LONG TERM CAPITAL PLAYS 02-11-2007

[formula_2002]

TRACK DATE RACE PGNO NAME ML POST
AQU 20070211 2 4 PAVLOV'S DO 12 12:58
CT 20070211 3 7 AMBERNASH A 15 1:48
CT 20070211 3 7 AMBERNASH A 15 1:48
CT 20070211 3 7 AMBERNASH A 15 1:48
CT 20070211 4 5 YANKEE DOOD 6 2:12
TP 20070211 4 12 JUSTIFIED A 12 2:34
TP 20070211 4 12 JUSTIFIED A 12 2:34
TP 20070211 4 12 JUSTIFIED A 12 2:34
CT 20070211 5 2 PLANET YANK 4 2:36
CT 20070211 9 8 PULL MY CHA 6 4:12
SUN 20070211 7 9 ANOTHER SUN 8 4:45
SUN 20070211 7 9 ANOTHER SUN 8 4:45
SUN 20070211 7 9 ANOTHER SUN 8 4:45
SUN 20070211 7 7 HEIDI'S CHA 3.5 4:45
SUN 20070211 7 7 HEIDI'S CHA 3.5 4:45
TP 20070211 10 10 BUTANE 6 5:22
SUN 20070211 9 7 ZAMRITE 5 5:35
FG 20070211 10 6 KITTIE KUTI 2.5 5:51
FG 20070211 10 6 KITTIE KUTI 2.5 5:51
FG 20070211 10 6 KITTIE KUTI 2.5 5:51
FG 20070211 10 6 KITTIE KUTI 2.5 5:51
FG 20070211 10 6 KITTIE KUTI 2.5 5:51
FG 20070211 10 6 KITTIE KUTI 2.5 5:51
SUN 20070211 11 12 GONE EXTRA 3 6:25
SUN 20070211 11 12 GONE EXTRA 3 6:25
SUN 20070211 11 12 GONE EXTRA 3 6:25
SUN 20070211 11 12 GONE EXTRA 3 6:25
SUN 20070211 11 12 GONE EXTRA 3 6:25
SUN 20070211 11 5 SAC 4 6:25
PM 20070211 7 2 SAUXSOE 4 6:28
MNR 20070211 5 10 HUNTING GOL 10 8:40
MNR 20070211 5 10 HUNTING GOL 10 8:40

[formula_2002]

I'll be adding some more models.
That should bring the total number of models up to about 22.

One major change..I know its back fitting, but I have got to eliminate maiden claimers.

I have looked over thousands of plays and it seems logical to eliminate them.

ps. I look forward to the upcoming sun 11th and the fg 10th..

[formula_2002]

ps. I look forward to the upcoming sun 11th and the fg 10th..

Ok I know its not a big deal to some ($3.50 to win at FG), but it does wonders for my A/E. I HAD IT 5 times!! :jump:
(it's .57 to 1)

[whobet]

A win is a Win, don't apologize

[formula_2002]

yep, I'll take it.

They both won..
Thanks

ps. isn't silly of me to hope for short priced horses!! :jump:

[formula_2002]

finals.
I have added 50% more models, making the total 20 and have eliminated maiden claimers.

Yesterday's play can be considered "out of sample" to the new protocol. Here are the new protocol results for yesterday;


37 plays, 16 wins. $74 played, $67 returned.
a/e ratio = 16/10 = 1.60 roi :jump:

when tote board odds <=4-1;
19 plays, 16 wins. $38 played, $67 returned
a/e ratio = 16/9 =1.77 roi. :jump:

If needed, I'll post the old protocol for yesterday's results.

[ryesteve]

Yesterday's play can be considered "out of sample" to the new protocol.
I don't disbelieve you, but I still think you should only tally what gets posted ahead of posttime.

[formula_2002]

Steve, as I said, "If needed" ;)

I just have to do it manually. later,,

[formula_2002]

I don't disbelieve you, but I still think you should only tally what gets posted ahead of posttime.
FINALS FOR YESTERDAYS POSTED PLAYS;

31 plays, 11 wins. $62 played $47.60 returned

a/e= 11/8.28 =1.32 roi :jump:

when tote board odds<=4-1
19 plays, 11 wins. $38 played $47.6 returned
a/e=11/7=1.57 roi :jump: