long term capital plays 03-12-2007

[formula_2002]

not too much to work with today

track date race pgno name ml post plays
GP 20070312 8 1 CHEROKEE SP 3 4:24 5
TUP 20070312 7 5 TRADITIONAL 6 5:52 7
PM 20070312 8 7 HALO MCFLY 3 6:51 8
MNR 20070312 5 8 QUOIT SMART 6 8:40 3
MNR 20070312 5 2 TRY AGAIN 2.5 8:40 7
MNR 20070312 10 5 PERSISTANCE 12 10:45 8

[formula_2002]

after three races

wnet pnet snet plays
$40 $30.4 $49.6 20

[Anderon]

after three races

wnet pnet snet plays
$40 $30.4 $49.6 20

Joe, I'm curious to how your playing these. I don't see how your WPS nets come out to what you have posted with only 2 winners after 3 races. that paid $3.40...$2.40...$2.10 and $5.00...$3.80...$3.40 I'm not trying to check up on you but I may be missing something on how your playing these selections, are they across the board and are these nets per $2.00 tickets after your selected number of times played? I'm not following your math here.

[formula_2002]

Joe, I'm curious to how your playing these. I don't see how your WPS nets come out to what you have posted with only 2 winners after 3 races. that paid $3.40...$2.40...$2.10 and $5.00...$3.80...$3.40 I'm not trying to check up on you but I may be missing something on how your playing these selections, are they across the board and are these nets per $2.00 tickets after your selected number of times played? I'm not following your math here.

There was only 1 winner, not two.
the differenc in our total is probably in the NUMBER OF PLAYS.
"cherokee" was played 5 times
"traditional" was played 7 times
"halo Mcfly" was played 8 times
for a total of 20 times a $2.00 bet. ($40 total)
the win pool returned $40.00 for a 1.0 roi
the place pool returned $30.40 for a .75 roi
the show pool returned $49.60 for a 1.24 roi

I'm not betting these plays (yet :) )
From my previous notes, it looks like the long term profits are wp when odds<5/2
and wps when odds>=5/2.
Saturdays plays was simply a speculation on what would happen if I just made a $2.00 place wager on all the horses on a trip to Vegas.

Hope this helps and hope I did not make an error.
You need to see how many times I'm saying to play the horse.


w p s w p s plays
0 0 0 CHEROKEE SP 0 0 0 5
0 0 3.2 TRADITIONAL 0 0 22.4 7
$5.00 $3.80 $3.40 HALO MCFLY 40 30.4 27.2 8


wnet pnet snet plays
40 30.4 49.6 20

[Anderon]

Yes your right there was only 1 winner, I was looking at the wrong race, sorry. I see what your doing, your just posting your gross totals based on your wagers and you still have to take out your wagers of $40.00 per WPS...got it !! :) I was just confused on how your totals are stated as they say wnet, pnet, snet. To me the nets are $0.00, $-9.60 and +$9.60, but I see how you are doing it.

[formula_2002]

finals
I'll make it as brief as possible.. :faint:

wnet pnet snet plays
$40.00 $30.40 $49.60 38

total play is $38x$6= $228
total return = $120

roi= .53 :faint: