formula_2002
02-08-2007, 06:49 AM
15 of the 21 current models show a positive actual wins to expected wins ratio.
(a/e is the roi for a proportion odds wager)
267 plays, returned $480 in the win pool.
There were 61 actual wins and 57 expected wins.
A 1.07 ROI. :jump:
When the final tote board odds <=4-1;
129 plays returned $308 in the win pool.
There were 55 actual wins and 44 expected wins.
A 1.25 ROI. :jump:
As mentioned at the outset, prior to posting these plays, the 5/2 and under final tote board odds appeared to generate the greater value.
The results for those plays were;
85 plays, returned $220.
There were 45 actual winners and 34 expected winners.
A 1.32 ROI :jump:
:jump:
(a/e is the roi for a proportion odds wager)
267 plays, returned $480 in the win pool.
There were 61 actual wins and 57 expected wins.
A 1.07 ROI. :jump:
When the final tote board odds <=4-1;
129 plays returned $308 in the win pool.
There were 55 actual wins and 44 expected wins.
A 1.25 ROI. :jump:
As mentioned at the outset, prior to posting these plays, the 5/2 and under final tote board odds appeared to generate the greater value.
The results for those plays were;
85 plays, returned $220.
There were 45 actual winners and 34 expected winners.
A 1.32 ROI :jump:
:jump: