.0L 3-1f 9-1 8 J Fanning
17-Nov-06 Wolv 8.5f E £3.9K 2yo Hcap (B) ST 7 1 1.3L 13-2 9-4 7 J Fanning
02-Nov-06 Wolv 7f E £3.9K 2yo Hcap (B) ST 12 10 10.8L 8-1 9-5 5 J Fanning


All wins were on Polytrack. First win was in a Class E maiden worth $7500. He then followed up with another nursery (2yo handicap win) and then a handicap win as a 3yo in January this year.

Here's his info from the At The Races site:

http://www.attheraces.com/form.asp?type=H&id=2335654&dte=2007-04-06

Videos for all his wins are available.

Love Dubai is the only offspring of sire E Dubai to have run in the UK so can not gain any sire stats info.

[flatstats]

Just one thing to add about Lingfield and to a lesser degree Wolverhampton finishes.

Since both tracks were installed with Polytrack form has been harder to work out due to the way a) races are often run at false paces, b) races mostly finish in a heap.

MC won on Fibresand and the finishing positions on this surface are mostly strung out - this is why you often get horses such as MC winning by 3, 5, 10 lengths.

But at Lingfield it is very rare for any horse to win by 3+ lengths. The winning margin is a head in 25% of all races and there are many photo finishes (sometimes 3 way) at a meeting

For these reasons you should only take not of any horse who can win 3+ lengths at Lingfield, and not be so impressed by a horse who wins 3+ lengths at Southwell.