long term capital plays 02-25-2007

[formula_2002]

although it was a huge day yesterday playing "all the odds" ,

let's just stay with the <5/2 plays wps.


track date race pgno name ml post
TP 20070225 3 4 KISSY MISSY 4 2:05
TP 20070225 3 4 KISSY MISSY 4 2:05
TP 20070225 3 4 KISSY MISSY 4 2:05
FG 20070225 2 4 UMBRELLA BA 6 2:05
FG 20070225 2 4 UMBRELLA BA 6 2:05
FG 20070225 2 4 UMBRELLA BA 6 2:05
FG 20070225 2 4 UMBRELLA BA 6 2:05
FG 20070225 2 4 UMBRELLA BA 6 2:05
FG 20070225 2 4 UMBRELLA BA 6 2:05
FG 20070225 2 4 UMBRELLA BA 6 2:05
FG 20070225 2 4 UMBRELLA BA 6 2:05

CT 20070225 7 1 SWAY WITH T 1.6 3:24
CT 20070225 7 1 SWAY WITH T 1.6 3:24
CT 20070225 7 1 SWAY WITH T 1.6 3:24

TP 20070225 7 2 VAST 2.5 4:01
TP 20070225 7 2 VAST 2.5 4:01
TP 20070225 7 2 VAST 2.5 4:01

OP 20070225 5 4 COUSIN SALL 3 4:21
OP 20070225 5 4 COUSIN SALL 3 4:21
OP 20070225 5 4 COUSIN SALL 3 4:21
OP 20070225 5 4 COUSIN SALL 3 4:21

LRL 20070225 9 5 SILK SPLEND 15 4:26
LRL 20070225 9 5 SILK SPLEND 15 4:26
LRL 20070225 9 5 SILK SPLEND 15 4:26
LRL 20070225 9 5 SILK SPLEND 15 4:26
LRL 20070225 9 5 SILK SPLEND 15 4:26

SA 20070225 5 11 GEM PROOF 5 5:34
SA 20070225 5 11 GEM PROOF 5 5:34
SA 20070225 5 11 GEM PROOF 5 5:34

HOU 20070225 2 7 CHARLIE AN 6 6:26
HOU 20070225 2 7 CHARLIE AN 6 6:26
HOU 20070225 2 7 CHARLIE AN 6 6:26
HOU 20070225 2 7 CHARLIE AN 6 6:26

SA 20070225 9 10 MISS BERTRA 20 7:38
SA 20070225 9 10 MISS BERTRA 20 7:38
SA 20070225 9 10 MISS BERTRA 20 7:38

MNR 20070225 3 2 FRIDAY MORN 20 7:50
MNR 20070225 3 2 FRIDAY MORN 20 7:50
MNR 20070225 3 2 FRIDAY MORN 20 7:50
MNR 20070225 3 2 FRIDAY MORN 20 7:50
MNR 20070225 3 2 FRIDAY MORN 20 7:50

MNR 20070225 5 5 FLIGHT PATH 8 8:40
MNR 20070225 5 5 FLIGHT PATH 8 8:40
MNR 20070225 5 5 FLIGHT PATH 8 8:40
MNR 20070225 5 5 FLIGHT PATH 8 8:40
MNR 20070225 5 5 FLIGHT PATH 8 8:40

[formula_2002]

none on the picks qualified as a play

[formula_2002]

although it was a huge day yesterday playing "all the odds" ,

let's just stay with the <5/2 plays wps.

since that time, odds>=5/2;

173 plays , 24 wins vs. 25 expected wins returned .96 roi

$452 in the win pool..1.31 roi
$568 in the place pool..1.63 roi
$436 in the show pool..1.26 roi
Its worth watching.
the only killer is, it only won 5 of 36 races for 14% winner.
but then:
placed 39% of the time
showed 47% of the time

[formula_2002]

I have to bench mark this note since it appears that I lost the posted plays up to 2/25/2007.
Prior to that time I've recorded the following for <5/2 posted plays

312 plays, 130 wins 126 expected wins.
win pool plays returned $636, place pool returned $603, show pool returned $513


On 2/25/2007, I made a change in the program. I still have those posts and will track them from here on in.